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The Federal Reserve makes a late-night announcement: Continue to lower interest rates! Market expectations soar, Wall Street urgently revises its prediction to a 90% chance of rate cuts, major institutions are buying spot!
As the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting countdown begins, Kevin Hassett, a leading candidate for the next chair, suddenly speaks out, clearly supporting "continuing to lower interest rates." Market expectations instantly skyrocket, and Wall Street's major banks are working overnight to "tear up reports" and revise forecasts—this week's Federal Reserve interest rate cut has almost become a foregone conclusion.
Hassett also hinted that Trump will soon announce "a lot of good news" and pointed out that fluctuations in the U.S. bond market may be related to policy uncertainty, and that the ten-year Treasury yield "still has a lot of room to decline."
Market expectation: Probability of rate cuts approaches 90%
According to CME's latest "Federal Reserve Watch" data, the market bets that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week has surged to 89.6%, with the probability of keeping rates unchanged now only at 10.4%. In addition, the probability of cumulative rate cuts of at least 25 basis points by January next year is as high as 92.2%.
