锦琦-女侠

The direction is wrong, running is in vain; with the right strategy, you achieve twice the result with half the effort.

Don't rely on luck to gamble on tomorrow; choosing the right direction is more important. Say goodbye to blind trial and error, and easily take control of your wealth.

Monday Thought Analysis:

The strong rise over the weekend broke the downward rhythm, and last night saw a high surge followed by a sharp brake into adjustment. This rebound is either the beginning of a new rising cycle or just a wave trend.

The key signals are clear: the daily moving averages are collectively turning upwards, bullish momentum is continuously being released, and the adjustment is merely a short-term recharge! Currently, the sideways repair is a healthy pullback, and the probability of a second rise in the future is very high. There is no need to get tangled in the adjustment space; just go long directly in the short term.

Bitcoin: buy around 90900-90200, target 93000, breakthrough looking at around 95000,
Ethereum: buy around 3010-2950, target 3200, breakthrough looking at around 3500.

Friday Analysis:

The channel is in a sideways trend with narrowing bandwidth, and market volatility has dropped to a low level! More crucially, the price has broken the middle track, and the bulls can't hold on anymore; it is likely to go down in the short term!

Those who understand, understand; this kind of directional choice after convergence is often a precursor to a big market movement. Should we get on board together to take advantage of the pullback?

Bitcoin around 91800-92500, target around 90500-89800
Ethereum around 3060-3100, target around 2970-2920

Thursday Thought Analysis:

The 4-hour chart shows a strong breakout with four consecutive bullish candles! The bulls are fully engaged, and trading volume is increasing, establishing a solid one-sided trend. The subsequent upward momentum is poised for a significant rise! Although the 1-hour chart shows a tug-of-war near the upper Bollinger Band with alternating minor bearish and bullish movements, the step-up structure remains intact, indicating a healthy consolidation phase—short-term fluctuations are narrowing, which instead solidifies the foundation for an upward move. Be patient and hold on, waiting for a new round of increases!

Bitcoin: around 89500-90000, target 91200-93000.
Ethereum: around 2880-2930, target 3030-3200.

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Thursday Thought Analysis:

The hourly BOLL opening is widening + the moving averages are diverging, which seems strong, but the price accurately hits double resistance: the previous area of high trading volume + the pressure point of the right shoulder in a head and shoulders pattern, in the case of insufficient volume, do not blindly chase long positions!

Bitcoin: around 91000-91500, target around 89800-89200
Ethereum: around 3080-3130, target around 2970-2920

Evening Thought Analysis:

Accurately capturing Dian Wei's key signals on the hourly chart: breaking the middle track + increased volume, support turning into resistance solidified! The bears completely hold the initiative, showing no signs of a rebound after breaking, directly heading towards the lower track, the trend is clear without hesitation, those who understand know, follow and reap the rewards without hesitation～

Bitcoin point: 88200-88800 range, target 86000-85400 range
Ethereum: 2960-3010 range, target 2860-2810 range

Wednesday Thought Analysis:

The hourly BOLL band has "closed the door", and market fluctuations are becoming smaller! Dian Wei just broke through the middle track and then "lost momentum", falling back to the same place to consolidate, indicating that the bulls are really not strong! Next, either gather strength to charge again or directly pull back, keep a close eye on the middle track gains and losses, the opportunity is right in front of us!

Bitcoin: around 88800-92000, target around 86800-86200
Ethereum: around 3000-3040, target around 2900-2850

Pancake 1400 points, Ethereum 70 points!

DOGE is currently reported at 0.15014. The 1-hour level trend shows a pattern of 'rise then adjustment', currently oscillating around the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The middle track serves as a short-term core support level, intensifying the battle between bulls and bears.

In terms of technical indicators, the KDJ indicator shows a dead cross pattern (the K line is running below the D line), and the J line is in a low region; the MACD indicator is simultaneously weakening, with the DIF line running below the DEA line, green bars continue to appear, and the dual indicators resonate, indicating that short-term pullback pressure is increasing, and the rebound momentum is temporarily paused.

In terms of trend prediction, it is highly likely to maintain a 'rebound then consolidation' rhythm in the short term, with the middle track of the Bollinger Bands being a key dividing line for bulls and bears: if it can stabilize above the middle track support, a continuation of the rebound trend is expected; once it falls below the middle track, it may test the lower Bollinger Band support at 0.14509. Coupled with the favorable background of the grayscale DOGE ETF approval being digested, the market is currently in a state of emotional wait-and-see, and it is necessary to be wary of the pullback risk of 'buying the expectation and selling the fact'.

Operational suggestions: Short-term traders can seize the short opportunity on rebounds, positioning short orders in the 0.151-0.153 range, targeting a drop to 0.147-0.145, with stop-loss set above 0.155, and strictly control positions to respond to oscillating volatility.

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Tuesday Thought Analysis

The hourly Bollinger Bands are expanding, indicating a rise in short-term volatility. After the price surged and touched the upper band, it failed to break through effectively and subsequently fell back under the pressure of the upper band, currently gradually approaching the middle band.

Bitcoin: 88800-89600 range, target 87500-86800. Ethereum: 2990-3040 range, target 2900-2850.

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Midday Thoughts:

The hourly BOLL channel is currently "tightening and accumulating power"; short-term fluctuations have entered a narrow range of oscillation! The upper band is a horizontal resistance, which is the core obstacle to the current rebound; the middle and lower bands are simultaneously diverging at a slight angle upwards, with support continuously increasing, making the bottom more solid～

Current prices are fluctuating between the middle and upper bands. After a morning dip, the bulls have quietly gained a slight advantage! Although temporarily constrained by the upper band pressure, under the shrinking pattern, the choice of direction for a breakthrough or a fallback is imminent; keep an eye on the key level movements!

Bitcoin:88000,88600 nearby, target 86600-86000
Ethereum:2900,2940 nearby, target 2800-2750

Monday Thought Analysis

Key Points! The hourly BOLL gives a clear turning signal: the previous upward diverging channel has completely come to an end, the three lines are flat = short-term trend paused, range oscillation officially begins!

Upper track meets resistance + insufficient volume = quick pullback, ultimately stabilizing on the middle track! Next is the main stage for high selling and low buying, the signal is clear, those who dare to follow can profit!

Bitcoin: Short around 87000-87500, target around 85500-85000.
Ethereum: Short around 2800-2840, target around 2700-2750.

Saturday night thoughts:

Looking at the hourly Bollinger Bands makes it clear: we are currently in a sideways fluctuation, with no obvious upward or downward trend. However, the price has already broken below the middle band and has not bounced back yet; it is heading towards the lower band.~
Holding short positions is fine, but wait a bit longer for long positions—don’t rush to enter. It's safer to wait for the right opportunity to act!

Bitcoin: buy around 83200-82700, target 84300-84800. Ethereum: buy around 2670-2630, target 2760-2800.

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BNB is currently dominated by bears, with trading volume continuously shrinking, confirming that the rebound is merely a weak correction! Firmly position short orders in the 880-888 range, with the first target directly hitting 850. Once it breaks, look down to 820~