十六Crypto-手记

It really wants to catch me, once, twice, again.

The 30-minute music timer has turned off, with 4 minutes left, I went through a nightmare...

It is not a species, nor a specific object, more like a soul—there is an invisible hand that always wants to pull me into the abyss. Several times, I thought I was gone.

In the dream, I clearly remember yesterday at

3140 the checkpoint shorting, and I also knew I was dreaming.

I dreamed that I was lying on a bed, sleeping on my stomach, exactly the same as my posture when I woke up, with my left arm still numb.

There are 4 minutes left of the 30-minute timed music, and I fall into a nightmare about trading...
It has no form, is not a species, nor a physical object; it resembles an invisible soul, a black hand that always pulls me into the dark abyss. Several times I thought I had disappeared. In my dreams, I am especially clear-headed, remembering the short position I took at the 3140 mark yesterday $ETH ; I also know that I am dreaming—my sleeping position, my numb left hand, and waking up are exactly the same.
In my dream, I am staring at the market late at night, reviewing the trades from the day: shorting at the 3140 mark, setting a stop loss at 3170, and reducing my position by 70% at 3007 to leave a breakeven loss. My mom, who never touches virtual currencies, asks me about the ETH contract chart, with a green line showing unrealized gains on the screen. I remind her that there is no market on Saturday and the direction is unclear, but just as I finish speaking, that black hand comes to grab me again.

When I first entered Crypto, I was really panicking...
Looking at K-line is like reading a celestial book; when I hear others say 'increase positions on breakthroughs', I follow suit, and as a result, I lost more than half a month's salary in three days.
Later, I calmed down to keep trading records and gradually figured out some tricks—turns out that reliable signals and risk control are the real lifelines compared to 'divine predictions'.
I am Sixteen, a practical player in Crypto
I'm not some high-end analyst; I just record my daily trading operations and signal judgments in my 'notes'.
✅ Should I run when today's MACD red bars are shrinking?
✅ How to safely increase positions after the BOLL middle track stabilizes?

Contract Key Point Strategy | A profitable approach that even beginners can grasp, with recent practical examples of ETH
🔥 Tired of getting cut when trading contracts? Stop blindly chasing orders!
After trying various strategies, the 'Key Point Strategy' is still the most suitable for newcomers - just focus on key positions, clear signals without confusion, and defined take profit and stop loss, suitable for both short-term and swing trading!
Today I’ll share the practical process that I’ve kept under wraps. After reading, you can directly copy the homework👇 (At the end, attached is the latest #ETH short position case, current $ETH price 3020 can be referenced directly)
💡 Core Logic: Follow the 'Consensus Position' to drink soup
Prices at key points (like whole numbers such as 3000, 3200, or previous highs and lows) will form a 'cost area recognized by everyone'. Once breached, it triggers a large number of chase orders and stop losses, directly amplifying the trend! What we need to do is 'wait for signals, follow the rhythm'.

The take profit is set at 3080, and I withdrew the order at the sight of a callback. Watching the price drop to a low of 3064, I ultimately did not have faith in my judgment from earlier in the day. Left too early...
Market analysis (Friday, 12.5)

Current price: 3128 Time: 2:05
Today's daily line once again stands above the BOLL middle track, the EMA 30-day moving average (position 3165) constitutes the current resistance level. Once the price breaks through this position and stabilizes, it is necessary to pay close attention to the pressure test of the 120-day moving average (position 3550). The RSI value rose to 69 before turning downwards. The MACD has turned green for 10 bars; the bearish pattern remains unchanged, and the current bullish trend is merely a weak rebound, cautious of inducing more buying. The KDJ formed a small golden cross at a low position yesterday and is currently trending towards flat.

Reviewing yesterday's analysis report, the daily trend completely confirmed the previously summarized key points, and I was stopped out as a result, which is truly unfortunate.

"The bullish engulfing pattern is clearly visible, indicating a bullish signal"

Current price: 3128 Time: 3:50
ETH market analysis (12.4 Thursday)

From the daily perspective, the price has stabilized above the 7-day moving average today, with the 30-day moving average resistance level at 3166. Will today's market break through this resistance to create a new high, or will it directly probe the 2800 bottom? Let's wait and see; feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
Returning to the market analysis: The MACD is in a golden cross state at the bottom, but the upward momentum is strong, currently continuing to rise below the 0 axis; the RSI indicator has retreated from the previous overbought range (value close to 90) and has shown a 30° upward trend today; the KDJ indicator has also formed a slight golden cross, and the overall market shows a fluctuating upward trend.

#ETH

What does everyone think? Feel free to leave a message in the comments section.

Yesterday's pattern saw 2970, who would have thought it rose to 3034 at 1 a.m., I took profit at 2850, missing out on nearly 100 points. Next time I'll leave an ant position to let it fly.

ETH Market Analysis (12.3 Tuesday)

Today's daily line once again stands firm above the 7-day moving average, showing a bullish engulfing pattern (bullish reversal signal). The RSI briefly fell below 30 in the morning, but after half a day's consolidation, it almost broke through the 30 value at a 90° angle upwards; the MACD histogram color changed, and the KDJ also turned from a death cross, about to form a golden cross. Overall, there is still room for upward movement.

ETH Market Analysis (12.2 Monday)
Yesterday at 7 o'clock, I just finished editing the post, mentioning that the daily line stabilized above the 7-day moving average and closed in the green, but at 8 o'clock, there was a significant drop; unexpectedly, an upward trend occurred again in the last hour before closing.
Today's daily line has broken below the 7-day moving average, and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) has fallen below 30 (when the RSI value is below 30, the market is in an oversold state, and prices may rebound soon, which is a potential buy signal); the KDJ indicator has formed a death cross around the midpoint value of 60, indicating that the recent market may still see lower points, which long-term investors should pay attention to.

Daily line early session stabilized above the 7-day moving average closing in the green, MACD indicator still moving towards the 0 track, KDJ stochastic indicator consistent with yesterday.

4 hours also stabilized above the 7-day moving average, BOLL Bollinger Bands slightly open, MACD indicator is about to show green bars above the 0 track, indicating that the market is about to start, KDJ stochastic indicator has reached a high value of 90, same as yesterday, the golden cross formed at 8 o'clock in the morning at 2980.
1 hour just broke below the 7-day moving average, but immediately closed in the green, EMA 30-day moving average is at 3018, if broken, pay attention to the support level of the 120-day moving average at 2995; MACD indicator is about to converge above the 0 track, subsequent attention needs to be paid to the number of red bars; KDJ stochastic indicator showed a high-level dead cross at 2 o'clock, the price just touched 3050 and then fell back.

Daily line steadily above the 7-day moving average, MACD golden cross is still going up, KDJ is turning down, expecting a wave of decline in December
4 hours MACD is preparing to turn red, the moving average is above the 0 line, and KDJ shows a low-level small golden cross
1 hour RSI is rising, MACD is approaching the 0 line, KDJ has a small golden cross at the 60 value
2940-2980 small positions in batches to go long, take profit at 3015-3060, with the pattern seeing above 3100,
Stop loss at 2910
PS: Many times, as long as you set strict requirements for yourself and know when to act and when not to, that is enough.
Don't be afraid of stop losses, stop loss is honorable, waiting also gives you the next opportunity! Points as reference, many

If BTC is included in high school curriculum, it will introduce a large number of students who will graduate and find no jobs, and will only be able to start trading on Binance........
So I predict that in 2030, I will meet an old classmate in my live stream on Binance, hahaha! 😂

The daily chart shows that the market surged and then fell back, encountering resistance around the middle track. The previous candle closed with a long upper shadow and a bearish body. The intraday opening showed narrow fluctuations, and the Bollinger Bands are in a contracted state with short-term moving averages turning upwards. The MACD fast and slow lines crossed and are running upwards, with increasing volume. The KDJ is also moving upwards, showing signs of turning. The VR indicator is consolidating around the value of 50. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the market surged and then plunged back below the 7-day moving average. The Bollinger Bands are moving upwards, showing signs of contraction, and the short-term moving averages are turning. The MACD fast and slow lines crossed downwards, with the volume bars turning green and increasing. The KDJ is extending downwards, and the VR indicator is consolidating around the value of 80. Overall, the market's trend aligns with the expectations mentioned above. Currently, it continues to maintain high-level fluctuations, and the liquidity over the weekend is poor, which may result in limited volatility. In the short term, it remains primarily a rebound in the bearish trend. The focus should be on resistance around the previous highs, considering short-term recommendations.