The winter of Binance Alpha, cycles, and the next wave of foreshadowing

The number of active users in Binance Alpha has fallen below 150,000 for the first time.

Studios are exiting on a large scale, with a continuous wave of resignations from 'workers'; there is even a unified narrative within the community: 'Alpha is dead.'

Is it really like this?


Is it the end? It's just the cyclical law, not the conclusion.

The recent Alpha indeed exudes a sense of 'receding tide':

The early profit window has closed.

The cost of score manipulation has increased.

The yield structure has been exhausted by studios.

The ecosystem has entered a cooling period.

But this is not death; it is the arrival of a new cyclical opportunity.

On-chain and centralized narratives, making money often comes from three stages:

Early dividends → Expansion period → Overcapacity → Elimination of the weak → The next cycle is born.

Alpha is only at the third stage.

Review Alpha's rise: it was not luck, but Binance's strategic layout.

Many people forget that the "first wave of wealth codes" from Alpha actually comes from Megadrop.

During that time, to get more airdrops on the debut project BB:

The ROI is exaggeratedly high.

Retail investors first enjoyed the "dividend spillover" from centralized giants.

Megadrop has solidified the narrative for BNB.

At the same time, it fills the gap left by the decline in Launchpad revenue.

But the studio cleaned up thoroughly, and after risk control upgrades, Megadrop gradually exited.

Then, Binance continues to reveal its skills:

3BNB wallet staking task directly completes user education on-chain.

However, what truly determines Alpha's fate is Binance's decisive move:

Change "staking mining" to "real trading volume", forcibly expanding the Meme track.

This is Alpha's brilliance—rather than relying on subsidies to stack data, it drives users from 0 to 1 on-chain through revenue.


Today's low point is the eve of the next opportunity.

A decline in revenue does not mean failure.

Instead, it means: the bubble has been squeezed out.

The studio has evacuated.

Costs return to reasonable levels.

Activity is more genuine.

Market behavior is healthier.

This is precisely the environment that breeds the next wave of Alpha.

Whether it was the brilliance of September or the recent cooling, the core remains unchanged:

Binance needs a continuously growing engine, and Alpha is that engine.

This is also why:

On December 09, Alpha will become the first platform to launch Midnight (NIGHT).

This is not a coincidence, but a signal.


What to do in the future? What remains for those who survive is the next batch of dividends.

At this current juncture, what you need to do is not to anxiously exit, but to:

Wait like a "sniper", instead of blindly grinding like a "farmer".

Don't go all in.

Don't frantically stack accounts.

Don't be misled by short-term gains.

Don't give up the platform with the maximum traffic (Binance is still the only CEX with a global traffic entry).

The truly profitable cycles are never achieved through hard work alone, but through judgment, patience, and the chips you keep at the table.

The past gold mines have been exhausted. The next wave of gold mines will definitely appear when everyone thinks it is over. So don’t rush to leave.

The tide recedes not to turn off the lights, but to let you change seats.


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