Recently, $LUNA2 and $LUNC have shown a significantly strong trend, not driven by speculation but by event-driven factors: the founder will face a sentencing hearing on the 11th.
Everyone in the circle understands the play: as long as the event hasn't materialized, the market will speculate in advance around the "possible favorable outcome".
1. Event expectations: The hearing has become the strongest speculation theme.
Regardless of the outcome, as long as the market believes "there is a possibility of favorable news",
funds will position themselves early, treating the favorable news as "concept stimulation".
At this stage, it is most likely to occur: pulling prices based on expectations; using emotions to build momentum; secretly accumulating shares while retail investors are afraid to buy.
2. The real reason for the strong trend: the bottom chips have been sufficiently absorbed.
From a structural perspective, LUNA2 and LUNC have both declined sharply before, and the bottom consolidation period has been long enough.
This type of asset is most suitable for a dual rise driven by "events + main force": small bottoms are easier to push; emotions have been bad long enough for favorable news to be amplified; market makers have low absorption costs, and a push can cash out.
The current price performance looks more like:
Bottom chips have been absorbed → borrowing the hearing expectations to drive up → waiting for high positions to cash out.
Rising relies on speculation, falling relies on reality, and operations only focus on emotions, not logic. Brother Guang will also look for opportunities to position and make a profit!
If you feel confused and want to recover your losses but lack direction, you can come to the chat room to find me! @日内波段广哥
