With triple pressures stacking up, the risk of Bitcoin's decline in December has surged
Bitcoin's price is struggling around $94,000, while a series of upcoming macro events are weaving a difficult-to-break downward web for the world's largest cryptocurrency. In the early hours of the Bitcoin market, a shocking scene unfolded again—prices plummeted nearly $5,000 within an hour, with over $500 million in long positions being forcibly liquidated. This is just a glimpse of the market's recent fragility. In what seems to be a calm early December, three powerful bearish forces are quietly gathering, all pointing to one conclusion: Bitcoin is likely to face sustained pressure in December, with little chance of improvement.
The expectation for a rate cut in December shows a general trend, coupled with Japan's interest rate hike and the year-end market, it is difficult for BTC and ETH to perform strongly in the short term, mainly fluctuating during the day. #BTC走势分析
【Major Signal】SEC Chairman Says: U.S. Financial Market May 'Go On Chain' Within Two Years! This Could Be the Largest Fundamental Change for Cryptocurrency.
The prediction by SEC Chairman Paul Atkins struck like a giant stone thrown into a calm lake, stirring up waves in the crypto market. The scenario he outlined in the interview is unfolding simultaneously on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley. U.S. SEC Chairman Paul Atkins made a bold prediction during a recent interview with Fox Business: the entire U.S. financial market may migrate to blockchain technology within two years. This statement quickly became the hottest topic in the crypto industry. “This will not only be a trend for the next decade, but it may also become a reality in just two years,” Atkins clearly stated during the interview.
Is the global liquidity 'faucet' tightening? If the Bank of Japan aggressively raises interest rates, the market will face a huge wave!
Bank of America predicts that the 'semi-annual interest rate hike' will start in December, and the 'cheap yen era' of arbitrage trading is likely to come to an end.
---
According to Golden Finance, citing Bank of America economists' predictions, the Bank of Japan may raise the interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75% at its meeting on December 18-19, thus starting a cycle of 'hiking every six months'. If this prediction comes true, it will not only be a historic shift in Japan's monetary policy but may also be a key turning point in the global market liquidity environment.
I. Why does Japan's interest rate hike 'affect the world'?
Japan has maintained the lowest interest rates in the world for a long time, making it the most important 'low-cost funding pool' in the international financial market. Countless investors borrow cheap yen, converting it into dollars, euros, or other high-yield assets for investment, which constitutes a massive 'yen arbitrage trading'. This mechanism has injected vast liquidity into global stock markets, bond markets, and even the cryptocurrency market.
BTC has adjusted after rising from 83786 to 94185. After the decline of wave A, it is now in wave B. The height of the rebound in wave B determines the trend of wave C. Currently, the focus is on the strength of wave B. #BTC走势分析
📢 Ethereum's major upgrade Fusaka is here! Faster, cheaper, and easier to use!
1/612月3日 Ethereum welcomes a major upgrade “Fusaka”! This upgrade has a clear goal: to solve network congestion and high fees, making the entire ecosystem faster, cheaper, and easier to use. Here are a few tweets to quickly grasp the core! 2/6 【Main Highlight: Data Channel Revolution】 The upgrade introduces a new technology called PeerDAS. In simple terms, nodes will no longer need to 'download everything' for data verification, but only 'sample check'. This can safely increase the data channel (Blob) capacity by dozens of times without adding burden! The transaction costs for Layer2 will significantly decrease as a result.
ETH mainly follows BTC's trend, with the same reasoning. The probability of continuing the previous trend with normal horizontal adjustments is high, and after a long period of horizontal movement, the probability of reversal is large. #ETH走势分析
After the rise of BTC, it adjusts in a sideways manner. This kind of trend often has a higher probability of continuing the previous trend, but if the sideways period is too long, the probability of a reversal becomes relatively high. #BTC走势分析
The news is relatively more favorable than unfavorable, and the short-term technical trend is still upward, but we need to be cautious of a pullback to #BTC走势分析
November 27, $BTC and $ETH intraday trend prediction
The recent trend of BTC and ETH has been a fluctuating upward movement. As long as the trend has not been broken, the operation rhythm will continue to focus on low long positions. #BTC走势分析
The economic beige book released early this morning indicates downward pressure on the economy in the coming months, with employment numbers expected to decline, increasing the expectation of a 12 basis point rate cut. This aligns with our judgment made before yesterday's rate cut, which was primarily focused on rebounds. BTC and ETH are also experiencing upward fluctuations. The main strategy is to buy on dips. #BTC走势分析
Last night's September PPI data was positive, and the probability of a rate cut in December has risen to 84.9%. The recent pullback trend is likely to continue, and it will probably last until the rate cut in December. From a technical perspective, it appears to be a fluctuating upward trend, moving relatively slowly, so do not chase the highs; instead, enter after a pullback. #BTC走势分析