The large pancake rapidly surged last midnight, faced pressure and fell back in the early morning, and surged again in the morning. Currently, a double top has formed on the 4-hour chart, and a short-term rebound can continue to sell short during the day.
Mainstream is falling, top altcoins are also falling, but ARC is going against the trend and not following the major trend, currently operating near 5520. This is a good opportunity for us to short!
Operation suggestion: Short near 5700, target around 3200.
In the morning, Ethereum followed Bitcoin and crashed sharply, directly breaking through key support. It then rebounded at 2830 and is currently fluctuating around 2860. The rebound after the sharp drop is merely a technical correction and not a reversal. For short-term trading today, continue to short on any rebound.
Trading suggestion: Short around 2890, target 2700.
Negotiations broke down! Safe-haven demand boosted gold to a significant rise, but Bitcoin, on the other hand, faced a substantial decline, reversing all the gains made at the end of last month. Technical indicators once again show strong bearish momentum. As mentioned earlier, a rebound is not a reversal. Currently, prices are fluctuating at low levels with weak rebound strength. For intraday short positions, continue to short on rebounds.
There are always people in the crypto world obsessed with the "mindset theory," fantasizing about conquering the market through Zen-like inner cultivation.
But the reality is: those who can sustain profits don't need to deliberately adjust their mindset—trying to compensate for cognitive deficiencies with a calm attitude is like installing a golden helm on a paper boat; it ultimately can't withstand the storms.
To establish oneself in the crypto world, the primary task is not to cultivate the mind, but to build a complete market cognitive system.
I often hear people questioning: the market is full of random fluctuations, opening a position feels like tossing a coin; how can one ensure long-term profits?
Traders trapped in the "single trade profit and loss" dilemma will forever struggle at the edge of gains and losses. The key to breaking this cycle lies in establishing a spatial and temporal view of "thousand trades."
Assuming 1000 trades are executed, with a win rate of only 40%, but an average gain of 5 units when winning and only losing 1 unit when losing. The final net profit = 200×5 - 600×1=400 units.
This is the survival code of professional traders: not pursuing victory in every battle, but focusing on the art of profit-loss ratio. The "thousand trades" here is a metaphor, representing a strategic deepening to resolve tactical fluctuations.
The path to realization requires threefold transformation:
On the cognitive level, grasp the four major rules:
Trends are like tides; those who swim against the current will drown.
Momentum is like waves; the strong get stronger.
Reversion is like gravity; extremes must revert.
Cycles are like seasons; bulls and bears always cycle.
On the execution level, adhere to a simple philosophy:
Identify key levels to pull the trigger, and retreat immediately upon hitting the defense line. The most effective tactics are often plain and unadorned.
When cognition and action form a closed loop, you will possess:
The calmness of no longer losing sleep over fluctuations.
The posture of no longer regretting single losses.
The clarity of truly turning trading into a probability game.
You need not envy those calm traders; they simply completed their cognitive upgrade a step ahead of you. Start now, replace guesswork with systems, use rules to master emotions, and let each trade become a footnote of probability advantage. #币安HODLer空投AT
Sharp insight into short opportunities! Entering high positions starts the crazy profit mode, perfectly capturing a decline of 1200 points, realizing substantial profits of 9200U, and only strong results speak volumes!
The market never waits for an explosion; opportunities always slip away in hesitation! Price fluctuations occur daily, but the chances for doubling are few and far between. A single precise grasp is enough to rewrite the profit pattern!
Target: 20Wu+ Qualification: 1.2Wu+
Core rule: Execute with full force, and never gamble on stop-loss!
November is already in the past; December is about to flash drop. Find 5 qualified benches, keep a close eye on the current signals, and decisively follow the rhythm. Waiting for you to join forces to break the situation! No more sitting at the corner of the table at the end of the year! #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析 #ETH巨鲸增持 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH
The biggest negative news is coming, do you still believe Bitcoin can reach 150,000?
The ban in 2021 led to a massive crash, and in 2025, 13 departments will strike again. Do you still think Bitcoin can reach 150,000?
By the middle of next year, you will witness Bitcoin starting with a 5!
Friendly reminder: If you want to sell your spot positions, hurry up; those who recently bought the dip should refrain from doing so. #加密市场观察 #特朗普加密新政 $BTC $ETH
The biggest negative news in the cryptocurrency world is about to arrive. Do you still believe Bitcoin can reach 150,000?
The ban in 2021 caused a significant crash in virtual currencies, and in 2025, 13 departments will once again crack down on regulation. Without the participation of Chinese individuals, relying only on the United States, do you still think Bitcoin can reach 150,000?
Once this regulation is seriously implemented, you will witness Bitcoin starting with 5! It will materialize by mid-next year at the latest. A friendly reminder: if you want to exit the spot market, hurry up, and those who recently tried to buy the dip, don't do it anymore. #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH $BNB
Taking the Super Trend 12-day line as an example, there have only been 3 instances in history where bear market signals were retracted, the first occurring in 2014, which is not very significant; the most recent 2 instances happened on December 15, 2019, and between May and July 2021;
During that instance in 2019, we were generally bottom-fishing at $6000, and then indeed welcomed a trend rebound, but in the end, we were still wiped out by 3-12...
The instance in 2021 was similar, as the market was scared stiff by 5-19, and most people were trading futures with a sense of desperation mixed with luck, not expecting that although the spot market continued to shrink, the futures market was very FOMO, pulling BTC to a new high!
Just when everyone was happy, it just happened to be the peak of the bull, and then followed a liquidity bear market lasting more than a year...
In summary, the current bear market signal on the Super Trend 12-day line is more like 2021, and after a long period of oscillation (2 months), as long as the closing price of the 12-day line does not break the key support indicator (85700), there is still hope for a continued rebound in the future...
But as for a long-term bull market, whether there is a rebound or not, strong or weak, it is likely to be over...
After all, this round of bull market has reached the point where the price is also the first time it has pierced the core support level on the 12-day line (the lower edge of the green band) ... #币安HODLer空投AT #香港稳定币新规 #ETH走势分析 $BTC
After fluctuating, the pancake saw a bullish surge last night, quickly falling back to around 90100 after reaching 93080, and our high short was also successfully executed.
Currently, the cryptocurrency price is around 90800, with the daily chart facing pressure and falling back after reaching the mid-track. The 4-hour chart has entered a downward fluctuation again, and the 1-hour Bollinger Bands continue to open downward. Considering the weekend's fluctuating pattern and the shrinking trading volume, today's operation will take high shorts and low longs.
Operation suggestion: Short around 91500, target around 90000.
In the square, I often see some investment partners陷入困境。
They are either deeply trapped or have lost almost all their capital.
After that, they either immerse themselves in regret and self-blame and cannot extricate themselves, or they painfully cut their positions and exit the market in a dejected manner; some people keep adding to their positions, thinking they can turn the situation around, but the result is often continued losses, repeating the cycle, and they never find a way to escape the predicament.
I have rich experience in professional position liquidation and particularly want to use this experience to help these friends and recover their losses.
Seeing those who trust me and are willing to try liquidation strategies with me regain their investment confidence brings me great comfort.