The golden September and silver October is already halfway through, we have captured the first round of dividends, and October will be a turning point for the second half of the year! Looking back at September, as long as we grasp one direction each week, we can easily manage it. In the first week, we had an 80% success rate, fully turning around; in the second week, the success rate reached as high as 88.88%, fully turning around at a minimum of 2; in the third week, we had an 85% success rate, with the highest turning around at 4; in the fourth week, the success rate peaked at 89.47%, fully turning around at a minimum of 4. All the above data comes from actual observations, with strategies + actual observations Y profit charts as evidence, welcome to review!
October, as a key turning point for the second half of the year, has made it a definite decision to grasp the single-sided large space! We will continue to adhere to the principle of "quality over quantity", strictly controlling risks, seeking to obtain typical results, with 1V1 throughout the process, synchronized entry and exit reminders, with a limit of 3 per batch, requiring strong execution ability, starting from 10000, with a minimum turnaround of 2. #加密ETF十月决战
October navigation showed a rollercoaster trend: after a peak of 126000, it entered a volatile downward channel, plunging to a low of 101500 in the early hours of the 11th
In terms of operations, the first half of the month did not blindly chase after a trending big market, but focused on segment opportunities, capturing nearly 50% of the fluctuation space, with 1v1 students achieving basically 2 times the returns; in the second half of the month, navigation entered a volatile phase between 116000-106000, shifting to a short-term strategy, which not only avoided the pressure of long-term positions but also improved operational flexibility, with students achieving an average return of 3 times
Core Arrangements for November Teaching
Two weekly slots for 5000 oil and above, ensuring refined teaching; Plus 1 exclusive slot for less oil support, balancing assistance needs, with fewer people monitoring for more precision, avoiding distraction that affects operational efficiency.
New Batch of Teaching Recruitment Requirements
Core priority on stability, rejecting aggressive operations, pursuing steady returns! Execution must be in place, synchronized entry and exit positions, no unauthorized adjustments! Threshold: starting from 5000 oil, aiming for 2 times returns within the target cycle Three slots per week, quality over quantity $BTC #加密市场回调 $ETH
On Tuesday during the day, Big Pie and Second Pie Strategy
The Big Pie showed a fluctuating downward pattern yesterday, breaking below 90000, currently narrowing in the range of 90000-90500. Trend indicators continue to contract, the MACD histogram remains in a state of expansion and maintains a flat amplitude, although the DIF and DEA continue to diverge upwards, they have not yet touched the zero axis, and the daytime bullish momentum still needs to accumulate, optimistic about the pullback.
Hourly chart level: Short-term weak signal is clear, MACD has entered the negative value area, DIF and DEA formed a death cross and continue to extend downward, with bearish momentum dominating in the short term; the short-term EMA crosses below the long-term EMA forming a bearish cross, and the price is operating below the moving average system, further amplifying the short-term pullback pressure.
Operation Strategy Big Pie pullback to the 89000-89500 range, target looking at 91500, upper target at 92300 Second Pie pullback to the 3050-3080 range, target at 3150, upper target at 3220
The daily and 4-hour charts for Big Coin have not shown any clear directional signals such as moving average crossovers or trend reversals. The upper resistance range is 92600-93200; if a solid candlestick breaks this range, we look towards the MA60 resistance near 94000 and 96000. Support is seen around 89000; if it falls below this level, consider a pullback.
Operation Strategy If Big Coin pulls back to the range of 90500-91000, the target is 92600, aiming for 94000.
If Second Coin pulls back to the range of 3080-3120, the target is 3180, aiming for 3250.
Monday Daytime Large Cake and Second Cake Strategy
The large cake has formed a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern on the 4-hour level, indicating that short-term bulls are counterattacking. However, during the process of shifting the center of gravity upwards, the volume is insufficient. The resistance in the 92000-92500 range continues to suppress, and a head and shoulders pattern has emerged technically, with the neckline currently at 90000. If it breaks below, it will confirm a pullback.
The MACD indicator is consolidating near the zero axis, without forming a clear trend direction; the RSI indicator is in a neutral range, with no overbought or oversold signals, and is slightly volatile during the day.
Operation Direction: Primarily Short The large cake is fluctuating in the 91800-92500 range, targeting a drop to 90000 and looking down to 89000. The second cake is fluctuating in the 3120-3150 range, targeting a drop to 3000 and looking down to 2950.
Bitcoin rebounded quickly after breaking below the 91000 level in the early morning, forming a short-term V-shaped recovery pattern. However, repeated attempts to break through the 94000 integer level faced selling pressure and fell back, with the daily line closing in the red, highlighting strong resistance above. The core support for the day focuses on the 90000-90600 range, with 94000 as the resistance range. Although there are signs of increased upward movement on the daily level, the MACD has not been able to break through the zero-axis constraint, and both bulls and bears are observing and gathering strength.
Operational Direction
Bitcoin rebounded to the 92800-93200 range, aiming for 91500, and looking down at 90000. Two Coin rebounded to the 3200-3230 range, aiming for 3150 and looking down at 3100.
The four-hour chart of Bitcoin shows a pattern of "seven consecutive gains followed by narrowing fluctuations". The price fluctuates repeatedly in the range of 93000-94000, with bulls continuing to maintain strength with a "small step upward". However, the RSI indicator is nearing the overbought zone, and the market's expectation of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 89%, providing fundamental backing for the bulls. Overall, the bullish dominance remains unchanged, but caution is required for potential technical pullback risks under high-level fluctuations.
Operational Direction Bitcoin pulls back to the range of 92000-92500, targeting 94000 and looking at 96000.
Ethereum pulls back to the range of 3150-3180, targeting 3250 and looking at 3320.
Yesterday, the big pie plummeted sharply in tandem with the U.S. stock market, briefly breaking below the 85000 level before quickly recovering, confirming that this support is effective. In the short term, the big pie is constrained by the downward trend line on the 4-hour level, and a rebound needs to break through the initial resistance at 87500 to open up upward space. In the 4-hour chart, the RSI indicator has risen from the oversold range but has not yet broken through the neutral to strong range, and the short-term tug-of-war between bulls and bears is still dominated by fluctuations.
Recently, the correlation between the big pie and the U.S. stock market has strengthened. After yesterday's decline following the U.S. stock market, it stabilized. During the day, attention should be paid to the fluctuations in U.S. stock futures. If the U.S. stock market continues to be weak, it may put pressure on the rebound of the big pie, further reinforcing the characteristics of range fluctuations.
Operation Direction The big pie pulls back to the 85500-86000 range, target 87500, looking at 89000. The two pie pulls back to the 2760-2780 range, target 2850, looking at 2900.
If the big pie pulls back and breaks below 85000, it is necessary to stop loss in time and wait for a lower entry point. Specific adjustments can be made at any time. Personal advice is for reference only and does not constitute investment or financial recommendations!
From the 4-hour level trend, although the intraday big cake has experienced a sharp decline followed by a slow recovery, the overall rebound structure remains weak, and the short-term trend dominated by bears has not undergone substantial changes. In terms of candlestick patterns, the bearish engulfing pattern formed by the previous sharp drop has not been broken, and during the rebound process, there have been multiple small real body bullish candles, lacking sustained upward momentum.
On the indicator level, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slightly rebounded after touching the oversold range in the morning session, but is still below the 50 neutral line and has not formed an effective breakthrough. The rebound momentum is gradually weakening; the MACD histogram continues to narrow but remains below the zero axis, and the dual lines have not formed a golden cross resonance.
In terms of support and resistance, the lower support is at 85000, and the upper resistance focuses on the 89000-90000 range.
Operational strategy: Mainly short on rebounds. The big cake rebounds to the 88000-89000 range, with a target of 86000, and looks down at 84500. The second cake rebounds to the 2860-2900 range, with a target of 2820, and looks down at 2750.
If the big cake breaks through the 89000 resistance, it proves that the rebound momentum is sufficient, and timely stop-loss is necessary, waiting for the high point to stabilize before re-entering. Personal suggestions are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice!
Monday Daytime Bitcoin Strategy Bitcoin surged to a peak during the early stage before entering a consolidation phase. A strong bearish candle in the morning directly broke through the consolidation platform, forming a "cliff-like" downward trend after a short-term trend break, quickly dropping from around 91000 to about 86400. The bears' strength was concentrated and accompanied by panic selling, establishing a short-term downward trend. Currently, it is weakly oscillating around 86000. The 1-hour K-line has not shown a solid bullish reversal candle, and the oscillation amplitude is narrowing, reflecting weak short-term bullish support ability and lack of effective rebound momentum.
Resistance range looks at 89000, with support below focusing on 86000.
Operational Strategy
Bitcoin rebounds to the range of 87500-88000, targeting 86000 and looking down to 84500. Second coin rebounds to the range of 2850-2880, targeting 2800 and looking down to 2750.
Please pay attention to whether the resistance at 89000 breaks through, and adjust the direction in a timely manner! Personal advice, for reference only, not an investment recommendation!
Sunday Night Big Cake and Second Cake Strategy The Big Cake's oscillating upward structure is solid, with previous bearish closing being a healthy correction. The high points are rising, showing a favorable pattern. The Bollinger Band's middle track is repeatedly tested, and the bullish dominant pattern remains unchanged. The four consecutive bullish candles strongly break through the middle track of the Bollinger Band, with MACD golden cross and KDJ diverging upwards in resonance. In the evening, the bullish rhythm can continue, and any pullback is an entry window.
Operating Direction: If the Big Cake pulls back to the 90000-90500 range, the target is 92500 with a look towards 94500. If the Second Cake pulls back to the 2950-2980 range, the target is 3050 with a look towards 3120.
If the Big Cake pulls back below 90000, then the direction needs to be adjusted, and timely stop-loss should be taken, waiting for lower points to enter. Personal views are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice.
Although the daytime Bitcoin has limited retracement strength, the trend of Ethereum is fine, and it has reached the first target! Bitcoin 1100 standard! $BTC
Last night I reminded to withdraw and connect the duo, those who followed can make a few waves back and forth! Big pancake 2000 typical, second pancake 130 typical space! #美国非农数据超预期 $BTC
The daytime idea's retracement position is gradually being realized, falling to the near previous consolidation support level. During the retracement process, trading volume is gradually decreasing, indicating a pullback release. The MACD indicator maintains a golden cross pattern, and bullish momentum has not weakened.
Additionally, on the news front, high-level talks between China and the US have confirmed mutual visits, Trump has initiated the AI 'Genesis Mission' plan, and the San Francisco Fed President has expressed support for interest rate cuts with the probability of a rate cut rising to 80%. With these three positive factors resonating, the short-term outlook remains optimistic for further retracement and buying! The upper pressure focuses around 98000.
Operational direction Bitcoin retraces to the 85000-86000 range for buying, target 88500, aiming for 90500. Ethereum retraces to the 2800-2850 range for buying, target 2920 aiming for 3000.
If Bitcoin's retracement falls below the support of 84500, then stop loss promptly, and wait for the low point to stabilize before entering again.
Big Coin is in a consolidation phase at the 1H level, with upper pressure focused on the 86000-88000 range. A breakout may open up a rebound space to 90000-93000; the lower support at 85000, if broken, will invalidate the head and shoulders pattern and likely lead to a drop near the previous low of 82000.
MACD maintains a golden cross state, with red histogram momentum not diminishing, reflecting that short-term bullish momentum is still being released; the RSI (14) is running in the 55-60 range, not reaching the overbought threshold, still having rebound space, but caution is needed for the risk of momentum retreating near resistance levels.
Evening Operations Big Coin retraces to the 84500-85000 range, target 86500, looking up to 88000.
Small Coin retraces to the 2720-2750 range, target 2850, looking up to 3000.
If Big Coin falls below 84000, cut losses in time and wait for stabilization at the low before re-entering.
The big cake and the second cake have already reminded of the rebound after the fluctuation during the day, do not chase high! The downward fluctuation during the day is late but it has arrived! The big cake is 1800 points, the second cake is 100 points! The stone plate is currently floating at 1400 points, 7000 oil! #比特币波动性 $BTC $ETH
The big cake is currently under downward trend suppression, with prices continuously running below the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. Multiple rebounds have failed to break through the previous oscillation pressure zone, and the volume during the rebound process has gradually shrunk, indicating a decline in bullish momentum. The moving average system shows a bearish arrangement, further suppressing the rebound space, with short-term support existing at 80000.
4-hour Cycle: The trend presents a symmetrical triangle consolidation structure, repeatedly oscillating around the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are continuously narrowing, with the MACD indicator clinging below the zero axis, and the negative histogram fluctuating slightly. Bullish momentum has not effectively emerged, and in the short term, bearish dominance continues to dictate the oscillation.
Operational Direction The big cake rebounding to the 87000—87500 range, target 85000, looking down to 83000.
The second cake rebounding to the 2850-2880 range, target 2750, looking down to 2600. #比特币波动性 $BTC $ETH