1. Starting Point: The 'gamble' on a cold winter night
In that winter of 2016, Bitcoin crashed to 5550 yuan, and I was clutching the last 30,000 yuan in my bank card — that was the rent for next month. A friend said, 'Want to take a gamble? Surviving is more important than making quick money.' I couldn't even understand the candlestick chart; I just felt this sentence was like a lifeline. Gritting my teeth, I stuffed the money into the exchange, thinking, 'If I lose it all, I'll just sleep on the overpass.'
Looking back now, the decision that night was devoid of technical content, purely an impulse born out of desperation. But the irony of fate is that often the intuition forced out in desperate situations is closer to the truth than all theories.
2. Slap-in-the-face Education: The market specializes in curing various 'I understand.'
In the first three years, I was like a devout student, studying white papers and tracking project progress, only to be slapped in the face by the market every time I thought I had grasped the rules.
Rapid Decline, Slow Rise = Reaper Signal: For example, in a certain popular Layer 1 project, when the media hyped it, the price slowly rose, but once the community celebrated and retail investors chased the highs, it inevitably crashed. Later, I learned: when emotions align, it's the countdown for a contrarian operation.
Slow Decline, Rapid Rise = Opportunity Window: In 2020, UNI fell from $8 to $2.5, and the community was in an uproar. I used the naive strategy of 'buying more every 20% drop' to bring my cost down to $3.1. When it surged to $40 the following year, this trade made me 12 times profit. The key is not in accurately timing the bottom, but in maintaining rhythm during the decline and refusing to panic.
3. Exit Discipline: Intuition is more important than technical skills.
I have seen too many people make money, but very few have managed to keep it. My principle is very simple:
Flee from Frenzy: In 2021, Dogecoin topped the trending searches, but the on-chain trading volume fell for seven consecutive days. After I cleared my positions, the price halved within three days. When even street vendors are discussing cryptocurrencies, retreat is the only option.
Silent Vigilance: In 2018, BTC traded sideways at $3200 for two weeks, with trading volume shrinking to 'extremely low levels.' I invested $100 daily, and after six months, my cost was less than $4000, successfully catching the '312' main upward wave. When the market is silent, it often heralds a significant change.
4. Ultimate Insight: Acknowledging 'I don't understand' is the first step
In eight years, 30,000 turned into 80 million, and the deepest realization is: when you think you've understood, it's often the eve of a crisis. The market is always evolving, and strategies that worked yesterday may fail in the next moment. Now my trading plan states: 'If you don't understand, step back; it's better to miss out than to gamble on luck.'
For instance, in 2023, when some new protocols exploded in popularity, I studied for a week and still didn't understand their economic models, even though people around me were making a fortune, I felt no envy. Eventually, most of them went to zero. Resisting greed requires more courage than pursuing profit.
5. Female Perspective: Emotions are not the enemy; they are radar.
As a female analyst, I was once questioned for being 'not rational enough.' But now I firmly believe: emotional perception is a top-notch risk control tool. When the market falls into collective frenzy or panic, the body's instincts will alert before the data. Learning to listen to it is more reliable than blindly trusting indicators.
Written at the end
In the crypto world, there are no myths, only survivors. Behind my 80 million is countless times of being slapped in the face, stop-losses, and missed opportunities. If you are also on the journey, remember: surviving is more important than anything else.
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