董言x加密日记

The market is constantly changing, it's important to follow the trend; plan your trades, trade your plan, how far one can go depends on who they walk with. Welcome to all crypto friends to exchange ideas, crazy profit USDT$BTC $ETH $SOL #美国结束政府停摆 #Strategy增持比特币 #山寨季來了？

Half of July has just passed, and it's time to report on the results of the investment group. Most partners came in around 1Wu, with an average growth of 3-4 times, and currently, this result is relatively satisfactory! Of course, where there are gains, there are losses; the old boss cannot guarantee that everyone will achieve significant returns, as execution varies. However, as long as over 80% of people make a profit, this plan is worth continuing! $BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币巨鲸动向

Multiple reminders to retrace during the day means more, isn't this the 30-point gold?! #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 $ETH $SOL

The box is not broken and there is no stop loss. All long positions are now in profit, from -2718 to +16322, stemming from inherent trading confidence! #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察

The best time for gold is currently, and it has been in a continuous range fluctuation for 12 days! #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察

12.9 Dong Yan: Gold continues to fluctuate, both long and short opportunities available today!

To briefly discuss today's trading strategy. Currently, there are no negative news regarding gold. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates is still at 89%. There has been no progress in the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Therefore, our judgment on the market trend today is still based on fluctuations; the strategy for fluctuations is to reduce positions at relatively high levels and increase positions at relatively low levels.

In a range-bound fluctuation, it is not advisable to chase highs before an effective breakout; focus on buying low! You can directly enter the market to go long around 4180! If the short-term market can effectively break through the resistance at 4230, then increase positions and continue to go long. The area around 4245-4255 is the resistance position connecting the previous downtrend high points! There will still be pressure within this area, and once this area is broken, it indicates that gold has officially started a daily level rebound; at this position, look for a rebound upwards with a long position.

Gold: Long around 4180, target 4220; if not broken, then short around this area, target looking at 4180. #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH $SOL

Gold has currently achieved three consecutive victories today, and there is still a long position of 4192 being held. Although there aren't many trades each day, the advantage lies in stability. $ETH $SOL #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐

There is still room below Ethereum, it may drop another 100 points, which means it will stop and rebound near 3000. Continue to hold the short position $ETH $SOL #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

Before the US market opens, made two short trades, capturing a small profit of 17 points, $3456 secured #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐

At the end of last month, it was repeatedly emphasized that although the market is bullish and in a strong phase, as long as the strong resistance at 94000 is not broken, the main outlook remains for consolidation. Currently, the four-hour level is verifying the trend, continue to short on highs, and just deal with short longs below 90,000, focusing on segments, without needing to engage in long-term patterns before the box breakout. $ETH $BTC $SOL #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

12.8 Dong Yan: Gold remains resilient at high levels, breaking through the triangle pattern

Last Friday, gold formed a downward trend after a sharp decline, effectively retracing the 4-hour range; although the movement was relatively quick, it maintained the overall 4-hour range oscillation, keeping the daily K-line in a high-level sideways resistance, with the market consistently waiting for news and external stimuli!

For today’s short-term analysis:

1: On the 4-hour chart, the BOLL range is currently running horizontally, fluctuating within the range of 4180-4230; during the day, this range can be used to adopt a low-buy high-sell strategy!

2: On the 1-hour chart, the temporary support level is around 4190, with the mid-axis pressure level around 4216; therefore, in the short term, one can handle the short-term based on the 1-hour support level of 4190-4180; above, the pressure level of 4216-4230 can be considered for short selling in the short term;

3: In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator is running downwards with a death cross, indicating a bearish signal; in terms of patterns, there is a temporary high-level fragmented bearish and bullish movement; the support level below is around 4110;

In summary: today will still be treated as oscillation; the support range of 4180-4190 lays out short-term longs; the pressure level of 4216-4230 lays out short-term shorts! Market changes will be followed up! #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

12.5 Dong Yan: Gold Consolidation and Oscillation, Intensifying Tug-of-War

On Thursday, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. was far below expectations, reaching the lowest level in over three years. Spot gold maintained a fluctuating trend during the day, ultimately closing up 0.15%. Today, everyone can pay attention to the PCE data in the evening.
  
  Gold has still been fluctuating in recent days, dropping in the Asian session, rising in the European session, and retreating after a surge in the U.S. session, with a small bullish line closing on the daily chart. After breaking below 4195 during the session, I chased a short position and exited at 4176, then continuously executed high sell and low buy in the 4180-4200 range, all taking profits. This week has seen three consecutive trading days of fluctuating washout trends, with back-and-forth movements and poor continuation. In my opinion, after the washout ends, a decline will follow. Today, the area around 4215-4220 is important resistance, and we should look for shorting opportunities near this resistance during any rebounds.

Gold: 4215-4220 short, stop loss at 4225, target looking at 4190, 4180. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐

The Doji candlestick may seem unremarkable, but it actually conceals many mysteries, explained in 4 sentences!

1. Downward movement with low volume → the main force wants to set sail; there is a stabilization signal, and the main force will begin to recover upward.

2. Retracement with trapezoidal volume → do not try to catch the bottom; it presents a stair-step downward pressure in volume, signaling that the main force is distributing, so do not rush to act.

3. Doji with large volume → still needs observation; it indicates a large divergence in capital, with a balance in the long and short positions, and the direction has not yet been determined.

4. Contraction in Doji → the washout will be completed; during the adjustment, a small volume Doji indicates that the main force's washout is about to end, signaling a potential trend change. $ETH $BTC $SOL #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

How are the two take-profit levels for the pancake ether? $ETH $BTC $SOL #特朗普加密新政 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

Gold short position target has arrived as scheduled, 30 points of gold is equivalent to 3000 points of a big pie! In the European market, we are paying attention to the 4170 break situation; if it holds, we will shift to a short-term bullish outlook at 4200 and 4205. $ETH $SOL #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐

12.4 Dong Yan: Gold Long and Short Wash Plate, Beware of Air Force Attacks!

The "small non-farm" report released on Wednesday shocked the market, with the U.S. ADP employment figures for November decreasing by 32,000, while the market had expected an increase of 10,000. This has strengthened expectations for a rate cut in the U.S. next week, but spot gold rebounded after touching $4,240 and ultimately closed down 0.08%. Today, continue to pay attention to the initial jobless claims data at 9:30 PM.

Gold experienced a "roller coaster" market on Wednesday, dropping in the Asian and European sessions, then soaring in the U.S. session before a significant pullback, with the daily line closing with a small bearish candle. The market has been a bit difficult to navigate these past two days, with a common pattern of washing the plate; not only did the day session and night session trends appear to be inverse, but the night session also saw repeated washing. From the daily chart, gold has not refreshed its high point for two consecutive trading days, and today marks the third trading day. The longer the oscillation time here, the more it is likely to be bearish, especially since it is at the upper boundary of the range, so beware of wide range oscillations. Today focuses on making a short position, with upper resistance at 4215 and 4225, and lower support at 4195. If the price breaks below the 4195 support, it may open up downward space.

Gold: 4220, 4230 directly short, targets 4195, 4185, 4170. $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场观察 #ETH巨鲸增持

Why did Japan raise interest rates, and why is BTC the first to collapse?

Once Japan raises interest rates, what consequences will this operation trigger? It means there is no free money anymore; borrowed money starts to incur interest, leading to reduced profits, and investors begin to close their positions. In this, U.S. Treasury bonds are an important link.

Japanese investors are the largest foreign holders of U.S. Treasury bonds. According to the U.S. Treasury's TIC data, as of early 2024, Japan's holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds amount to approximately $1.15 trillion, firmly ranking first in the world.

When the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, the yield on domestic Japanese bonds starts to rise (for example, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield surpasses the 1% mark). This means that Japanese money does not need to take on the risk of exchange rate fluctuations to buy U.S. Treasury bonds but opts to sell U.S. bonds and return funds to Japan to purchase domestic bonds.

The selling of U.S. bonds leads to a drop in U.S. bond prices, causing yields to rise; an increase in U.S. bond yields means an increase in global dollar borrowing costs. Global risk assets are then at risk. From the black swan event in 2020, Bitcoin has always been the first risk asset to be abandoned by funds; after all, it is a 7x24 casino and also the technology asset with the least data support. Today, it seems that Bitcoin remains the first to be abandoned. $BTC $ETH $SOL #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析

The rise of gold still has room to grow, 4300 is just around the corner! #美联储重启降息步伐 #特朗普加密新政 #美联储降息预期升温

12.3: Dong Yan Gold Morning Review

Yesterday, the gold market opened at 4232 in the early session, then slightly rose to reach a daily high of 4236 before the price fluctuated and fell back. During the U.S. trading session, the daily low dropped to 4162, and then there was a rally towards the end, ultimately closing at 4210, forming a long lower shadow hammer shape;

After such a shape concludes, the daily line effectively pulled back to the upper triangle and began to rise, with the hourly MA also gradually turning upwards. Today's market will continue to pull back to extend the long positions, but after forming a consolidation pattern, the daily line mainly focuses on a range-based approach, so there is no need to overly fixate on one direction.

Gold: 4185, 4175 continue to oscillate, target looking at 4236, 4250;
Silver: 57.2, 57 oscillate, target looking at 58.5, 59. #加密市场观察 #加密市场回调 #美联储重启降息步伐

The pancake 869's duo, the old boss will reduce the position in the Luo bag by a portion, and then continue to hold until the third target $ETH $BTC $SOL #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析