币圈分析师李哥
本是后山人，偶做前堂客 .入圈7年不追短期热点，不赌归零空气.
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⏰2025/12/09
- The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 89.4%
- CEOs of Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup will meet with U.S. Senators to discuss cryptocurrency market legislation
- The UK's financial regulator simplifies retail investment rules to promote market investment
- The Central Bank of Argentina is considering allowing banks to offer cryptocurrency trading services
- Dubai Customs collaborates with Binance to promote cryptocurrency payment applications
- Trump announces: allows NVIDIA to sell H200 chips to China
#加密市场观察
- The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 89.4%
- CEOs of Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup will meet with U.S. Senators to discuss cryptocurrency market legislation
- The UK's financial regulator simplifies retail investment rules to promote market investment
- The Central Bank of Argentina is considering allowing banks to offer cryptocurrency trading services
- Dubai Customs collaborates with Binance to promote cryptocurrency payment applications
- Trump announces: allows NVIDIA to sell H200 chips to China
#加密市场观察
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#The Federal Reserve will announce the December interest rate decision this week#
On December 11th at 3 AM Beijing time (this Thursday), the Federal Reserve will announce the December interest rate decision, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference.
Currently, the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 86%, but that's not the main point; the main point is Powell's speech. The market generally believes that the Federal Reserve will have at least two more rate cuts in 2026, which means this round of rate cuts is not over yet, and there are more stories to tell. In simple terms, the market will continue.
#加密市场观察
On December 11th at 3 AM Beijing time (this Thursday), the Federal Reserve will announce the December interest rate decision, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference.
Currently, the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 86%, but that's not the main point; the main point is Powell's speech. The market generally believes that the Federal Reserve will have at least two more rate cuts in 2026, which means this round of rate cuts is not over yet, and there are more stories to tell. In simple terms, the market will continue.
#加密市场观察
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Interest rate cuts are no longer just talk!❗️❗️❗️
Wall Street institutions tear up reports, changing forecasts, and the market bets that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points this week is 89.6%. The world waits for the Federal Reserve's meeting resolution to be announced, with the three major U.S. stock indices fluctuating in anticipation.
The market is always filled with uncertainty in an instant. The expectation for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting in 2025 is a 25 basis point rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at 4 AM Beijing time on Thursday has risen to 89.6%.
The three major U.S. stock indices continue to show a fluctuating trend as they await further developments. The indices are fluctuating in a narrow range, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 slightly declining and the Nasdaq down by 0.01%. Popular U.S. stocks like NVIDIA rose by 0.64%, while Tesla fell by 2.70%, Google by 1.3%, and Apple by 0.56%.
Analysts state that the decision made by the Federal Reserve at this meeting will impact the subsequent policy paths of the Swiss National Bank, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan in late December.
The U.S. dollar index rose after fluctuating, standing above the 99 mark, while the offshore yuan slightly adjusted back to the 7.07 mark. Spot gold fell by 0.32%, and spot silver decreased by 0.69%, with the crude oil futures market index dropping over 1%.
On Monday, U.S. White House economic advisor Hassett (a popular candidate to succeed the Federal Reserve Chair) stated that rates should continue to be lowered. He believes that the current Fed Chair Powell might also consider a rate cut prudent.
Regardless of how the Federal Reserve handles internal disagreements or the current stagnation at this meeting, let’s wait and see.
#加密市场观察
Wall Street institutions tear up reports, changing forecasts, and the market bets that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points this week is 89.6%. The world waits for the Federal Reserve's meeting resolution to be announced, with the three major U.S. stock indices fluctuating in anticipation.
The market is always filled with uncertainty in an instant. The expectation for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting in 2025 is a 25 basis point rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at 4 AM Beijing time on Thursday has risen to 89.6%.
The three major U.S. stock indices continue to show a fluctuating trend as they await further developments. The indices are fluctuating in a narrow range, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 slightly declining and the Nasdaq down by 0.01%. Popular U.S. stocks like NVIDIA rose by 0.64%, while Tesla fell by 2.70%, Google by 1.3%, and Apple by 0.56%.
Analysts state that the decision made by the Federal Reserve at this meeting will impact the subsequent policy paths of the Swiss National Bank, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan in late December.
The U.S. dollar index rose after fluctuating, standing above the 99 mark, while the offshore yuan slightly adjusted back to the 7.07 mark. Spot gold fell by 0.32%, and spot silver decreased by 0.69%, with the crude oil futures market index dropping over 1%.
On Monday, U.S. White House economic advisor Hassett (a popular candidate to succeed the Federal Reserve Chair) stated that rates should continue to be lowered. He believes that the current Fed Chair Powell might also consider a rate cut prudent.
Regardless of how the Federal Reserve handles internal disagreements or the current stagnation at this meeting, let’s wait and see.
#加密市场观察
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Interest rate cuts have become a certainty❗️❗️❗️
Currently, the global market has moved beyond the expectation of a confirmed interest rate cut in December and is gradually 'swaying' under the uncertainty of future interest rate paths, putting pressure on the bond market!
On the first trading day of this week, it is clear that the market is already trading under the path of 'confirming the interest rate cut, but uncertain about future interest rates'.
Due to the support for rate cuts from key Fed policymakers, but with significant internal disputes regarding future interest rates, the financial market temporarily assumes that high interest rates will continue, and inflation pressures persist.
Under this expectation, the dollar has slightly strengthened, and gold is under short-term pressure. If high interest rates are maintained for most of 2026, it will threaten the increase in gold prices.
Meanwhile, the future interest rate path (2026) is not sufficiently clear, inflation pressures remain, and multiple factors such as global bond market sell-offs and expectations of yen interest rate hikes are pushing up the yields on 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasuries.
The more sensitive 1-year U.S. Treasury yield has increased, indicating that the 1-hour bond market yield has already completed its expected trading for the December rate cut, shifting towards the future interest rate path.
After the U.S. stock market opened, technology stocks led the rise but then turned volatile. Currently, the Nasdaq and S&P have turned to a downward trend, with the VIX index rising to 16.61. Although it has not entered a panic phase, the short-term rise in the VIX index means that the risk market has entered a tense stage.
Overall summary:
Under the global bond market sell-off, U.S. Treasury yields are relatively high, and the U.S. economy’s resilience has led to an increase in short-term dollar demand, resulting in a rebound in the index.
Looking at the bond market situation, it has already completed expectations for a December rate cut, so the risk market should also complete its movements. The focus of market trading will not be on the December rate cut, but rather on the subsequent dot plot and the expectations for the 2026 rate cut path brought by Powell's speech.
If the expectations are unfavorable, the risk market will face short-term pressure after the rate cut. It is important to note that based on the current performance of the global market, if Tuesday's job openings data is favorable, it could alleviate market concerns about the uncertainty of future interest rates. However, if the data cannot continue to drive the market, then market sentiment will not be too optimistic before the rate cut is realized.
#加密市场观察
Currently, the global market has moved beyond the expectation of a confirmed interest rate cut in December and is gradually 'swaying' under the uncertainty of future interest rate paths, putting pressure on the bond market!
On the first trading day of this week, it is clear that the market is already trading under the path of 'confirming the interest rate cut, but uncertain about future interest rates'.
Due to the support for rate cuts from key Fed policymakers, but with significant internal disputes regarding future interest rates, the financial market temporarily assumes that high interest rates will continue, and inflation pressures persist.
Under this expectation, the dollar has slightly strengthened, and gold is under short-term pressure. If high interest rates are maintained for most of 2026, it will threaten the increase in gold prices.
Meanwhile, the future interest rate path (2026) is not sufficiently clear, inflation pressures remain, and multiple factors such as global bond market sell-offs and expectations of yen interest rate hikes are pushing up the yields on 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasuries.
The more sensitive 1-year U.S. Treasury yield has increased, indicating that the 1-hour bond market yield has already completed its expected trading for the December rate cut, shifting towards the future interest rate path.
After the U.S. stock market opened, technology stocks led the rise but then turned volatile. Currently, the Nasdaq and S&P have turned to a downward trend, with the VIX index rising to 16.61. Although it has not entered a panic phase, the short-term rise in the VIX index means that the risk market has entered a tense stage.
Overall summary:
Under the global bond market sell-off, U.S. Treasury yields are relatively high, and the U.S. economy’s resilience has led to an increase in short-term dollar demand, resulting in a rebound in the index.
Looking at the bond market situation, it has already completed expectations for a December rate cut, so the risk market should also complete its movements. The focus of market trading will not be on the December rate cut, but rather on the subsequent dot plot and the expectations for the 2026 rate cut path brought by Powell's speech.
If the expectations are unfavorable, the risk market will face short-term pressure after the rate cut. It is important to note that based on the current performance of the global market, if Tuesday's job openings data is favorable, it could alleviate market concerns about the uncertainty of future interest rates. However, if the data cannot continue to drive the market, then market sentiment will not be too optimistic before the rate cut is realized.
#加密市场观察
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Today I’m taking my brother to eat some meat. The takeoff is just a moment away❗️❗️❗️
#加密市场观察
#加密市场观察
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The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision on December 11, and the market widely expects another rate cut. The key points to watch are Powell's statements and guidance on next year's rate path, which will directly impact market sentiment.
If Powell signals easing, it could boost U.S. stocks (especially tech stocks), gold, and other risk assets, while the dollar may weaken. Conversely, if his stance is hawkish, caution is needed regarding a market pullback.
On the risk side, attention should be paid to the coordinated policies of global central banks, the possibility of an unexpected rate hike by the Bank of Japan, and the potential impact of U.S. political interference.
Investment advice: It is not advisable to blindly chase highs in the short term; it is better to observe after the decision is made; in the long term, structural opportunities in gold and new energy may be worth considering.
#加密市场观察
If Powell signals easing, it could boost U.S. stocks (especially tech stocks), gold, and other risk assets, while the dollar may weaken. Conversely, if his stance is hawkish, caution is needed regarding a market pullback.
On the risk side, attention should be paid to the coordinated policies of global central banks, the possibility of an unexpected rate hike by the Bank of Japan, and the potential impact of U.S. political interference.
Investment advice: It is not advisable to blindly chase highs in the short term; it is better to observe after the decision is made; in the long term, structural opportunities in gold and new energy may be worth considering.
#加密市场观察
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Medium to long-term risks are significant: The weekly decline of Bitcoin has begun, expected to continue until 2026, with a target around $62,000. The daily decline has not ended, initially looking at the 75,000-80,000 range. The 4-hour rebound might end at any time, and a new round of decline may start this weekend.
In the short term, pay attention to the strength of the rebound: Bitcoin's 1-hour rebound is in progress, if it breaks through 94,150, then look towards 95,000; if it is blocked in the 92,000-94,100 range, then it is a bearish signal. The current 15-minute first wave of rebound is nearing an end, a shallow adjustment holding at 90,800 has a high probability of breaking upwards, while a deep adjustment to 90,000 increases difficulty.
Ethereum is synchronized with Bitcoin, short-term support at 3,060, rebound pressure at 3,200-3,240. If the 4-hour level cannot break through 3,440, the market may then test 2,200-2,600.
Summary: Focus on the strength of the rebound in the short term, maintain caution in the medium to long term, and do not be misled by short-term rebounds.
#加密市场观察
In the short term, pay attention to the strength of the rebound: Bitcoin's 1-hour rebound is in progress, if it breaks through 94,150, then look towards 95,000; if it is blocked in the 92,000-94,100 range, then it is a bearish signal. The current 15-minute first wave of rebound is nearing an end, a shallow adjustment holding at 90,800 has a high probability of breaking upwards, while a deep adjustment to 90,000 increases difficulty.
Ethereum is synchronized with Bitcoin, short-term support at 3,060, rebound pressure at 3,200-3,240. If the 4-hour level cannot break through 3,440, the market may then test 2,200-2,600.
Summary: Focus on the strength of the rebound in the short term, maintain caution in the medium to long term, and do not be misled by short-term rebounds.
#加密市场观察
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Bitcoin❗️❗️❗️
No matter how much it has risen, the key resistance at 94200 still carries the risk of a washout before breaking through, as the Bollinger Bands' upper track has not shown an opening and strong breakout in the 6-12 hour timeframe. In the evening session, maintain a long position as long as the 12-hour middle track stays above 90K; if it breaks down, there is still strong support at above 85500. (After breaking 94200, the upper resistance opens to 97500+-500 points near 100K.)
#比特币
No matter how much it has risen, the key resistance at 94200 still carries the risk of a washout before breaking through, as the Bollinger Bands' upper track has not shown an opening and strong breakout in the 6-12 hour timeframe. In the evening session, maintain a long position as long as the 12-hour middle track stays above 90K; if it breaks down, there is still strong support at above 85500. (After breaking 94200, the upper resistance opens to 97500+-500 points near 100K.)
#比特币
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My predictions are so accurate, why is there no traffic? Is it manipulated by capital?
#比特币
#比特币
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The trend of Bitcoin is a bit anxious, making most people unable to hold on and hesitant, which is also tormenting. When everyone is bullish, there will be another sharp drop to harvest.
So my viewpoint is still to short on rallies. We shorted at 93-94 and reduced at 91, and we are still holding. Any rebound above 92 can be used to add to the short position and continue to watch 📉. Hold on! Stay steady! Wait for the flowers to bloom
#比特币走势分析
So my viewpoint is still to short on rallies. We shorted at 93-94 and reduced at 91, and we are still holding. Any rebound above 92 can be used to add to the short position and continue to watch 📉. Hold on! Stay steady! Wait for the flowers to bloom
#比特币走势分析
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Ethereum Trend Analysis (December 8)
The weekly chart shows a mid-term bearish trend, but it is in a phase of rebound. 2740 is the key support line, if it breaks down, it will look down to 2400; strong resistance above is at 3400-3600. The daily chart indicates that a technical rebound has been established (golden cross of moving averages), but the trend reversal has not been confirmed, and overall it is still in a downward channel.
Conclusion: Short-term fluctuating rebound, mid-term bearish outlook remains unchanged. Intraday operations can focus on rebound opportunities at the 3100-3050 support, with resistance above at 3180-3230. Caution is needed for insufficient rebound volume leading to a pullback.
#ETH走势分析
The weekly chart shows a mid-term bearish trend, but it is in a phase of rebound. 2740 is the key support line, if it breaks down, it will look down to 2400; strong resistance above is at 3400-3600. The daily chart indicates that a technical rebound has been established (golden cross of moving averages), but the trend reversal has not been confirmed, and overall it is still in a downward channel.
Conclusion: Short-term fluctuating rebound, mid-term bearish outlook remains unchanged. Intraday operations can focus on rebound opportunities at the 3100-3050 support, with resistance above at 3180-3230. Caution is needed for insufficient rebound volume leading to a pullback.
#ETH走势分析
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Bitcoin BTC
【Binance Updates Reserve Proof, Core Assets Fully Covered】
Binance's latest PoR (Proof of Reserves) shows:
BTC Reserve Rate 102.11%, Balance 630,677 BTC
USDT Reserve Rate 109.16%, Balance 37.446 Billion USDT
ETH Reserve Rate 100%, Balance 4,041,415 ETH
BNB Reserve Rate 112.32%, Balance 44,278,972 BNB
Overall maintaining sufficient or even excessive reserve status is beneficial for the platform's stability and user confidence.
#加密市场观察
【Binance Updates Reserve Proof, Core Assets Fully Covered】
Binance's latest PoR (Proof of Reserves) shows:
BTC Reserve Rate 102.11%, Balance 630,677 BTC
USDT Reserve Rate 109.16%, Balance 37.446 Billion USDT
ETH Reserve Rate 100%, Balance 4,041,415 ETH
BNB Reserve Rate 112.32%, Balance 44,278,972 BNB
Overall maintaining sufficient or even excessive reserve status is beneficial for the platform's stability and user confidence.
#加密市场观察
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This is a revolution, it is also a trend, it is an opportunity and a risk!
Paul Atkins, the chairman of the U.S. SEC, predicts that the U.S. financial markets may migrate to blockchain technology that supports cryptocurrencies within two years. He pointed out that asset tokenization (i.e., representing assets like stocks with blockchain tokens) will significantly enhance transparency and risk management capabilities. This is not only a trend for the future but may also be an impending financial revolution.
#加密市场观察
Paul Atkins, the chairman of the U.S. SEC, predicts that the U.S. financial markets may migrate to blockchain technology that supports cryptocurrencies within two years. He pointed out that asset tokenization (i.e., representing assets like stocks with blockchain tokens) will significantly enhance transparency and risk management capabilities. This is not only a trend for the future but may also be an impending financial revolution.
#加密市场观察
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The time left for the cryptocurrency market is really
not much!!!
Core viewpoint: After the interest rate cut, the market may face the risk of a correction, but I am optimistic about the market trends in the second half of next year.
Short-term warning: This interest rate cut may be a passive move, as Powell may deliver a hawkish speech in the early morning, paving the way for a pause in future rate cuts, which may trigger market panic. With interest rates at 3.5%, it is close to a neutral level, while inflation remains above the 2% target, and economic performance is still acceptable, the Federal Reserve lacks sufficient reasons to continue lowering rates. It is expected that after the rate cut is implemented, the market may shift downward.
Operations and outlook: My personal strategy is to build long positions on highs. The current period until the first half of next year is regarded as "the darkness before dawn." It is expected that in the second half of next year, with Trump likely appointing a new chairman and starting a rate-cutting cycle, the market will welcome a new upward trend that may last for several years. Those seeking stability can wait for a deep correction next year to buy the dip.
#加密市场观察
not much!!!
Core viewpoint: After the interest rate cut, the market may face the risk of a correction, but I am optimistic about the market trends in the second half of next year.
Short-term warning: This interest rate cut may be a passive move, as Powell may deliver a hawkish speech in the early morning, paving the way for a pause in future rate cuts, which may trigger market panic. With interest rates at 3.5%, it is close to a neutral level, while inflation remains above the 2% target, and economic performance is still acceptable, the Federal Reserve lacks sufficient reasons to continue lowering rates. It is expected that after the rate cut is implemented, the market may shift downward.
Operations and outlook: My personal strategy is to build long positions on highs. The current period until the first half of next year is regarded as "the darkness before dawn." It is expected that in the second half of next year, with Trump likely appointing a new chairman and starting a rate-cutting cycle, the market will welcome a new upward trend that may last for several years. Those seeking stability can wait for a deep correction next year to buy the dip.
#加密市场观察
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This Week's Cryptocurrency News
Bitcoin Update: Two dormant original wallets that have been inactive for over 13 years transferred 2,000 BTC (worth approximately $178 million). A bill in Indiana, USA, has been proposed to allow pension funds to invest in Bitcoin; Japanese listed company Metaplanet raised $50 million to purchase coins.
Ethereum Progress: Vitalik Buterin praised the deployed Fusaka upgrade, which aims to enhance network processing capacity. Analysis indicates that institutions like BitMine hold approximately 3% of the ETH supply, with continued net outflows from exchanges potentially exacerbating supply tightening. Vitalik also called for the establishment of a reliable on-chain Gas futures market.
Institutions and Financing: Coinbase CEO revealed they are collaborating with major banks to launch a cryptocurrency pilot. Several blockchain companies have secured financing, including Digital Asset Holdings ($50 million), N3XT ($72 million), and prediction market Kalshi ($1 billion).
#加密市场观察
Bitcoin Update: Two dormant original wallets that have been inactive for over 13 years transferred 2,000 BTC (worth approximately $178 million). A bill in Indiana, USA, has been proposed to allow pension funds to invest in Bitcoin; Japanese listed company Metaplanet raised $50 million to purchase coins.
Ethereum Progress: Vitalik Buterin praised the deployed Fusaka upgrade, which aims to enhance network processing capacity. Analysis indicates that institutions like BitMine hold approximately 3% of the ETH supply, with continued net outflows from exchanges potentially exacerbating supply tightening. Vitalik also called for the establishment of a reliable on-chain Gas futures market.
Institutions and Financing: Coinbase CEO revealed they are collaborating with major banks to launch a cryptocurrency pilot. Several blockchain companies have secured financing, including Digital Asset Holdings ($50 million), N3XT ($72 million), and prediction market Kalshi ($1 billion).
#加密市场观察
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Statistics are here! The most important week is coming up next week!
From Monday to Friday.
Monday: Fed QE begins.
Tuesday: Inflation expectations begin.
Wednesday: Fed interest rate cut expectations.
Thursday: Fed balance sheet release.
Friday: Will Old Powell resign?
#加密市场观察
From Monday to Friday.
Monday: Fed QE begins.
Tuesday: Inflation expectations begin.
Wednesday: Fed interest rate cut expectations.
Thursday: Fed balance sheet release.
Friday: Will Old Powell resign?
#加密市场观察
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ETH Market Analysis (Evening of 12.7)
Current price 3038, overall in a consolidation pattern after a surge (3068) and subsequent pullback. The technical indicators show signs of short-term stabilization and rebound.
Key levels:
· Core support: 3023 (intraday low), 3037 (Bollinger Band middle line).
· Key resistance: 3068 (previous high), 3056 (Bollinger Band upper line).
Technical signals:
The 1-hour chart shows a "long upper shadow + spinning top" combination, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears in the 3040-3050 range. On the indicators side, KDJ golden cross is moving upward, and MACD bearish momentum is weakening and about to form a golden cross, supporting short-term rebound expectations.
Operational thoughts:
The strategy is to treat it with a slightly bullish bias in the consolidation. One can pay attention to opportunities for the price to retrace to the 3010-2970 support area, considering light positions for long orders, with upward targets looking towards 3065-3090. If the price can firmly stabilize above 3050 and break through 3068, the rebound space is expected to open further; conversely, if it breaks below key support, the direction needs to be reassessed. #ETH走势分析
Current price 3038, overall in a consolidation pattern after a surge (3068) and subsequent pullback. The technical indicators show signs of short-term stabilization and rebound.
Key levels:
· Core support: 3023 (intraday low), 3037 (Bollinger Band middle line).
· Key resistance: 3068 (previous high), 3056 (Bollinger Band upper line).
Technical signals:
The 1-hour chart shows a "long upper shadow + spinning top" combination, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears in the 3040-3050 range. On the indicators side, KDJ golden cross is moving upward, and MACD bearish momentum is weakening and about to form a golden cross, supporting short-term rebound expectations.
Operational thoughts:
The strategy is to treat it with a slightly bullish bias in the consolidation. One can pay attention to opportunities for the price to retrace to the 3010-2970 support area, considering light positions for long orders, with upward targets looking towards 3065-3090. If the price can firmly stabilize above 3050 and break through 3068, the rebound space is expected to open further; conversely, if it breaks below key support, the direction needs to be reassessed. #ETH走势分析
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December 7: News-driven
#Positive Factors: The market's expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December are nearly 90%, and the Federal Reserve has ended QT and injected liquidity, providing core momentum for the rebound; Vanguard has opened cryptocurrency ETF trading to all customers, and the U.S. CFTC has approved spot cryptocurrency products for trading on compliant exchanges, which is a long-term positive for the market; the technical benefits of the Ethereum network upgrade have also boosted its long-term outlook.
Negative Factors: The Bank of Japan's governor hinted at interest rate hikes, triggering a chain liquidation of high-leverage positions in cryptocurrencies; the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has seen continuous net outflows from November to early December, bringing short-term funding pressure; multiple departments in China reiterated the ban on cryptocurrency-related businesses, putting pressure on regional market sentiment.
#比特币以太坊行情分析
#Positive Factors: The market's expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December are nearly 90%, and the Federal Reserve has ended QT and injected liquidity, providing core momentum for the rebound; Vanguard has opened cryptocurrency ETF trading to all customers, and the U.S. CFTC has approved spot cryptocurrency products for trading on compliant exchanges, which is a long-term positive for the market; the technical benefits of the Ethereum network upgrade have also boosted its long-term outlook.
Negative Factors: The Bank of Japan's governor hinted at interest rate hikes, triggering a chain liquidation of high-leverage positions in cryptocurrencies; the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has seen continuous net outflows from November to early December, bringing short-term funding pressure; multiple departments in China reiterated the ban on cryptocurrency-related businesses, putting pressure on regional market sentiment.
#比特币以太坊行情分析
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Trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum on December 7
The overall market maintains a weak consolidation pattern. The four-hour cycle shows a lack of rebound strength, with clear moving average pressure. Currently, it is in a low-level sideways digestion phase, with volume continuously shrinking. Although there have been multiple instances of support at low levels on the hourly chart, with initial signs of stopping the decline, the rebound is still constrained by the middle track pressure. In the short term, it remains a weak oscillation structure. In terms of operations, consider laying out short positions near key resistance levels.
Operation reference:
· BTC: Focus on resistance near 90000, with a target below of 88500.
· ETH: Focus on resistance near 3060, with a target below of 3000.
#ETH走势分析
Operation reference:
· BTC: Focus on resistance near 90000, with a target below of 88500.
· ETH: Focus on resistance near 3060, with a target below of 3000.
#ETH走势分析
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Trends of Ethereum and Bitcoin on December 7th
The overall market maintains a weak consolidation pattern. The four-hour cycle shows a lack of rebound strength, with clear pressure from moving averages. Currently, it is in a low-level horizontal digestion stage, and trading volume continues to shrink. Although the hourly chart has repeatedly found support at low levels, initial signs of a stop-loss appear. However, the rebound is always constrained by the pressure at the middle track, and the short-term structure remains weak and volatile. In terms of operations, consider placing short positions near key resistance levels.
Operational reference:
· BTC: Pay attention to resistance near 90000, with a target below at 88500.
· ETH: Pay attention to resistance near 3060, with a target below at 3000.
#ETH走势分析
Operational reference:
· BTC: Pay attention to resistance near 90000, with a target below at 88500.
· ETH: Pay attention to resistance near 3060, with a target below at 3000.
#ETH走势分析
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