Brothers, I am Mig.
Just now, I repeatedly compared this four-hour chart with the latest market news, and it gave me a cold sweat—an intricately designed 'harvesting script' may be unfolding.
Many people only see the golden cross and the rise, but overlook several fatal details.
First, let's look at the news that you care about the most; it's definitely not as simple as 'rate cut good news'.
The Federal Reserve's rate cut probability in December has soared to 87.3%, almost a done deal. But what the market really cares about is not the 'rate cut', but what happens 'after the rate cut'.
Historical patterns tell us: the news expectation phase is often a golden window for a surge, while once the news is officially released, it is easy to see a sharp drop of 'buy the expectation, sell the fact'.
This is like a press conference; the stock price soars during the rumors, but when the news comes out, the benefits are all exhausted. Once the dollar weakens, global hot money will indeed seek an exit, and BTC is one of the alternative pools, but it takes time for funds to come in, while the operator can pump and dump in an instant.
At this moment, it is precisely the time when the news is ambiguous and most suitable for creating volatility.
Looking at the technical side, this chart hides two 'devilish details':
"Golden cross below the zero axis" is a strong reversal signal or a bullish trap in a downtrend?
A real strong golden cross usually occurs above or near the zero axis. Currently, the double lines are deeply trapped below the zero axis, which looks more like a rebound after an oversold condition. The upper level of 94000 is strong resistance, and 100000 is a psychological ceiling. Without massive funds backing it, a single spike followed by a retreat can trap all those chasing high prices.
Key supports are densely packed, indicating significant market divergence.
87000-88000 is the first line of defense, 84000 is the second, and 80600 is marked as the 'bottom support.' What does this indicate? It shows that large funds themselves are also unclear, having prematurely drawn a 'retreat roadmap.' Under this structure, the market is prone to form a 'spike'—rapidly testing resistance levels and then quickly retracing to support levels for washing out positions.
My core prediction: In the more than 20 hours before the Federal Reserve's decision, BTC is very likely to surge upwards, probing 94000 or even higher, creating a 'breakthrough illusion' to attract retail FOMO chasing after high prices. Subsequently, just before and after the news lands, it may suddenly reverse and plunge, deeply retracing to the 87000-8800 area to seek support. If market sentiment is extremely pessimistic, a quick drop to 84000 cannot be ruled out. 80600 is the bottom in extreme cases, and it is also where most leverage will be liquidated; it will not be touched unless absolutely necessary.
The three things retail investors must do now:
Engrave 'batch' on your forehead: No matter how bullish you are, only use 1/3 of the planned funds for now. If it rises to 94000, reduce your position by 1/2 to let profits fly; if it directly drops, buy back in batches at 87000 and 84000, absolutely do not go all-in at once.
Set 'time' as an alarm: The key monitoring time is from 2:50 to 3:30 AM on Thursday, December 11. During this period, it is better to miss out than to make a mistake. The volatility will be several times greater than usual.
Learn to 'look at volume' as a life-saving skill: When breaking 94000, if the trading volume does not significantly increase, that is a false breakthrough, meant for you to run away, not to chase after high prices.
Trading cryptocurrencies is not gambling; it is a game of cognition and human nature.
Mig will not only share key points like this in the chat room and village in advance, but more importantly, he will guide everyone to review the logic behind each operation: Why did I ask you to reduce your position here? Why is that spike an opportunity rather than a trap? Many fans have followed me from just looking at K-lines to learning to combine macro and on-chain data for comprehensive judgments, gradually developing their own trading systems.
Follow Mig and participate in every attack by the villagers! Mig will announce the specific entry times and real-time news in the village every day!
