币学研习社浩

$ETH 10 October 2nd band trading operation, continue to take profit at 4400 and stop loss at 4350, steadily making profits from both waves exceeding 4420

Brother Hao's team still has positions, those who want to get on board hurry up

$ETH
Brother Hao's Morning Analysis September 30:
On September 25, the market experienced a one-day drop of 277 points, accompanied by a massive volume, which typically indicates panic selling. As a result, the next day immediately closed with a long lower shadow bullish candle, recovering the previous day's losses. This situation is a typical 'bear trap,' where many believe it will continue to fall, but the market rebounds.
Subsequent performance: Recently, three consecutive bullish candles have formed, reclaiming the 4000 integer level.
Key resistance level: There is significant pressure around 4250, as this was the previous swing high. On September 29, it reached 4246 and was knocked down again, leaving a long upper shadow, indicating heavy selling pressure here.
Technical analysis
MACD: Although the daily chart shows a death cross below the waterline, the green bars have shortened, indicating that the downward momentum is weakening. On the hourly chart, MACD has crossed golden, indicating strong short-term momentum.
RSI: The daily RSI is at 47, close to the midpoint and slightly weak; the hourly RSI has reached 65, nearing overbought territory, so caution is advised for short-term pullbacks.
Moving averages EMA: The 7-day line has crossed below the 30-day line, forming a death cross, and the overall trend remains weak. The current price is at 4163, below the 7-day line.
Volume performance
On the day of the significant drop on September 25, the trading volume surged to 8.45 million, which is a typical volume increase on a down day.
During subsequent rebounds, the volume gradually weakened, indicating that selling pressure has not been fully digested.
In the last three days, the volume on the hourly chart was primarily concentrated around the breakout at 4200 (September 30, 04:00 volume 239,000 transactions), indicating that there was capital pushing it up.
Summary
The current market is generally weak, but there is short-term rebound momentum. Recommended actions:
Buying opportunities: Watch for opportunities around 4100 and 4050.
Selling opportunities: There is significant pressure at 4250 and 4300, so partial profit-taking or attempting short positions can be considered.
Stop-loss discipline: Regardless of long or short positions, strict stop-loss measures must be implemented, especially at the 4020 and 4325 levels. Once these levels are broken, do not hesitate.

$SOL

Analysis by Brother Hao on the evening of October 3: Short-term fluctuations stabilize, accumulating strength to break through key resistance.
From the perspective of five-minute K-line, the price peaked at 234.77 on October 3 and then fell under pressure, reaching a low of 227.42. Subsequently, a contraction in volume occurred with fluctuations, gradually showing a rebound from the low. Currently, the SOL price is around 231.31, showing signs of low-level stabilization.
Highest point: 234.77
Lowest point: 227.42
Current price: 231.31
Short-term support: 230.00, 227.40
Short-term resistance: 232.50, 234.80
Technical analysis:
Moving average trends
MA(7) has crossed above MA(30) again, forming certain bullish signals in the short term.
The price is running above the moving average support, indicating some rebound momentum.
Trading volume
The volume was significantly increased when probing the bottom near 227.42, indicating active funding support below.
The trading volume weakened during the rebound phase, and there is still a lack of sustained volume breakout momentum in the short term.
Key intervals
The upper range of 232.5—234.8 is strong resistance; if effectively broken, it will open up space to impact 236—238.
The lower range of 230 serves as short-term support; if broken, it may retest the 227 area.
Trend judgment:
In the short term, SOL has completed initial stabilization after a rapid decline, with the moving averages turning upward, and a rebound is expected to continue.
If it can break through 234.8 with increased volume in the medium term, there will be an opportunity to strengthen further; if it faces resistance again, the market is likely to maintain a range of fluctuations.
Operational suggestions:
Short-term traders
Can enter positions lightly above 230 on dips, targeting the 232.5—234.8 range.
If it breaks below 230, it will be necessary to stop loss and exit to prevent another decline to 227.
Medium-term investors
It is recommended to pay attention to the breakout situation of 234.8; once broken and stabilized, positions can be gradually increased.
If the market repeatedly faces resistance, patiently wait for a pullback to confirm support before intervening.
Summary: After completing a phase of stabilization after being pressured at low levels, it has now shown a rebound trend, but the resistance above still needs attention. The key in the short term lies in whether it can break through the 232.5—234.8 range; if successful in breaking with increased volume, it will open up further upside potential; if blocked and falls back, the oscillation pattern will continue.
Welcome to follow Brother Hao from the Cryptocurrency Learning Society, where you can watch live trading, learn and communicate, and have a clear direction and strategy for the market. Regardless of the market style, knowing in advance allows you to master it better in time!
The Cryptocurrency Learning Society only engages in live trading, and the team still has positions available, so hurry up to get on board.

$ETH

Brother Hao's evening review on October 7:
Breaking through the upper Bollinger band, the bullish momentum is strong. After experiencing fluctuations and consolidation, ETH showed a clear upward trend this evening. As seen in the chart, the price has been fluctuating upwards from below 4700, quickly rising after breaking through the middle Bollinger band, with a peak reaching 4749.96 USD, forming a strong short-term breakout.
Technical Analysis
Bollinger Bands (BOLL)
The current candlestick is operating near the upper Bollinger band, indicating that short-term funds are pushing upwards strongly, with the price trending along the upper band, characteristic of a typical bullish trend extension phase.
The middle band support level is around 4714 USD. If it can stabilize above the middle band, there is still short-term potential for further gains.
MACD Indicator
The MACD yellow and white lines have formed a golden cross upwards, and the red momentum bars continue to expand, indicating that bullish momentum is strengthening. If the red bars continue to increase, ETH is expected to maintain upward momentum and test the pressure range of 4750–4780 USD.
Trading Rhythm
During the upward trend, the trading volume has increased synchronously, indicating that the breakout is valid and not a false push. There are clear signs of short-term fund involvement.
Operational Strategy Suggestions
Short-term Strategy:
On a pullback to the 4720–4725 USD range, one can lightly position for long trades, targeting 4760–4780 USD; place a stop-loss below 4705 USD.
Defensive Strategy:
If the price falls below the middle Bollinger band (around 4714), then short-term long positions should exit and observe to prevent getting trapped in a pullback.
Trend Outlook
ETH is currently in the continuation phase of an hourly upward trend. Short-term pullbacks do not alter the medium-term bullish structure. As long as the price remains above 4700, the market is expected to further test the 4800 round number.
Summary:
Short cycle bullish signals are evident, with MACD resonating upwards with the Bollinger Bands, but caution is needed for potential brief spikes and pullbacks near the upper band. Controlling position size and trading with the trend are key to current operations.
Feel free to follow Brother Hao from the Coin Study Club for real-time learning and exchange, and gain clarity on market direction and strategies. No matter the market style, knowing in advance allows for better mastery of timing. The team also has positions available for entry!

$ETH

Brother Hao's Morning Analysis October 2: After experiencing a surge in volume yesterday, ETH reached a high of $4378 during the session, then faced downward pressure, dropping to a low of $4284. However, it still maintains a high-level consolidation pattern overall. As of the time of writing, the price has returned to around $4349, showing certain recovery momentum in the short term.
Form Structure
Recently, ETH has been operating in the range of $4300—$4380, maintaining an overall box consolidation pattern.
The support line at $4280 has received support multiple times, indicating that funds are clearly accumulating in this area.
Moving Average System
The short-term moving average MA7 has turned up again, and the price has stabilized above MA30, with short-term rebound momentum gradually recovering.
The medium-term moving averages continue to maintain a bullish arrangement, and the trend has not been damaged.
Key Support and Resistance
Lower Support: $4300—$4280 range. If this level is lost, it may retest $4250 or even $4200.
Upper Resistance: $4378, which is the recent high. After breaking through, it may aim directly for the $4400 or even $4450 range.
Volume Performance
The upward phase is accompanied by increased volume, while the volume significantly decreases during the pullback, indicating limited active selling pressure.
If the current rebound can continue to increase in volume, it will increase the probability of breaking the upper limit ($4378).
Trend Judgment
Short-term: ETH shows a rhythm of “rising high and falling back—consolidation—rebound again,” currently in the rebound confirmation stage.
Medium-term: As long as $4280 holds, the bullish structure remains intact, and the market still has the potential for a second upward surge.
Operational Suggestions
Short-term traders:
Focus on the $4300 support. If it holds, consider buying low, targeting $4370—$4380;
If it breaks through $4378 with volume, consider going long, looking toward $4400-4450.
Medium-term traders:
Patiently wait for a breakout of the range. Be cautious if it falls below $4280;
Breaking through and stabilizing at $4378 means a new round of upward movement may begin.
Summary:
ETH's consolidation above $4300 is at a critical trend point. Whether the market can break through $4378 will determine whether the subsequent action continues with strong upward momentum or maintains a range-bound consolidation.
Feel free to follow Brother Hao from the Cryptocurrency Study Society for real-time learning and exchanges, where you can gain clarity on market direction and strategy. Regardless of market style, being informed in advance allows for better mastery of timing!
【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risk yourself. The article review and release may be delayed, and the strategies may lack timeliness. Specific operations should be based on real-time strategies.】

$ETH Hao Ge Evening Analysis October 1: A strong rally appeared during the session, with prices rising sharply from the 4137 line to 4329 USD, an increase of nearly 200 points, accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating that capital concentrated to push forward.
Technical Analysis:
The breakout pattern saw ETH break through the previous horizontal range with volume around 16:30, leading to a rapid upward trend, briefly piercing the 4329 high. Subsequently, prices entered a sideways consolidation, indicating a battle between bulls and bears at high levels.
Moving Averages
The short-term moving average (MA7) gradually flattened after the rise, with prices consolidating in the 4290—4310 range, but as time passed, the MA30 gradually suppressed the market, causing the evening trend to shift downward.
Key Support and Resistance
Upper Resistance: The 4329 line is a strong pressure zone in the short term; if it cannot break through, a local double top pattern will form.
Lower Support: The current key level is in the 4270—4280 area; if it breaks, there is a risk of retracing to the 4180 support line.
Volume Comparison
A huge volume accompanied the breakout, but the volume in the subsequent consolidation range continued to shrink, indicating insufficient upward momentum. If it cannot break through 4329 with accompanying volume, the market is likely to enter a retreat or a longer period of consolidation.
Trend Judgment:
Short-term: Currently, ETH is in a consolidation phase after a high pullback, with bears gradually taking the initiative, showing a weak short-term trend.
Medium-term: As long as the 4180 support holds, the bullish structure remains intact, and there is still hope for a second upward attack during the consolidation.
Trading Suggestions:
Short-term traders: Focus on the 4270 support; if it holds, consider buying low, targeting above 4300; if it breaks 4270, stop-loss promptly to avoid the risk of retracing to 4180.
Swing traders: Patiently wait for directional choice; if volume supports a breakout at 4329, it is expected to open up upward space to 4400; if it breaks below 4180, be cautious of accelerated pullbacks.
Welcome to follow the Cryptocurrency Study Society Hao, where you can learn and exchange in real-time trading, and gain clarity on market direction and strategies. Regardless of market style, knowing in advance allows you to better grasp the timing! The Cryptocurrency Study Society only engages in real trading, and the team has positions available for quick entry.