郑辰谈大饼

Late-night strike! U.S. non-farm data ignites turmoil in the cryptocurrency market, and a guide for retail investors has arrived!

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut remains undecided, and Powell just stated, "A rate cut in December is not a certainty," with the delayed release of the U.S. non-farm data becoming the "bellwether" for the cryptocurrency market! It's important to understand that dollar liquidity is the "lifeline" of the crypto market, and this set of data directly determines whether the Federal Reserve will continue tightening or restart the easing mode.

A key insight from Zheng: Positive data = strong economic resilience → more hawkish Fed → bearish pressure on the crypto market; data below expectations = rising rate cut expectations → easing liquidity is expected → the crypto market welcomes a breather. But caution is necessary! The data has been delayed for a long time, and the market has long been speculating; tonight's short-term fluctuations will inevitably be intense, so don't let emotions lead you to panic sell!

Key for retail investors to break through:
❶ Reject full-scale gambling! Mainstream coins should hold their positions and not blindly cut losses; new positions should wait for the data to materialize before gradually investing.
❷ Discard short-term noise! The crypto market is about long-term understanding; don’t let a single piece of data lead you to chase highs and panic sell.
❸ Maintain a calm mindset! Watch the market tonight but don’t panic; the greater the volatility, the more discipline you need to maintain in your operations.

There are always opportunities in the market; what’s lacking is the ability to judge calmly! Zheng continues to closely monitor on-chain dynamics and policy trends, guiding you to find the right rhythm in the turmoil and steadily profit. If you find this information valuable, make sure to follow for real-time analysis!
#美联储重启降息步伐

The bear market is crazy! You clearly understand 'cognitive monetization for swing trading', yet you always fall victim to the human nature curse of 'making a little profit and running away, winning small and losing big'?

Don't fight alone! With a 10,000 capital aiming for a 100,000 target, relying on execution rather than luck, precisely seizing the swing opportunities from November to December! Only 5 spots available for collaboration, let's work together to crack human weaknesses and secure certain profits. Don't be slow, come quickly to grab a seat! $BTC $ETH #特朗普取消农产品关税

US stock market opening = profit explosion window!
Volatility directly maximizes, grasping it well means big profits,
Lock in a profit space of 32 points, enjoy it bite by bite～
Focus on the opening node, accurately grasp the market! #比特币VS代币化黄金

Every order is a conversation with the unknown;
Every position is a test of belief;
Every closing, regardless of profit or loss, is a mark of growth.

The market is like the sea, and we are all sailors.
There is no need to envy others' speed in favorable winds;
Instead, learn to steady your rudder in the storm.

Remember your original intention when profitable, and do not lose confidence when experiencing losses.
True success is not about the momentary peak of an account,
but about living long, calmly, and always with passion in a brutal market.

Let's encourage each other, every trader!🚢📊
#比特币VS代币化黄金

【Trend lines are not drawn, they are given by structure】
A truly effective trend line must meet two criteria:
1️⃣ Anchor the starting point of trend continuation: for an uptrend, look for HL (higher low), for a downtrend, look for LH (lower high); any random connections in a sideways market are worthless lines!
2️⃣ Hit the key structural levels: support retest to push new highs, resistance retest to restart; gaps, round numbers, previous highs and lows, and areas of dense moving averages are the only valid anchor points—points without structure are self-deception no matter how you connect them!
If both criteria are met, one line can be used until the market ends; if one is missing, it’s a false trend that will eventually be proven wrong!
Trend lines are not judged by how well they are drawn, but by whether they can capture structural turning points:
Understanding structure makes the lines naturally accurate; misunderstanding structure renders even the most accurate lines useless!
Throw your wrongly drawn line examples into the Q&A section, and I will redraw you effective trend lines usable for the short/medium term～
Let's fully understand structure today and accurately capture turning points!🚀

Good morning! The market is fluctuating as usual, and we are breaking through with discipline~
Although the trend is not clear, the turning point hides opportunities✨
Stick to the plan, set strict stop losses, and maintain a stable mindset,
Give the market time, and also give yourself patience,
A new day, wishing you smooth trading!💪📈#比特币VS代币化黄金

黄金交易思路：震荡格局未改，短线高抛低吸为主

黄金延续多空交替节奏，日内拉升后尾盘冲高回落，凌晨时段震荡下行，日线收小阴并跌破MA10日均线4190支撑。技术面来看，四小时及小时图均线开口向下，价格运行于布林带中下轨，RSI指标维持中轴下方，短期偏弱但未破宽幅震荡结构。

日内关键阻力：4203/4216/4230，核心支撑：4178/4163/4150。
美联储利率决议临近，数据前行情大概率维持震荡调整，交易思路继续短线高估低渣：

高空计划：4205-4215区间布局
低多计划：4164-4150区间布局#比特币VS代币化黄金

特朗普搞关税战想给中国出口使绊子，结果压根没拦住！中国海关周一放数据了，2025年前11个月咱们以美元算的贸易顺差直接冲到1.076万亿美元，这可是历史上头一回破万亿，实力打脸啊。#比特币VS代币化黄金

It's late at night, let's take a break from the K-line,
return the losses to zero, and calm the floating profits.
The market is always there, opportunities are always plentiful,
the truly important thing is whether we can continue to move forward with a clear mind.

Wishing you a good night's sleep,
keep the noise outside the door, and clear your emotions,
let's welcome the market tomorrow with reason and patience.
Good night.🌛#比特币VS代币化黄金

The era of fund managers 'lying down to earn' may come to an end! The regulatory authorities have released a draft for public consultation on the performance assessment of fund managers, directly addressing the industry's pain points of 'investor losses and managers receiving salaries regardless'.

The rules are clear: If the actively managed equity fund manager's products underperform the benchmark by more than 10 percentage points over three years and remain in a loss, the performance compensation must be reduced by at least 30%; conversely, if the performance significantly outperforms the benchmark and achieves profitability, a salary increase is justifiable.

This assessment direction will deeply bind the earnings of fund managers to the interests of investors, forcing managers to focus on long-term performance, and the situation of 'earning high salaries regardless of profit or loss' may be completely broken in the future.
#比特币VS代币化黄金

Partner execution power is directly full! From deepening trading logic to independently opening profitable orders, every step is solid and powerful.
The road to profit is long and difficult, based on strength and proven by each other. May we continue to progress in the trading market and go further and further! #比特币VS代币化黄金

交易≠赌博：守好边界，方得长久

交易绝非赌桌押大小，前者以逻辑为纲，后者靠运气下注——二者本质天差地别，若混为一谈，再优质的行情也会沦为亏损残局。

真正的交易要算“明白账”：研判趋势、测算风险敞口、预设止损止盈，每一步皆有章法，如同经营生意般规划，赚认知内的确定收益，接纳可控风险下的合理亏损。

赌博式交易则沉迷“赌徒梦”：凭感觉猜涨跌、靠贪心扛亏损、寄望运气翻盘，本质是赌不可控概率，用本金换幻想，最终只会在情绪化循环中亏空账户。

交易的核心是“稳”，追求长期复利；赌博的核心是“赌”，执念短期暴富。分清二者边界，守住理性底线，才是立足市场的关键前提。#比特币VS代币化黄金

Gold European Market Trading Ideas
After the gold price found support at the 4200 level in the Asian market's late session, it rebounded to 4218. The core focus during the European session is the key level of 4221: a successful breakout and stabilization above this level would indicate a target range of 4232-4237. Before reaching the high, there may be a slight pullback, so be cautious of changes in momentum.

Current trading range: 4190—4230
Trading strategy: primarily short at highs and long at lows within the range
Key support: 4180 (if breached, look for extended downside)
Key resistance: 4230 (be cautious when chasing buys in this strong resistance area)

While the range is unbroken, stick to a strategy of buying low and selling high, without blindly chasing orders;
After stabilizing above 4221, follow the trend and join the breakout, avoiding counter-trend trades;
#比特币VS代币化黄金

【交易随笔】
做交易这些年，日子总被行情牵着走——
怕踏空的焦虑如影随形，怕回撤的忐忑悬在心头，怕亏损的惶恐刻进日常，神经每天绷得像拉满的弓弦，连呼吸都带着小心翼翼的克制。
好像真的很久，没有真正轻松过了。
能清晰想起的最后一次无忧无虑，还是十多年前的夏天。
奶奶家的老院子，木门虚掩着，风慢悠悠地穿堂而过，蝉鸣在浓密的树荫里此起彼伏，
我就躺在竹凉席上晒太阳，阳光暖得刚好，眯着眼，不知不觉就坠入了无梦的睡眠。
那时的世界多简单啊，没有K线的涨跌牵绊，没有盈利的执念枷锁，连多余的心事都没有。
如今才恍然懂得——
就算按原样复刻一座院子，就算再寻一个蝉鸣聒噪的夏天，也回不去那年纯粹无扰的心境。
原来，大多数人的成长，都是这样带着遗憾与怅然，一边失去，一边向前走。

In these years of trading, my life has always been led by the market——
The anxiety of missing out, the unease of drawdowns, the fear of losses, my nerves are tightly strung every day, even my breathing is filled with cautious restraint.
It feels like a long time since I've truly relaxed.
The last time I can remember being carefree was over a decade ago in the summer.
At my grandmother's old courtyard, the wooden door slightly ajar, the wind blowing gently, the cicadas chirping in the shade of the trees,
I would lie on the bamboo mat soaking up the sun, squinting, and unknowingly drift off to sleep.
How simple the world was then, without the entanglements of ups and downs, not even an excess of worries.
Now I understand——
Even if I recreate an identical courtyard, I can never return to the mindset of that summer.
It turns out that the growth of most people moves forward with such regrets.#比特币VS代币化黄金

黄金交易三大核心逻辑｜普通人也能稳稳抓牢的财富机遇！

1. 零费纯盈，收益不打折：免手续费+无隐性成本，盈利全额直达账户，每一分收益都实打实落袋；
2. 低槛入场，人人享红利：无需大额资金铺垫，轻松突破投资门槛，普通人也能平等抢占黄金资产增值机会；
3. 灵活稳赚，适配全行情：震荡市快速兑现收益，低风险布局稳健创收，当下市场环境中的优选投资标的。
#比特币VS代币化黄金

Korean storage giant's performance explodes! Q4 operating profit is expected to soar to 16.1 trillion won, DRAM prices are expected to rise sharply by 23%, NAND prices will also increase by 9%. Driven by the AI wave, the demand for HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) is expected to continue until 2026, and leading manufacturers' market share is likely to exceed 50%. Institutions predict that next year's operating profit will again reach 33 trillion won, coupled with the industry's production capacity shifting toward high-value-added products like DDR5, the storage chip bull market is in full swing, and the industry's prosperity continues to increase!\n #比特币VS代币化黄金

早起擒金！黄金开盘即布局，机会永远留给先行一步的交易者～ 多数人仍在观望时，早起者已锁定15点盈利空间，第一口肉稳稳落袋，交易路上快人一步，就是抢占胜势的关键！

12.8黄金策略
美联储决议前夕，市场情绪谨慎升温！上周五美元指数探底回升、美债收益率创逾两周新高，黄金价格冲高回落承压明显。技术面多重关键压制未破，日内延续反弹高空思路，4220-4230区间布局空单，目标直指4200-4150，严格带损防守，紧跟市场节奏。

Next week, the gold/forex market 📈 is gearing up! Four key messages to set the direction:

1. On December 9-10, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting (decision at 3 AM on the 11th + Powell's speech, core policy direction)
2. On December 12, the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States (weekly employment indicator, linked to market liquidity)
3. November PCE inflation data (core indicator of Federal Reserve's focus, delayed release still has a strong impact)
4. December non-farm payrolls preview data (expected increase of 165,000, Goldman Sachs predicts only 125,000, divergence hides opportunities)
#比特币VS代币化黄金