Cut-off Invalid Conditions (Directly Abandon Order) - Valid Break Below 87,000 - Retracement After Breaking 89,200 Within 30 Minutes - RSI Not Reaching 30 in the 1H Before Pullback Ambush
Just these three lines: If 87,000-87,800 is not broken, go long; if it breaks, run; if the risk-reward ratio is not enough, do not act. The rest is all noise. $BTC
BTCUSD Dual Time Frame Swing Strategy (2025-12-08 19:05)
Daily: Bear Market Trend Channel, Price Below MA20, RSI 48 Neutral to Weak, Only Short Direction Key Resonance Support (Short Target): 88,500-88,800 (Downtrend Line + 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement)
Only Direction: Only Short
Short Plan Entry: Breakthrough H1 Low After Pullback at 91,500-92,000 (Filter False Rebounds) Stop Loss: 92,500 Target: 89,000 → 88,000 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1+
If this range is not reached, watch cautiously, never chase short, never go long. Now do nothing, just wait for 91,500-92,000.$BTC
BTC/USDT Short Selling Strategy (2025-12-08 17:27)
Daily: Clear downtrend, only short
1H Short Resonance Zone 95,000 ± 300 (Current best entry)
Stop Loss: 95,800 First Target: 87,688 Second Target: 80,600 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.2:1 or higher (strictly ≥2:1)
Secondary Accumulation Zone 97,500-98,500 Resistance for secondary short (higher risk-reward ratio)
Operational Rules Only short, no long, never catch the bottom before the daily trend changes Before 108,500 is effectively breached, the bearish outlook remains unchanged$BTC
**Direction: Daily Bearish Channel Complete, Only Short**
**Core Resonance Zone** 80,600-82,000 Strong Support (Fibonacci 0.786 + Lower Bound of the Descending Channel)
**1H Entry Plan (Only High Short)** 1. Wait for a Bounce 95,000-96,000 2. 1H Top Divergence or False Breakout, Short Immediately 3. Stop Loss 96,800 4. Target 89,000 → 85,000 → 80,600 5. Risk-Reward Ratio 4-5:1
**Break 91,000, Short Immediately** (Stop Loss 92,800, Same Target Above)
**Forbidden Zone**: No Long Positions Allowed Before Breaking Through the Upper Bound of the Channel at 103,500
In One Sentence: Short Near Bounce at 96k All the Way Down, Target 80k, Steady. $BTC
**Daily: Clear Bearish** Break below the six-month trend line + MA20/50 death cross pressure, trend looks bearish until it re-establishes above 95,000.
**Only short, never catch a bottom**
**1H Precise Short Plan (Fibonacci + Trend Line Resonance Zone)** Resistance Zone: 89,800-90,200 (0.618-0.786 + descending channel upper boundary)
- Preferred: Short on rebound to 89,800-90,100 with stagnation Entry: 89,700-90,000 Stop Loss: 90,500 Take Profit: 87,000 → 84,800 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.5-5:1
- False breakout short: Quick drop after piercing above 90,200, short at 90,300 Stop Loss 91,000, target same as above
**Filter** - Do not chase shorts below 88,000 - Ignore all bullish signals above 90,200
The bearish trend is not over, patiently wait for 89.8-90.2 resistance to strike again, aiming for a wave down to 84k. $BTC
**Daily**: Strong bearish trend, no long positions allowed before breaking 93500 0.618 + descending trend line resonance resistance: 92900-93500
**Only short for 1 hour, two plans**
1. Conservative (preferred) Bounce 93000-93400 light position high short Stop loss 94000 Target 87500 → 83000 Risk-reward ratio 6:1+
2. Aggressive Current price 91100-91200 chase short Stop loss 92100 Target 87500 → 83000 Risk-reward ratio 4:1+
**Iron Rules** - Daily trend line not broken, all bounces are short points - Risk-reward ratio < 2:1 absolutely do not enter - Do not catch the bottom before 83000
Just these two orders, all other signals filtered. $BTC
Price 92,433.9, MA20(92,589.7), MA50(92,815.7) below, RSI 49.21 Neutral. Wait for a pullback to stop the decline.
Resonance Zone (Trend Line + Fibonacci)
Trend line extending from 80,600 to 1 hour → 90,800-91,500; Fibonacci 61.8% retracement ≈ 91,787, overlapping MA20. Resonance Zone: 90,800-91,787.
Entry Rules
Only Long: ① Pullback to the resonance zone + stop the decline (Hammer/RSI Divergence/MACD Shrink Green); ② 1 hour breaks MA50 and holds; ③ Break 80,600 or RSI < 30 and not stop the decline then abandon.
Risk-Reward Ratio
Stop Loss 90,800 (Risk ≈ 1k), Take Profit 98,387 (Profit ≈ 6.6k), Ratio ≈ 6.6:1 (≥2:1).
Conclusion: Daily is bullish, 1 hour pulls back to the resonance zone, wait for a stop decline to enter light long, strict stop loss.
【BTC/USDT Dual Time Frame Swing Strategy | 2025-12-05 04:18
Long-term (daily) trend assessment: the clear bearish trend has not yet ended - Since the historical high of 126,208 in mid-November, BTC has entered a daily downtrend channel, currently in the final stage of the 4th wave rebound (ABC correction wave). The rebound high has been blocked by the descending trend line and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a structural divergence at the top. The daily direction remains bearish. Daily key level (marked) - Descending trend line: connecting from 126,208 → 94,185, current pressure ≈ 94,200-94,800 - Fibonacci retracement (from 126k down to 80.6k low) - 0.5 level: 99,400 (already passed)
**Alternative: Breakout Buy (Aggressive)** - Break above 3,230 and pull back without breaking 3,200 - Stop Loss: 3,150 - Target: 3,500+ - Risk-Reward Ratio: 5:1+
**Iron Rules** - Do not open if the risk-reward ratio <2:1 - Breaking 2,950 damages the trend, all plans canceled - Chasing above 3,000 = giving away money
Wait for 2,980-3,020, do not act until then. 3,900 in sight, patiently wait for big gains. $ETH
**Alternative: Breakout Follow Long (Aggressive)** - Break above 94,185 and retest without breaking 94,000 - Stop Loss: 93,500 - Target: 100,000+ - Risk-Reward Ratio: 6:1+
**Iron Rule** - Do not open trades with a risk-reward ratio < 2:1 - Breaking below 87,000 destroys the trend, all plans canceled - Chasing above 88,000 = giving away money
Wait for 87,300-87,800, do not act until then. 100,000 in sight, patiently take the big profit. $BTC