日内半山猎人

Strategy can be found directly on Binance! ID xiong11111
The strategy has been synchronized $ETH $BTC #币安合约实盘 #巨鲸动向

Don't dream of "getting rich overnight" anymore. The country is directly trying to block the last "gap" of virtual currency.

Just yesterday, the central bank held a tough meeting specifically targeting "virtual currency trading speculation".

The core message can be summed up in three points:

First, the definition hasn't changed. Bitcoin and Ethereum are definitely not money in the country; they cannot be used as money. Anyone who dares to circulate them will be breaking the law.
Second, the business red line: anyone involved in virtual currency exchange or trading facilitation is considered to be engaging in "illegal financial activities" and will be arrested.
Third, a new focus: this time, the spotlight is on "stablecoins" (like USDT), which are clearly stated to be accomplices in money laundering, fraud, and illegal cross-border fund transfers, making them impossible to regulate, thus must be severely cracked down on.
Everyone should pay attention to a term in the news called "coordinated mechanism," indicating that this is not just the central bank's issue; it's a joint effort by public security, the judiciary, and the internet information office.
Previously, people thought trading coins was a personal freedom. Now, the authorities tell you this is called "illegal financial activity." The harshest part of this is the characterization of "stablecoins": it was previously seen by many as a tool to bypass foreign exchange controls, but now the authorities equate it directly with "illegal cross-border fund transfers." What does this mean? It means that buying and selling USDT in the future will no longer be a simple investment activity; it could very well be classified as an accomplice to "disguised foreign exchange trading" or even "money laundering."
Those still engaging in OTC (over-the-counter trading) as merchants and "crypto big shots" face heightened risks. Previously, it might have just been freezing accounts, but now there is a high probability they will be classified as engaging in "aiding and abetting crimes" or "illegal business operations," which could lead to imprisonment.
Ordinary retail investors should take note; the state has stated that it "does not have legal compensation," meaning if you are scammed on a platform, if an exchange runs away, or if USDT crashes, the law does not protect you. Reporting to the police will be useless; your money is gone.
In the long run, the digital RMB will be the biggest winner. Now that the country has blocked the "wild path," it is paving the way for legal digital currency.
For ordinary people, it's best to completely abandon the thought of "getting rich by trading coins" and protect your bank cards and credit records. As long as you live in the country, do not touch virtual currencies. That is not a trend; it is now a fast track to detention center $BTC $ETH #美联储降息 #代币化热潮

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raising interest rates on December 18-19 is not a 'dark war' conspiracy, but rather a gradual normalization of monetary policy: domestic inflation is exceeding expectations (Tokyo CPI 2.0%) + international pressures (soaring U.S. bond yields, weak yen) are driving this with a 90% probability. This is more akin to policy coordination between the U.S. and Japan to avoid global liquidity imbalances, rather than geopolitical confrontation. Currently, the yen is ¥153/USD, and after the rate hike, it may rise to ¥140; the cryptocurrency market is under short-term pressure but has already priced this in. Domestic economic 'preparations': The inevitability of inflation and a weak yen. The BOJ's interest rate hike is a preparation for a 'soft landing' after years of ultra-loose policy, not an emergency measure: Inflation stickiness: Tokyo's core CPI has been above 2% for consecutive months, service inflation at 3.0%, and high import costs (energy/food) are forcing the BOJ to move from -0.1% to 0.75%. The limit for yen intervention: Interventions exceeding 90 trillion yen in 2024, depletion of foreign exchange reserves, and market expectations for interest rate hikes to stabilize the exchange rate. Political consensus: The Kishida/Shinzo cabinet supports normalization to avoid electoral pressure, with hawkish voices among committee members prevailing (such as Ueda Kazuo's gradualist theory). This is not a 'dark war', but data-driven: JGB yields have broken 1.95% (an 18-year high), and the BOJ needs to anchor the curve. International 'game': U.S.-Japan coordination vs. global liquidity undercurrents. Behind the surface 'preparation' is transatlantic coordination: Bond pressure: Under expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the U.S. 10-year yield is at 4.0%, and Japan, as the largest creditor (holding $1.1 trillion in U.S. bonds), needs to raise rates synchronously to prevent arbitrage inversion and avoid capital outflows. G7 framework: The 2024 G7 summit tacitly allows Japan's normalization in exchange for the yen not depreciating indefinitely (to prevent export dumping), reinforcing the U.S.-Japan alliance (chips/security). Hedging against China factors: A strong yen indirectly raises pressure on the renminbi, but it is not a targeted 'dark war'; it is more like a global 'rebalancing': The European Central Bank has already cut rates, and Japan is following suit to avoid isolation. Potential undercurrents: Investment bank reports indicate that the BOJ is 'forced' to respond to Wall Street (Goldman Sachs/Morgan Stanley predicting 90%), but in reality, it is voluntary—synchronizing the 20% crypto tax in 2026 to suppress speculative inflows. There is no evidence to support extreme 'dark war theories' (such as the U.S. and Japan teaming up to suppress emerging markets); it is more macro synchrony: the Federal Reserve cutting rates in December + BOJ raising rates creates a 'U.S. loose, Japan tight' differentiation, buffering against dollar hegemony. $BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐 #代币化热潮

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) meeting on December 18-19 has a high probability of raising interest rates by 25bp to 0.75%, reaching up to 90%, which will end the era of ultra-low interest rates. This will lead to a liquidation of yen carry trades, squeezing liquidity in the cryptocurrency market, and increasing the risk of selling off risk assets like BTC (historically, a drop of 18% in 2024). The current BTC price is $90,439 (24h -1.32%), with a total market capitalization of $2.85T. The market is under short-term pressure but has partially priced in
interest rate hike expectations and background.
The BOJ will hold a meeting from December 18 to 19, 2025, with the market pricing in a probability of over 90% for a rate hike to 0.75%, driven by the higher-than-expected Tokyo core CPI and hawkish signals from several officials (such as committee member Nakamura Toyoaki stating that 'the conditions for a rate hike are maturing'). This marks the end of Japan's years of ultra-loose monetary policy, and the strengthening of the yen is already partially evident (10-year JGB yields breaking an 18-year high of 1.95%). phemex ainvest
Driving factors: Inflation reaching 2.0%, a weakening yen pushing up import costs, and reduced political resistance. Pricing situation: The market has already digested this in advance, and speculative net long positions in yen limit extreme volatility, but the rise in real interest rates translates to an 'effective rate hike'. bitget
Core impact mechanism on the cryptocurrency market: The biggest risk is not a sudden surge in the yen, but the liquidation of yen carry trades: Investors borrow low-interest yen to invest in high-yield assets (such as BTC and US stocks), and a rate hike raises financing costs, compressing spreads and forcing deleveraging. New leverage decreases, and the pressure on existing positions increases, leading to liquidity tightening and heightened risk aversion. coindesk mexc
Transmission path: Global yields rise → Discount rates increase → Cryptocurrency valuations come under pressure; volatility amplifies during Asian trading hours. Historical comparison: A similar event in mid-2024 caused BTC to drop 18% intraday. Although the current environment is gradual, the leverage chain is prone to break (BTC is sensitive to macro risks). Long-term effects: Funds flow into US Treasuries/gold, combined with a 20% unified cryptocurrency tax in Japan starting in 2026, suppressing speculation. $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut can hedge against part of the negative impact of the yen's interest rate hike.

When Japan's medium to long-term yields rise rapidly and the global carry trade structure is forced to shrink, the pressure on the entire system focuses on the two aspects of "compressed interest spreads" and "withdrawn financing," and the Fed's interest rate cut can provide a buffer at these two points.

A. By lowering the cost of dollar financing to maintain the USD-JPY interest spread, the global carry trade can at least remain within an operable range, preventing a collective breach that triggers systemic deleveraging. However, whether the interest spread can be maintained depends on whether the rate cut magnitude is greater than the speed of Japan's yield increase; otherwise, it can only partially offset and cannot truly maintain the interest spread.

B. The Fed's rate cut will bring new liquidity, allowing the market to at least see new liquidity emerging under the passive deleveraging pressure caused by yen interest rate hikes, thus avoiding liquidity withdrawal.

But this is still just a "hedge," not a "reversal," because the rise in Japanese interest rates is a structural change, prompting Japanese pensions, life insurance funds, and domestic banks to reassess the risk-return on U.S. assets, leading to a cyclical capital inflow. (Until the next period of zero interest rates in Japan)

The Fed's rate cut can only affect short-term financing costs and risk preferences; it cannot change the shifts in Japan's domestic interest rate system. In the short term, the Fed's rate cut can stabilize sentiment, boost risk appetite, and alleviate the chain reaction of forced liquidation, but in the long term, the rise in Japan's interest rate structure will continue to exert pressure on global liquidity.

This situation can only be adapted to, but the return of Japanese capital does not equate to a return of global capital. The U.S. AI sector belongs to a structural track of global capital concentration, so U.S. tech stocks may still attract investments from Europe, the Middle East, and domestic U.S. funds even if Japan contracts; other regions will still enter investments, and even Japanese institutions and funds are included. $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #美联储降息

China's trade surplus has once again surpassed the $1 trillion mark this year, exceeding last year's record of $992 billion. On the global economic map, this figure is also quite incredible.

China's trade surplus breaks the "trillion" mark! Even toy cars are quietly making contributions.

According to official data, in the first 11 months of this year, China's overall exports grew by 5.4% year-on-year, while imports decreased by 0.6%, leading to a trade surplus of $1.07 trillion, surpassing the same period last year.

In November, China's exports in dollar terms grew by 5.9% year-on-year, reaching $330.35 billion, an improvement from the 1.1% decline in October, and exceeding the 3% increase predicted by financial data provider Wind.

In November, China's imports in dollar terms grew by 1.9% year-on-year, reaching $218.67 billion, higher than the 1% increase in October. The trade surplus for the month was $111.68 billion.

Taking a closer look at this report card reveals some interesting details. Although exports to the U.S. have declined for eight consecutive months, with a year-on-year drop of 28.6% in November, other markets are "on fire." The demand for Chinese goods in Africa and the EU surged by 27% and 15%, respectively, while the Southeast Asian market, led by Vietnam, also saw an 8% growth, showcasing the typical "Eastern light shines where the West does not."

Additionally, unexpected categories of export growth are also a highlight. Eurasia Group noted that in terms of export categories, China's motor and semiconductor products showed the strongest growth.

In fact, China's dominance in the low-end chip sector is becoming a new growth engine. In recent years, the global demand for AI chips has surged, squeezing the supply of low-end chips, but has provided Chinese companies with an unexpected opportunity window. An industry insider in electronics stated: "The current situation is that even making toy cars requires chips."

China's trade surplus breaks the "trillion" mark! Even toy cars are quietly making contributions.

However, the balance of trade never permanently tilts to one side. While export data shines, China's imports appear slightly sluggish—down 0.6% year-on-year in the first 11 months. This reflects that the domestic consumption market has not fully "heated up," household spending is cautious, and the internal demand engine still needs more fuel. $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #Ripple拟建10亿美元XRP储备 .

Price Surge: The price of LUNA once touched $0.13, with a rise of over 28% in 24 hours and nearly 100% increase in the last 7 days.
• Technical Analysis: Technical indicators show bullish momentum, with MACD forming a golden cross, EMA7 crossing above EMA25, but the RSI indicator at 57.75 indicates market sentiment is tending towards neutral.
• Driving Factors: Price volatility is mainly driven by the significant upgrade of the Terra network v2.18, speculative sentiment triggered by the approaching judgment of founder Do Kwon, and the burning of LUNC tokens.
Market Conditions
• LUNA is quoted at approximately $0.1338, with a 24-hour increase of 28.72% and a 7-day increase of 93.6%.
• 24-hour trading volume exceeds $199 million, indicating active market trading.
• Market capitalization is $143 million, ranking approximately 162nd among cryptocurrencies.
Core Driving Factors
• The Terra network has completed the v2.18 mainnet upgrade, aimed at fixing bugs and enhancing network efficiency, boosting market confidence in network stability.
• The approaching judgment of founder Do Kwon has sparked strong speculation in the market, with some traders betting that the legal risks will bring certainty to the ecosystem.
• The LUNC community is actively conducting token burns, with nearly 1.57 billion tokens burned last week, which has boosted market sentiment across the entire Terra ecosystem. 🔗
Trading Strategy
• Key resistance is between $0.1276 and $0.1300; if successfully broken, it is expected to test $0.1400 upwards.
• Initial support below is at $0.1218, followed by $0.1182.
• Technical indicators are bullish: The 1-hour EMA has formed a golden cross, MACD shows bullish momentum, and the RSI at 57.75 indicates there is still room for upward movement. $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐

What is the situation with this coin? The increase is so fierce? $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #美国宏观经济数据上链

The market has been consolidating, is LUNA about to rise again? I heard that the exchanges in South Korea are preparing to do something, is it true? $BTC $ETH $LUNA #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

Yesterday, the short position was 17 points away; otherwise, it would have been great $BTC $ETH #特朗普取消农产品关税 #加密市场回调

ETH is preparing to enter the market, 3240 positions $BTC $ETH #稳定币监管风暴 #代币化热潮

$ZEC At around six o'clock, ZEC has already been perfectly managed.
Why can I be so accurate???
Because after so many years of experience in trading, I have developed my own trading system, and my market intuition is not something an average retail investor can compare to, accumulated over time.
Still, the saying goes, people cannot earn money beyond their understanding, but if someone guides you, it becomes much easier.
Just find me in the pinned chat room, and I'll share the opening strategy: $BTC $ETH #美国结束政府停摆 #稳定币监管风暴

The trend of ETH in the past two days has shown a reasonable analysis. It tested 3130 twice yesterday and today without breaking below it. As long as it doesn't break below 3130, one can consider placing a long order, aiming for around 3220-3240. Currently, there are no entry signals from any indicators, so it's okay to wait a bit longer. The strategy will come, just keep an eye on it. Meanwhile, the random number $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #主流币轮动上涨 dropped below 3130, so wait again.

A large bullish candle, thousands of troops come to meet, if you are stuck, come to me, I can help you look at the position and give a reasonable suggestion for getting out of the position $BTC $ETH #RWA热潮 #美国AI行动计划

ETH has this volume increased? Why is the market down so much when I got home? There will be an opportunity to operate tonight, just wait for my strategy, and you can follow the operations. If you need it, come to $BTC $ETH #美国加征关税 #ETH巨鲸增持

This afternoon I washed and took down an air force unit, but as long as the brothers get to eat meat, it's fine. ZEC has perfectly taken profit, and I'm preparing to go back tonight to layout strategies. Those who need to keep up can join the top chat room $BTC $ETH #BNB创新高 #币安合约实盘 . If you can't get meat, feel free to expose me.

The strategy given at the afternoon square didn't get to eat meat, it's okay!

Gather, gather!!!

There will be a big market wave in the evening that will bring fans in for operations.

The specific operating strategy is in the chat room, if you want to eat meat, come quickly!!!

The strategy that includes eating meat, seize the opportunity and come quickly!!!
$BTC $ETH #香港稳定币新规 #山寨币市场回暖

Is there any pattern? Speaking of which, the current market seems to be too afraid of patterns? Afraid of profit retracement, this ZEC strategy was publicly shared in real-time at the square this afternoon, has anyone followed it? Those who operated with me have basically doubled their gains steadily, those who question it can check my posts and the price points! Not much more to say, just come find the strategy pinned here $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #代币化热潮

The strategy given at four o'clock in the afternoon can be seen from the post time. At that time, the ZEC price was 486, and it is now at 725. Did you manage to catch this wave? $BTC $ETH #十月加密行情 #代币化热潮

I just want to say that chives are ultimately chives. Many people come to this contract market without even understanding the basics of K lines, and the final result will only be zero because they don't know when to go long and when to go short, and where to set the stop loss. They purely rely on feelings. $BTC $ETH #代币化热潮 #特朗普取消农产品关税 . Yesterday, I provided a bottom-fishing strategy to go long at 3160. Currently, the highest in the market is 3148, basically a profit of about 85 points. So, what happened? This brother lost and exited at 3130. Hahaha.