刘五论势

$BTC 从4小时级别来看，行情延续反复震荡态势，波动幅度逐步收窄，比价维持在89000-90500区间窄幅整理，尚未形成明确单边趋势。K线多数时间运行于区间中上部，多次上攻尝试均在91500附近遇阻回落，该区域压力表现显著。下方89000一线支撑稳固，多次有效抵御下行压力，成为当前多空博弈的核心关键位置。

当前1小时盘面呈现震荡下行态势，布林带开口向下，比价运行于下轨附近，短期空头力量占据主导。下方89000关口支撑表现稳固，制约比价进一步下行，短期维持窄幅区间整理。从K线形态观察，连续收出3根实体较长的阴线，且成交量同步放大，空头动能持续释放。近期高点逐步下移，低点未有效跌破，下降通道结构明确，短期市场大概率延续弱势格局，整体处于空头主导的震荡下行阶段。下轨支撑的有效性为短期核心关注点。操作上建议保持观望，待比价回撤蓄力、走势明确后，再择机介入做多，切勿盲目追涨。

大饼89500附近多 目标看向92500

二饼3080附近多 目标看向3200$ETH

$BTC Sorry, friends. I've been back home for a few days recently, and my assistant has also been on leave, so I haven't updated the strategy for everyone. Starting today, we'll get back to the main topic. I've roughly looked at the market, and it's been relatively easy to operate lately. Since I didn't prepare much for everyone, there are no market reviews.

Currently, the four-hour chart shows a weak oscillating trend at a high position, with a fierce short-term battle between bulls and bears. The support and resistance zones are clear, and the key positions are fiercely contested. After a quick drop in the previous period, the price is running at a low level and has broken below the 50% retracement of the early morning upward wave. This indicates that the short-term upward structure has been damaged, and the market's focus has shifted downward. The market has transitioned from an "attempt to attack" to a "defensive oscillation" pattern, with sentiment shifting from bullish to bearish. From a technical perspective, the KDJ indicator has formed a death cross, synchronously releasing short-term oversold and bearish continuation signals. Combined with K-line patterns and volume performance, the short-term trend is clearly dominated by bears, and there is still room for downward momentum to be released. The next key observation is the support strength in the 89600 to 89000 range: if the price cannot quickly recover above 90500 and effectively breaks below 89000, it will further confirm the downtrend and open up greater downward space. Currently, the overall technical situation leans towards bearish, and morning operations should mainly focus on short positions. #比特币VS代币化黄金
Big pie short near 90500-91000, target towards 88500
Second pie short near 3080-3100, target towards 2930$ETH

$BTC 行情有涨落，人生有起伏。不必因一时回调焦虑，也别为短暂冲高狂喜。沉淀耐心，静待趋势明朗，属于你的机遇，终会在震荡后如约而至。复盘凌晨比特币行情走势价格触及93100一线高点后承压回落，强势下探至90800一线企稳止跌，早间盘面开启反弹修复，当前价格于92400一线窄幅震荡整理。以太坊同步联动，从3227一线高点回落至3061一线低点止跌，空头单边释放166余点空间。整体来看，昨日给出的高抛低吸策略与行情节奏精准契合，跟上操作节奏的投资者均已斩获可观收益。

当前盘面空方动能已显衰竭，四小时级别三连阳态势清晰呈现，91800区域成为多头坚实防线的信号明确。价格在此区域反复获得强劲承接，形成“跌不动、易反弹”的盘面格局。这一形态虽不意味着趋势立即反转，但已确认空头力量显著减弱，市场正从单边下行转向技术性修复与企稳阶段。切换至一小时周期，盘面结构更显积极：反包式长下影阳线出现后，价格始终稳守91800关键支撑上方，期间低点逐步抬升，短期震荡上行格局明朗。这标志着多头承接力量在低位持续积累，空头已从主动压制转为被动防守。整体走势已呈现由弱转稳、向偏强震荡过渡的清晰特征，技术反弹修复结构保持完好，后续有望延续企稳回升节奏
大饼91500附近多 目标看向93500

二饼3140附近多 目标看向3250$ETH

$SOL SOL 目前已触及阶段性压力位，短线若能强势突破，下一目标区间将直指 155-161 一线；就短期走势而言，近几日大概率会在 135-145 的区间内震荡整理。

日内操作需重点留意支撑位表现，137 是日内关键回踩支撑，135 则是防守型强支撑。对于稳健型交易者，可重点关注 135 防守支撑位的企稳信号，择机布局反弹行情，短线目标可先看 145 压力位；若后续价格能放量突破 145 关键压力，即可顺势上看 155 附近的目标区间。

$BTC In the four-hour timeframe, after gaining strong support from the bottom area, the price has continued to rise, with the candlestick showing a solid series of bullish patterns. The volume-price relationship is healthy, and there are no clear reversal signals yet, indicating a persistent upward momentum in the short term. The Bollinger Bands are opening and diverging upward, with the upper band pressure gradually rising as the price increases, while the middle band serves as an effective support line for the current bullish trend. The consistent pattern of quickly forming a needle after price retracement further confirms the solid strong support below, and the market structure dominated by bulls has not changed. $ETH

$BTC Three Major Misunderstandings of Unwinding:
1. No concept of stop-loss. This is the biggest reason for the widespread losses among retail investors over the years.
2. Blindly averaging down. When the trend is downward, the result of averaging down can only be more disastrous.
3. "Being trapped is not scary; if you don't sell, you won't lose." This kind of thinking is very frightening; the decline can be very crazy, and you can't find the bottom.
There are various methods to actively unwind, but the key or central idea is to do everything possible to reduce costs, make up for losses, and achieve profitability. Jianbo’s unwinding methods are actually very simple and easy to understand.
If you want to unwind quickly, you must not have a mindset of luck.
Being trapped is already a passive situation, so after being trapped, you must muster your spirit, analyze the situation well, and cannot be careless; if you are trapped, you must not ignore it.
The key to unwinding is decisiveness; you must cut through the chaos quickly!
In the current market, many friends are losing money; as soon as they buy, it drops, and as soon as they sell, it rises, mainly due to the lack of a correct trading model. If you want to survive in a survival of the fittest environment, it is not possible without a set of profitable methods and skills and a guide leading you. If you want to learn more, follow Wuge.

$ETH Four-hour level has highlighted strong rebound breakthrough potential. After a round of continuous fluctuations and consolidations, the short-term lower area is gradually forming a double bottom support structure, with a step-by-step elevation of the lows. Multiple bottoming actions have solidified the foundation for upward movement, presenting a clear rebound upward momentum overall. The coin price continues to challenge the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and attempts to effectively recover. Recently, the volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has significantly increased. After experiencing a major drop the previous day, bullish momentum is reaccumulating, and expectations for further market pullbacks are continuously weakening. The current technical pattern signals a continuous warming of price recovery expectations. For the future market, we still need to prioritize focusing on the continuation of bullish momentum, and for short-term operations, it is recommended to adopt a core strategy of buying on dips at low levels.
In the morning, Brother Wu also provided the idea of buying at low levels.

Bitcoin 93500-93000 can be bought, aiming for 94500.

Ethereum around 3165-3140 can be bought, aiming for 3300.

$BTC 12.4 周四早间比特币以太坊最新行情分析与操作建议：
昨日比特币整体呈现震荡上行的走势，早间价格在90954一线企稳后便缓步抬升，多头力量持续发力，推动币价在午后冲高至日内高点93932，随后承压出现小幅回落。晚间价格下探至91637支撑位时，买盘力量及时进场承接，带动行情快速展开反弹修复以太坊则同步走出联动行情，早间从2983的低点开启上攻节奏，触及3084高点后进入窄幅整理区间；晚间在3030位置企稳后再度发力拉升，最高冲至3198，自此延续了一路走高的强势格局。

四小时级别已凸显强劲的反弹突破潜力。经过一轮连续震荡整理，短期下方逐步构筑双底支撑结构，低点阶梯式抬高，多次筑底动作夯实了上行根基，整体呈现出明确的反弹上攻态势。币价持续向布林带中轨发起冲击并尝试有效收复，近日比特币与以太坊的波动幅度显著放大，经历前日大跌洗礼后，多头动能正重新积蓄，市场进一步回踩的预期持续减弱。当前技术形态释放出价格收复预期持续升温的信号，对于后市，我们仍需优先聚焦多头动能的延续性，短线操作上建议以回踩低位接多作为核心思路。
早间五哥也是给到低哆的思路

大饼93500-93000可多，目标看向 94500。

以太3165-3140附近可多，目标看向 3300$ETH

$BTC 12.4 Thursday early morning Bitcoin and Ethereum latest market analysis and trading suggestions:

Yesterday, Bitcoin's price showed a fluctuating upward trend, stabilizing after a low of 90954 in the morning and gradually rising. Bullish momentum drove the price up to the daily peak of 93932 in the afternoon, after which it briefly faced pressure and pulled back; in the evening, the price dropped to the support level of 91637 before receiving buying support and quickly rebounded. Ethereum simultaneously moved in a correlated manner, starting its upward attack from a low of 2983 in the morning, reaching a high of 3084 before entering a narrow consolidation phase. In the evening, after stabilizing at the 3030 position, it surged again, reaching a maximum of 3145, and then maintained a high-level fluctuating pattern.

From the daily chart observation, the market broke through the middle Bollinger Band with two consecutive bullish candles, strongly testing the upper Bollinger Band and overall displaying a positive oscillating upward rhythm. Although the top of the bullish candle has an upper shadow, indicating short-term pressure, the daily moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, and the bullish pattern has not been shaken. Switching to the four-hour timeframe, the price reached the upper band and entered a high-level consolidation phase. Although bullish volume has diminished, the bears have not been able to effectively create a pullback space, and the support strength below far exceeds the selling pressure above. Before a clear reversal signal appears, the midnight trading suggestion continues to favor a low long strategy.
Trading suggestions:

Bitcoin: Long positions in the range of 2000-92500, with targets looking towards 94000-94500

Ethereum: Long positions in the range of 3080-3100, with targets looking towards 3230$ETH

$BTC From the daily chart perspective, Bitcoin has experienced two consecutive trading days closing with bullish candles, showing a step-like upward price movement. Previously, after the price stabilized following a dip marked by bearish candles, it successfully broke through the resistance at the medium-term moving average. This breakout action fully confirms the strong defensive posture of bulls in the key support area. Although the current technical indicators have entered a high zone and are likely to experience fluctuations in the short term, the overall positive trend in the larger cycle has not changed.

Switching to the four-hour level, the price has consistently relied on strong support at the bottom to rise steadily, with the continued appearance of bullish candles demonstrating sufficient bullish momentum. As of now, there have been no clear signals of a bearish reversal, further reinforcing the foundation for the continuation of the upward trend. In terms of operational strategy, it is recommended to continue adhering to the core approach of maintaining long positions at low levels, while looking for opportunities to position around short-term key support levels, and to manage positions well to cope with potential volatility risks.

Bitcoin: Positioning long near 92500, targeting around 94500
Ethereum: Positioning long near 3030, targeting around 3150 $ETH

$ETH The Bollinger Band trend on the hourly level is flattening, with the price running above the middle band but facing resistance near the upper band. The distance between the upper and lower bands is narrowing, showing a volatile pattern, and the risk of breaking out after the volatility is increasing. The short-term rebound has failed to push the Bollinger Bands open upwards, and the hourly chart has tested the upper band multiple times without success. If there is no strength to break through the upper band resistance afterwards, it is likely to test the middle band support downwards. Once the middle band is breached, bearish sentiment may dominate the market, driving it down to the lower band. After a short-term consolidation, the probability of a bearish outlook increases. In the morning, Brother Five also suggested a high short strategy.
Operation suggestion:
Bitcoin: Short around 92500-92000, target looking down at 90000
Ethereum: Short around 3030-3000, target looking down at 2920-2900

$BTC 12.3 Wednesday morning Bitcoin and Ethereum latest market analysis and trading suggestions:
Reviewing the morning's performance, Bitcoin surged to a high of 87384 points before entering a period of consolidation, with the afternoon dipping to a low of 86159 before re-entering a consolidation phase. In the evening, the market initiated a strong upward trend, reaching a peak of 91253, successfully surpassing yesterday's high. Ethereum rose to a daily high of 2825 in the morning but maintained a fluctuating trend, later falling back to around 2780 to stabilize, and subsequently continued to rise, peaking at 3026 in the evening. Throughout the day, Bitcoin implemented a strategy of two long and two short positions, accumulating a profit space of over 6200 points, while Ethereum achieved a profit of 210 points, with overall performance still impressive.
From the four-hour chart perspective, the price surged to 91253 but faced resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at 91200, currently fluctuating between the upper and middle bands, with the Bollinger Bands not showing a significant opening, and bullish momentum appearing to be weakening. Resistance from the upper band continues to be effective, and since the price could not hold the high after the surge, there is a need for a pullback. If the price breaks below the middle band support, bearish momentum may gradually release, likely approaching the lower Bollinger Band. Short-term bearish signals are gradually emerging, with the one-hour Bollinger Band trend flattening, the price running above the middle band but close to the upper band facing obstacles, and the distance between the upper and lower bands narrowing, presenting a fluctuating pattern, with the risk of a breakout increasing after consolidation. The short-term rebound has not spurred an upward opening of the Bollinger Bands, and the hourly line has repeatedly tested the upper band without success. If there is no strength to break through the upper band resistance, it is likely to test the middle band support downwards. Once the middle band is lost, the bears may dominate the market and push towards the lower band, increasing the probability of bearishness after short-term fluctuations. At five in the morning, there was also a suggestion for a high short position.
Trading suggestions:
Bitcoin: Short near 92500-92000, target down to 90000
Ethereum: Short near 3030-3000, target down to 2920-2900$ETH

$SOL 12.3 Wednesday early morning Bitcoin and Ethereum latest market analysis and trading suggestions:
Reviewing the day's early morning, Bitcoin surged to a high of 87384 points before entering a period of consolidation, dropping to a daily low of 86159 in the afternoon, and then re-entering a consolidation phase. In the evening, the market opened with a unilateral upward trend, reaching a high of 91253, successfully refreshing yesterday's high. Ethereum rose to a daily high of 2825 in the morning and maintained a fluctuating trend, then fell to around 2780 in the afternoon to stabilize, and subsequently continued to rise, peaking at 3026 in the evening. The daily Bitcoin strategy included both long and short positions, achieving a cumulative profit of over 6200 points, while Ethereum also gained 210 points, making for a remarkable overall performance.
From the four-hour level chart, the price surged to 91253 but faced resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at 91200 and fell back. Currently, it is oscillating between the upper and middle bands, with the Bollinger Bands not showing a significant opening, and bullish momentum has weakened. The upper band resistance continues to be effective, and since the price could not stabilize at the high after the surge, there is a demand for a pullback. If it subsequently breaks below the middle band support, bearish momentum may gradually be released, likely approaching the lower Bollinger Band, with short-term bearish signals gradually emerging. The one-hour Bollinger Band trend is flattening, with the price running above the middle band but close to the upper band facing resistance, and the distance between the upper and lower bands is narrowing, presenting an oscillating pattern, increasing the risk of a breakout after oscillation. The short-term rebound has not been able to drive the Bollinger Bands to open upwards, and the hourly line has repeatedly tested the upper band without success. If there is no strength to break through the upper band resistance subsequently, it is likely to test the middle band support downwards. Once the middle band is lost, the bears may dominate the market and push down to the lower band, with an increased probability of bearishness after short-term oscillation. The early morning also provided high short ideas.
Trading suggestions:
Bitcoin: Short around 92500-92000, target down to 90000, if broken, extend to 88500.
Ethereum: Short around 3030-3000, target down to 2850-2700.

$XRP 12.3 Analysis and Trading Suggestions for Bitcoin and Ethereum on Wednesday Morning:
Reviewing the day, Bitcoin surged to a high of 87384 points before entering a phase of consolidation. In the afternoon, it dipped to a low of 86159, followed by another consolidation phase. In the evening, the trend turned upward, reaching a peak of 91253, successfully breaking yesterday's high. Ethereum rose to a day high of 2825 in the morning and maintained a volatile state, then fell to around 2780 in the afternoon, stabilizing and subsequently continuing to rise, reaching a maximum of 3026 in the evening. During the day, Bitcoin implemented a dual strategy of long and short positions, accumulating over 6200 points in profit, while Ethereum gained 210 points, resulting in an impressive overall performance.
From the four-hour chart perspective, after reaching 91253, the price faced resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at 91200 and fell back. Currently, it is fluctuating between the upper and middle bands, with the Bollinger Bands not showing a significant opening, and bullish momentum has shown signs of weakening. The upper band resistance remains effective, and since the price did not hold its high position, there is a need for a correction. If it breaks below the middle band support, bearish momentum may gradually be released, likely approaching the lower band. Short-term bearish signals are gradually surfacing, and the one-hour Bollinger Band trend is flattening, with the price operating above the middle band but close to the upper band resistance. The gap between the upper and lower bands is narrowing, presenting a volatile pattern, and the risk of a breakout after the oscillation is increasing. The short-term rebound has not led to an upward opening of the Bollinger Bands, and the hourly chart has tested the upper band multiple times without success. If there is no strength to break through the upper band resistance, it is likely to test the middle band support downward. Once the middle band support is lost, the bears may dominate the market, pushing down toward the lower band, with an increased probability of bearishness after short-term oscillation. The early morning also provided a high short strategy.
Trading Suggestions:
Bitcoin: Short around 92500-92000, aiming downward to 90000, with a breakout extending to 88500.
Ethereum: Short around 3030-3000, aiming downward to 2850-2700.

$BNB 12.3 Wednesday early morning Bitcoin and Ethereum latest market analysis and trading suggestions:
Reviewing the day's early rise of the Bitcoin to 87384 points before falling into consolidation, it later dropped to a daily low of 86159 in the afternoon, subsequently entering a consolidation phase again. In the evening, the market opened with a one-sided upward trend, reaching a maximum of 91253, successfully refreshing yesterday's high. Ethereum rose to a daily high of 2825 in the morning and maintained a volatile trend, before retreating to around 2780 in the afternoon to stabilize, and then continued to rise, peaking at 3026 in the evening. The daily Bitcoin strategy involved two long and two short positions, accumulating a profit space of over 6200 points, while Ethereum secured a profit of 210 points, with overall performance still impressive.
From the four-hour chart perspective, the price peaked at 91253, facing resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at 91200 and falling back. Currently, it is oscillating between the upper and middle bands, with the Bollinger Bands not showing a significant opening, and bullish momentum has shown signs of weakness. The upper band pressure continues to be effective, and the price has not stabilized at high levels after the peak, indicating a need for a pullback. If it subsequently breaks below the middle band support, bearish momentum may gradually release, likely moving towards the lower Bollinger Band, with short-term bearish signals gradually emerging. The one-hour Bollinger Band trend is flattening, with prices running above the middle band but facing resistance near the upper band. The distance between the upper and lower bands is narrowing, presenting a volatile pattern, and the risk of breaking out after oscillation is increasing. The short-term rebound has not managed to push the Bollinger Bands to open upwards, and the hourly line has tested the upper band multiple times without success. If there is no ability to break through the upper band pressure, it is likely to test the middle band support downwards. Once the middle band is lost, the bearish trend may dominate the market, pushing down to the lower band, with the probability of bearishness increasing after short-term oscillation. Early morning five also provided a high short strategy.
Trading suggestions:
Bitcoin: Short near 92500-92000, target down to 90000, and if broken, look towards 88500
Ethereum: Short near 3030-3000, target down to 2850-2700

$BTC 12.3 Wednesday early morning Bitcoin and Ethereum latest market analysis and operating advice:
Reviewing the day, after Bitcoin surged to a high of 87384 points, it fell into a consolidation phase. In the afternoon, it dipped to a daily low of 86159, and then entered another consolidation stage. In the evening, the market started a one-sided upward trend, reaching a maximum of 91253, successfully refreshing yesterday's high. Ethereum rose to a daily high of 2825 in the morning, then maintained a consolidation state. In the afternoon, it fell back to around 2780 to stabilize, and then continued to rise, reaching a maximum of 3026 in the evening. Throughout the day, Bitcoin implemented a strategy with two long and two short positions, accumulating over 6200 points in profit, while Ethereum also achieved a profit of 210 points, with overall performance still impressive.

From the four-hour timeframe perspective, the price surged to 91253 before being pressured and falling back near the upper Bollinger Band at 91200. Currently, it is oscillating between the upper and middle bands, with the Bollinger Bands not showing a clear opening. Bullish momentum has weakened. The upper band pressure continues to be effective, and since the price could not hold the high after the surge, there is a demand for a pullback. If it subsequently breaks below the middle band support, bearish momentum may gradually release, likely converging towards the lower Bollinger Band. Short-term bearish signals are gradually emerging, with the one-hour Bollinger Band trend flattening. The price is running above the middle band but is close to the upper band, facing resistance. The distance between the upper and lower bands is narrowing, presenting an oscillating pattern, with the risk of breaking out increasing. The short-term rebound has not been able to drive the Bollinger Bands to open upward, and the hourly line has tested the upper band multiple times without success. If it fails to break through the upper band pressure, it is likely to test the middle band support downwards. Once the middle band is lost, the bears may dominate the market and push down towards the lower band, increasing the probability of bearishness after short-term oscillation. Early morning thoughts also suggest a high short position.
Operating advice:
Bitcoin: Short around 92500-92000, target down to 90000, if broken, look towards 88500.

Ethereum: Short around 3030-3000, target down to 2850-2700$BNB .

$BTC haven't boarded the bus yet?

$BTC was also involved, and the conversation about the subsequent trend started immediately.

How to interpret the early morning trend $BTC ? Come in for the answer.

$BTC How to view the midnight trend, come in for the answer