天才少年阿祖
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八折返佣码：BTC996
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Tonight's ADP Non-Farm! Multiple data directly impact interest rate cut expectations!
#Federal Reserve resumes rate cut pace #ADP Non-Farm data to be announced $BTC $ETH
On December 3rd, at night (corresponding to December 4th early morning Beijing time), several important economic data will be released. These data will directly influence the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, thereby significantly affecting cryptocurrencies and other risk assets.
📅 Tonight (December 3rd) key US data schedule
Here are the key data points you need to focus on, arranged by Beijing time:
· 21:15
· Event: US November ADP Employment Change
· Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
· Description: Known as “ADP Non-Farm,” it is an important preview of Friday's official non-farm payroll data, directly reflecting the heat of the labor market.
· 22:15
· Event: US September Industrial Production MoM
· Impact: ⭐⭐⭐
· Description: Reflects the output situation of the US manufacturing, mining, and other real industries, and is an indicator of economic health.
· 22:45
· Event: US November S&P Global Services PMI Final
· Impact: ⭐⭐⭐
· Description: Measures the level of business activity in the services sector, with the final value typically having a smaller impact.
· 23:00
· Event: US November ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
· Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
· Description: Key data. This is one of the most important indicators for assessing the activity of the US services sector (which constitutes a large part of GDP) and has a significant impact on market sentiment.
· 23:30
· Event: US EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the week ending November 28
· Impact: ⭐
· Description: Mainly influences crude oil and energy stocks, with limited direct impact on the cryptocurrency market.
🔍 How will these data affect the cryptocurrency market?
Currently, the core focus of the cryptocurrency market is completely concentrated on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path. The market generally expects that the Federal Reserve will initiate interest rate cuts at the meeting next week (December 10-11). Therefore, all data tonight will be regarded by the market as important evidence to verify or challenge this expectation.
The logic chain of impact is very clear:
Weak economic data (such as slowing employment, PMI below expectations) → Strengthens expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and maintaining easing → Dollar may weaken, market liquidity expectations increase → Positive for Bitcoin and other risk assets.
Conversely, if the data performs strongly, it may weaken rate cut expectations, putting pressure on the market in the short term.
#Federal Reserve resumes rate cut pace #ADP Non-Farm data to be announced $BTC $ETH
On December 3rd, at night (corresponding to December 4th early morning Beijing time), several important economic data will be released. These data will directly influence the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, thereby significantly affecting cryptocurrencies and other risk assets.
📅 Tonight (December 3rd) key US data schedule
Here are the key data points you need to focus on, arranged by Beijing time:
· 21:15
· Event: US November ADP Employment Change
· Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
· Description: Known as “ADP Non-Farm,” it is an important preview of Friday's official non-farm payroll data, directly reflecting the heat of the labor market.
· 22:15
· Event: US September Industrial Production MoM
· Impact: ⭐⭐⭐
· Description: Reflects the output situation of the US manufacturing, mining, and other real industries, and is an indicator of economic health.
· 22:45
· Event: US November S&P Global Services PMI Final
· Impact: ⭐⭐⭐
· Description: Measures the level of business activity in the services sector, with the final value typically having a smaller impact.
· 23:00
· Event: US November ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
· Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
· Description: Key data. This is one of the most important indicators for assessing the activity of the US services sector (which constitutes a large part of GDP) and has a significant impact on market sentiment.
· 23:30
· Event: US EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the week ending November 28
· Impact: ⭐
· Description: Mainly influences crude oil and energy stocks, with limited direct impact on the cryptocurrency market.
🔍 How will these data affect the cryptocurrency market?
Currently, the core focus of the cryptocurrency market is completely concentrated on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path. The market generally expects that the Federal Reserve will initiate interest rate cuts at the meeting next week (December 10-11). Therefore, all data tonight will be regarded by the market as important evidence to verify or challenge this expectation.
The logic chain of impact is very clear:
Weak economic data (such as slowing employment, PMI below expectations) → Strengthens expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and maintaining easing → Dollar may weaken, market liquidity expectations increase → Positive for Bitcoin and other risk assets.
Conversely, if the data performs strongly, it may weaken rate cut expectations, putting pressure on the market in the short term.
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The city is so noisy. Can the crypto world bless me with a rich woman? I want to be liberated! #币圈美女
🎙️ 要接空了～～～
End
05 h 59 m 46 s
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This position receives a lot, the value goes without saying. Live broadcast fixed daily, follow for updates, eat meat every day! #ETH
$ETH
$ETH
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🎙️ 晚上会出方向 进来看看~
End
05 h 59 m 47 s
465
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The traffic isn't very good. The live broadcast is eating meat. Show the order #ETH #美国ADP数据超预期
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The sharp drop yesterday was due to:
The market experienced a significant decline across the board on October 30. This drop was primarily driven by macroeconomic events and was linked to the performance of the U.S. tech sector.
$BTC Bitcoin (BTC) once dropped more than 3%
$ETH Ethereum (ETH) once dropped more than 3%
$ADA Cardano dropped over 4%
XRP plummeted nearly 6%
FIL plummeted nearly 7%
Liquidation situation
More than 240,000 people were liquidated within 24 hours, with a liquidation amount of approximately $1.093 billion (about 7.8 billion RMB)
Related stocks
Canaan Creative dropped over 9%
Coinbase dropped over 5%
Reason analysis
This market fluctuation is the result of multiple factors working together, which can mainly be summarized as follows:
· Macroeconomic policy:
The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting concluded
On October 29, the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut of 25 basis points. As this rate cut was fully anticipated by the market, investors are more focused on the future monetary policy path.
There is a phenomenon of "selling the fact," whereby after the good news is fully priced in, investors choose to take profits, leading to a price correction.
Market structure:
High leverage amplifies volatility risk
The inherent high volatility of the cryptocurrency market combined with the high leverage commonly used by investors is a prominent risk factor leading to severe fluctuations.
Once a market correction occurs, it can easily trigger a chain liquidation, forming a situation of "longs killing longs," which accelerates the price decline.
· Market linkage:
Tech stocks drag down market sentiment
On October 30, U.S. tech stocks collectively fell, with the Nasdaq index dropping 1.57%.
This pessimistic sentiment spread to the cryptocurrency market, especially affecting digital currency concept stocks closely associated with the crypto sector, further undermining market confidence.
Strategy recommendations
In the current highly volatile market environment, risk management is particularly important:
· Beware of high leverage: Avoid using high leverage to prevent forced liquidation during extreme fluctuations.
· Pay attention to key price levels: $104,000 is an important support level for Bitcoin, while $116,000 is a recent resistance level. You can use these key positions as references for decision-making.
· Keep an eye on macro trends: The cryptocurrency market is very sensitive to global monetary policy. Please continue to monitor statements from the Federal Reserve and other major central banks regarding interest rate paths.
#巨鲸动向 #加密市场回调
The market experienced a significant decline across the board on October 30. This drop was primarily driven by macroeconomic events and was linked to the performance of the U.S. tech sector.
$BTC Bitcoin (BTC) once dropped more than 3%
$ETH Ethereum (ETH) once dropped more than 3%
$ADA Cardano dropped over 4%
XRP plummeted nearly 6%
FIL plummeted nearly 7%
Liquidation situation
More than 240,000 people were liquidated within 24 hours, with a liquidation amount of approximately $1.093 billion (about 7.8 billion RMB)
Related stocks
Canaan Creative dropped over 9%
Coinbase dropped over 5%
Reason analysis
This market fluctuation is the result of multiple factors working together, which can mainly be summarized as follows:
· Macroeconomic policy:
The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting concluded
On October 29, the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut of 25 basis points. As this rate cut was fully anticipated by the market, investors are more focused on the future monetary policy path.
There is a phenomenon of "selling the fact," whereby after the good news is fully priced in, investors choose to take profits, leading to a price correction.
Market structure:
High leverage amplifies volatility risk
The inherent high volatility of the cryptocurrency market combined with the high leverage commonly used by investors is a prominent risk factor leading to severe fluctuations.
Once a market correction occurs, it can easily trigger a chain liquidation, forming a situation of "longs killing longs," which accelerates the price decline.
· Market linkage:
Tech stocks drag down market sentiment
On October 30, U.S. tech stocks collectively fell, with the Nasdaq index dropping 1.57%.
This pessimistic sentiment spread to the cryptocurrency market, especially affecting digital currency concept stocks closely associated with the crypto sector, further undermining market confidence.
Strategy recommendations
In the current highly volatile market environment, risk management is particularly important:
· Beware of high leverage: Avoid using high leverage to prevent forced liquidation during extreme fluctuations.
· Pay attention to key price levels: $104,000 is an important support level for Bitcoin, while $116,000 is a recent resistance level. You can use these key positions as references for decision-making.
· Keep an eye on macro trends: The cryptocurrency market is very sensitive to global monetary policy. Please continue to monitor statements from the Federal Reserve and other major central banks regarding interest rate paths.
#巨鲸动向 #加密市场回调
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You must learn these three points to survive.
Do you know why most people cannot survive in the market for a few months?
Because from day one, you've already fallen into the human traps designed by the market. You opened a position at a certain price, originally planned to set a stop-loss, but when the market went against you, you started to hesitate. Should I add a position to lower the cost, or wait for it to pull back to the moving average before exiting, or open a counter-position to wait for a comeback? Listen carefully, I have done all of these, and I have done it more professionally than you. The final outcome is only one: total annihilation, because you have turned trading into gambling against the market.
The first rule of professional traders: think about how to get out before placing an order. Loss is loss, profit is profit. There is no hesitation. If you move your stop-loss position once, it will be easier to move it the next time, until you have completely lost your bottom line.
Because from day one, you've already fallen into the human traps designed by the market. You opened a position at a certain price, originally planned to set a stop-loss, but when the market went against you, you started to hesitate. Should I add a position to lower the cost, or wait for it to pull back to the moving average before exiting, or open a counter-position to wait for a comeback? Listen carefully, I have done all of these, and I have done it more professionally than you. The final outcome is only one: total annihilation, because you have turned trading into gambling against the market.
The first rule of professional traders: think about how to get out before placing an order. Loss is loss, profit is profit. There is no hesitation. If you move your stop-loss position once, it will be easier to move it the next time, until you have completely lost your bottom line.
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