🔥🚨FED DECEMBER MEETING PREVIEW
Markets and analysts expect a 25bp rate cut in December, with Kalshi odds at 95% and nearly all major banks calling for the same. Most see it as a “hawkish cut”—action with tighter communication.
The dot plot shows little change from September, with only 50bp of total cuts priced for 2026–2027.
Forward guidance is likely to be downgraded, and no unanimous vote is expected. Overall, the December cut is priced in, but the Fed is expected to temper expectations for aggressive 2026 easing.
