The precise point has been marked, and success or failure depends on tonight, friends. I am Qi He. Tonight's market has my adrenaline soaring. On one side is the frenzied news of the Franklin meme coin on the SOL chain surging 160% in 24 hours, and on the other, SOL itself has reached a critically important crossroads. Many people are asking whether the market can break through the resistance level of 136 tonight, or will it turn around and drop to 134 or even 131?
In conjunction with the news.
The surge of 160% in the Franklin meme coin indicates that market speculation remains strong. However, you need to understand the signals behind it: this money is aimed at 'speculation', with active funds in the market seeking stimulation, rather than a long-term positive outlook on the entire SOL ecosystem's fundamentals.
This kind of excitement is often characteristic of the end of sector rotation or the market's consolidation period, and it has limited pulling power on mainstream coins like SOL. Instead, it may cause funds to temporarily flow out of SOL due to a siphoning effect.
Look at the technicals.
Although the one-hour K-line shows an upward trend, it has already shown signs of fatigue. The key point is the MACD; the white and yellow lines are below the zero axis, and there are signs of a golden cross turning into a dead cross. Such a transition below the zero axis is usually not a signal for a strong main rise, but rather a sign of weak rebounds, possibly indicating a second downward test. The price is currently stuck at 132.78, with 136 being a strong resistance level for rebounds, and without volume support, it's hard to break through at once.
Below, 134 is the key level, and 131 is the lifeline support. Tonight, the focus is on these two positions to see which one can hold.
My personal opinion: the two scripts for tonight.
High probability script: oscillation and pullback, solidifying the foundation. SOL will first test the key level of 134 downwards, even breaching it slightly, to look for a truly solid support point near the 131 support level. This is the healthiest way to proceed, accumulating strength for a genuine breakthrough at 136, or even 140. For players, this is your opportunity to catch up or add to your position.
Low probability script: emotional boost, forceful breakthrough. If Franklin's fervor continues to spill over, or there is a sudden major positive development, SOL might break through 136 violently with huge trading volume. Such a rise without sufficient turnover often goes up quickly but also falls sharply.
No matter which script you follow, you need a clearer entry signal. This signal, I have summarized into a simple mantra; it is more direct and effective than looking at any complex indicators.
I am Qihe, an analyst who just wants to clarify the market. If you don't want to get lost in the wild fluctuations, want to seize key moments instead of blindly chasing up and down, then follow Qihe, + the chat room will help you avoid pitfalls, dismantling subsequent capital movements in real-time, and catching every profitable window!
