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Why did large holders buy 480 million DOGE but the price didn't rise? There is only one truth!
Data shows that in the past two days, addresses have cumulatively bought about 480 million DOGE, corresponding to a capital amount exceeding 70 million US dollars. However, the price only briefly touched around 0.153 before continuously retreating, indicating weak market willingness to follow the trend, and selling pressure remains evident. Relying solely on individual large holders' purchases is insufficient to reverse overall sentiment.
From a technical perspective, DOGE's short-term momentum is weak, and the price has fallen below key moving averages. The upper resistance can first be observed around 0.152, with significant resistance at around 0.155. The lower level to watch is 0.148; if this level is lost, it may further decline to the 0.143-0.140 area.
I believe that the overall trend has not yet turned bullish, and the price is more likely to continue testing support downwards. It is crucial to see whether it can stabilize above 0.148 in the short term.
In terms of operations, I suggest not to enter at the current price level. If considering a layout, one should patiently wait for the price to approach the 0.143-0.140 range before considering a gradual light position test. If you already hold a position, you may consider partially reducing your holdings if it rebounds to around 0.152. Regardless of the operation, it is necessary to set stop-losses in advance and control the position.
Overall, large purchases are worth noting, but they are insufficient to constitute an immediate bullish reason. Before the market shows clear stabilization and volume signals, maintaining a wait-and-see approach is the more prudent strategy. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 Accurately grasp the market, share strategies in real-time, secretly announce points, want to witness everything in the chatroom gathering! Currently, I still have contract passwords! @Alpha金手指
Emergency Alert: Countdown to Bank of Japan Interest Rate Hike, Trillions in Global Funds May Withdraw from Cryptocurrency!
The Bank of Japan may adjust its interest rate policy in the near future, with market expectations rising for a rate hike in December or early next year. If the rate hike materializes, it could trigger a return of some cross-border arbitrage funds. In the past, due to the yen maintaining low interest rates for an extended period, many international funds borrowed yen and converted them to dollars to invest in global risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. If Japanese interest rates rise, this portion of funds may face repayment pressure, thereby exerting selling pressure on risk asset prices.
Meanwhile, the market's previous optimistic expectations regarding a rate cut by the Federal Reserve are being revised, with the overall global liquidity environment showing a tightening trend. The synchronized policy shift of major central banks in the East and West may pose pressure on market liquidity.
From an internal market structure observation, Bitcoin prices have corrected from previous highs, and the spot ETF has recently shown net outflows of funds, with market sentiment becoming cautious. Leveraged traders have suffered significant losses amidst volatility, further exacerbating the fragility of the market structure. In addition, the activity and asset prices of some mainstream blockchain ecosystems have also declined, reflecting a decrease in market risk appetite.
I believe that around the major central bank meetings at the end of the year, combined with reduced liquidity due to traditional holidays, the possibility of abnormal market fluctuations cannot be ignored.
For ordinary investors, the primary task at this stage is to manage risks. It is advisable to remain cautious, strictly control positions and leverage levels, and avoid aggressive operations in a highly uncertain environment. Before the market shows clearer signs of stabilization, maintaining patience and retaining sufficient liquidity is a more prudent strategy. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 Accurately grasping the market, strategies shared in real-time, points disclosed secretly, want to witness everything in the chatroom collection! Currently still holding contract passwords! @Alpha金手指
BTC surged 20% and a key turning point is about to appear!
Last time I reminded that BTC was almost at the bottom, and after that, this rebound was indeed quite strong, with a cumulative increase of nearly 20%. There were suitable pullback entry opportunities earlier this month.
Currently, BTC is consolidating quite strongly in the short term, and after this consolidation, it is estimated that it can push up again. Pay close attention to the area of 96500-97500. If it rises to this point and the upward momentum weakens, it may begin a real pullback since the low-level rise. At that time, be sure to pay more attention and prepare for partial profit protection. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 Accurately grasp the market, strategies shared in real-time, points revealed secretly, want to witness everything in the chat room gathering! Currently, there are still contract passwords in hand! @Alpha金手指
Want to buy the dip? A must-read for retail investors: The harsh truth about BOB and ZEC – major players may be retreating!
The overall market lacks a clear direction; now is not the time for widespread rallies. Funds are simply jumping between a few hot sectors.
Coin $BOB is purely driven by sentiment, lacking any real support. Looking at the chart, the price is currently fluctuating within a large range. Crucially, yesterday's trading volume surged, but the price failed to rise, which is not a good sign. This indicates that many are trying to exit at this price, resulting in heavy selling pressure. Short-term support is around 0.0198, with strong support at 0.0171. I suggest avoiding it. If you insist on trading, only try with a very small amount of capital near 0.017, and immediately set a stop-loss order.
Coin $ZEC is showing relatively strong short-term performance, with the price near a resistance level. Short-term indicators show it's somewhat "overbought," meaning a pullback is possible at any time. It faces resistance at 395-400, with support at 370 and 348. My view is **absolutely not to chase it now**, as it will most likely fall back. If you want to buy, you can only wait until it drops to around 370 and see if it shows signs of holding.
Neither of these are coins you can hold without moving. BOB is extremely risky, pure gambling; ZEC is under regulatory pressure, making it difficult to rise. My advice is to put your main funds in safer places. If you really feel the urge to trade these coins, use a small amount of spare change; you won't feel bad if you lose. Remember, in this market, not losing money is already a win.
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 Accurate market analysis, real-time strategy sharing, and secretly revealed entry points. Join the chat room to witness everything! I still have the contract password! @Alpha金手指
The giant whale awakens! A one-time transfer of over ten million USD in ETH, is it optimistic or a trap?
According to the on-chain dynamics and technical trends of ETH in the early morning, a significant change occurred on-chain: a long-inactive address withdrew about 1320 ETH from the exchange. The act of withdrawing is generally viewed as a signal of holding intention. Given that this address has been inactive for two years, it can be seen as a statement from some long-term holders regarding their outlook.
From a short-term technical perspective, ETH is still in a bullish trend, but on the hourly level, there is a divergence with prices rising while trading volume gradually shrinks. This usually indicates that the momentum for further upward movement may be insufficient in the short term, and there is a demand for a pullback or consolidation in the market.
My judgment is that the likelihood of a direct and effective breakout above the previous high (around 3270 USD) is low; it is more likely that the market will first retrace to support. The key level to watch initially is around 3180 USD, and if the adjustment deepens, the 3060-3100 USD range will be a more important support zone.
In terms of operations, I do not recommend chasing high prices at the current level. If the price pulls back to around 3180 USD and shows signs of stabilization, a light position can be considered for testing. A more prudent strategy is to wait for the price to enter the 3060-3100 USD range before gradually allocating positions. Be sure to manage your positions well to avoid heavy single trades.
Overall, the movements of the giant whale can be monitored, but they are not a decisive signal. Currently, the technical indicators show that a short-term consolidation is needed. Patiently waiting for clearer support signals before taking action may be the more rational choice. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析 Accurately grasping market trends, sharing strategies in real-time, discreetly announcing points, want to witness everything in the chat room! Currently, there is still a contract password in hand! @Alpha金手指
Breaking! A mysterious giant whale has swept up 2.8 million ASTER, and the battle between bulls and bears behind the 12% surge is about to unfold!
Regarding the recent fluctuations of ASTER, I would like to share my observations based on the data. Last night, there was a single large purchase of over 2.8 million ASTER, pushing the daily increase close to 12%, with the total on-chain transaction volume rising to about $380 million. This token has long been a focal point for bulls and bears due to its public association with CZ: CZ himself once publicly held over 2 million ASTER, while there are active short-selling forces in the market counteracting this, resulting in price volatility significantly higher than that of typical assets. This purchase may represent a renewed effort from the bulls or could signify the start of a new round of competition.
From a fundamental perspective, ASTER is formed by the merger of Astherus and APX Finance, positioned as a multi-chain decentralized perpetual contract exchange, and has a fee buyback and burn mechanism. However, several risks need to be heeded:
1. Short positions may still exert pressure, and one should be cautious of selling pressure after a significant rise;
2. The total value locked (TVL) has been declining recently, with capital flowing out;
3. A batch of large token unlocks is expected in December this year, projected to account for about 15% of the market cap, posing potential selling pressure;
4. The competition in the decentralized perpetual contract space is fierce, with uncertainty about whether it can continue to capture traffic.
I believe ASTER is an event and speculation-driven asset, with its price heavily influenced by whale movements, market sentiment, and lockup releases. Ordinary investors participating should clarify that they are engaging in short-term capital speculation rather than long-term value growth. Especially around the unlock window in December, volatility may further amplify.
In conclusion, the movements of whales are worth tracking, but it is not advisable to chase after a single day of significant gains. If you have reservations about high volatility and uncertainty, it is recommended to remain on the sidelines. #币安区块链周 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 Accurately grasp the market, share strategies in real-time, secretly announce entry points, and witness everything in the chat room! Currently, there is still a contract password in hand! @Alpha金手指
Interest rate cut probability soars to 85%! Is Bitcoin about to hit 90,000 in countdown?
The dollar is quite weak, as economic data is average, along with the possible change of the Federal Reserve chair, the market feels that the probability of a rate cut in December has risen to 85%. This is good news for the cryptocurrency market.
Such a high expectation for a rate cut is equivalent to providing a bottom for the market, making a significant drop relatively difficult. However, just having this expectation is not enough; the price needs to perform well and break through key levels.
Bitcoin: The focus is on whether it can break through and stabilize above 90,000. The following level, 88,500-89,000 ** must not break.
Ethereum: The strength to watch is ** 3,050-3,100 ** in this area, only then can it be considered truly strong.
For those already holding, you can hold on and move your stop loss up a bit.
For those looking to open new positions, don’t rush to chase the high. It’s best to wait for the price to pull back to the support levels mentioned above, stabilize, and then consider it, and make sure to set a stop loss.
For those who haven't entered yet, consider buying some Bitcoin or Ethereum in batches.
Now everyone expects a rate cut, be careful when the news is officially announced, as the market might experience a short-term correction due to “good news already priced in.” Don’t just get excited about the news; ultimately, you still need to see if the price and trading volume are in sync. #币安区块链周 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 Accurately grasping the market situation, strategies shared in real-time, points disclosed secretly, if you want to witness everything, join the chatroom! Currently, there are still contract passwords in hand! @Alpha金手指
Breaking! He Yi officially promoted to co-CEO of Binance, these coins immediately skyrocketed, did you catch it?
He Yi becoming co-CEO of Binance directly ignited the market. Several coins are being crazily traded, and I will directly share my views.
SAPIEN's trading volume suddenly increased, and there are indeed funds moving. But I feel it's a bit late to chase in now; it's easy to buy at a high.
VOXEL is going to be delisted, if you still have some, it's advisable to handle it as soon as possible; don't wait until the last moment to try to escape.
BOB has a lot of short positions on it, and there may be violent fluctuations in the short term, but ordinary investors should avoid it; it's easy to get hit from both sides.
PIPPIN has increased tenfold in a few days, this is clearly speculation. I checked the data, and large holders may be offloading, so the risk is greater than the opportunity right now.
Coins like $客服小何 , $修仙 are purely being speculated because of news about He Yi's promotion. My opinion is very clear: coins without actual support may have a brief excitement but will likely cool down quickly, so don't take them seriously.
GAIX is leveraging promotional activities to pump, but the project itself is not transparent enough, so it's advisable not to invest heavily. As for meme coins like Evil Penguin, they are just for amusement within the circle, have poor liquidity, and their prices are easily manipulated, so just take a look.
The news about He Yi has indeed brought short-term hype, but many coins are purely capitalizing on the topic. My advice is, if you really want to participate, try it with a very small amount of funds, and definitely think in advance about how much you can lose and set strict stop-losses. Don't act impulsively just because you see prices rising; capital safety is always the most important. #币安区块链周 #ETH走势分析 Recently, I plan to position for a potential coin in the Alpha sector that is highly likely to make a strong surge, expecting a return of 7-10 times is not a problem. Friends who want to catch this big opportunity, feel free to share in the chatroom below.
The off-exchange price of USDT continues to decline, widening the gap with the official exchange rate! Will the next step be a collapse?
Recently, there has been a noticeable change in the market: the exchange price of USDT in the domestic market has dropped to around 7.0 RMB, while the bank's dollar exchange rate during the same period is about 7.12 yuan. There is a difference of nearly 0.12, which is quite significant recently.
This is directly related to the domestic policy trends. Last week, the central bank, along with multiple departments, reiterated that it will crack down on illegal operations and speculation involving cryptocurrencies. The strength and scope of this statement easily remind people of the round of rectification in the second half of 2021.
In my view, after the release of policy signals, market sentiment has been noticeably affected. Many people choose to reduce their holdings or wait and see, leading to a short-term decline in USDT demand, and the price has also seen a correction. If you are currently paying attention to or holding related assets, it is advisable to keep an eye on the specific implementation of subsequent policies, as short-term fluctuations may continue. #币安区块链周 #ETH巨鲸增持 Accurately grasping the market situation, sharing strategies in real-time, secretly announcing points, wanting to witness everything, gather in the chatroom! Currently still holding contract passwords!
The main force's conspiracy is completely exposed! The surge in ETH is false, while the reduction in volume to lure is true!
Regarding the recent rise of ETH, I believe we need to remain vigilant. The price-volume relationship shows that the current rise may not be stable, and there is a significant risk in chasing highs.
Although prices are rising, the trading volume has not expanded accordingly, indicating insufficient buying momentum, and the risk of chasing highs in the key resistance zone is high.
While ETH has shown a significant rebound, careful observation reveals that as prices climb to recent highs, trading volume has actually shown a shrinking trend. This divergence between price and volume usually means that the rise lacks sufficient financial support, and its sustainability is questionable.
The market is currently focused on two key areas: Near recent highs: If prices cannot break through this area with volume, any surge may be a trap for naive buyers. A stronger resistance zone above: This area has a large amount of previous trapped positions and is a key defensive position for bears, making it difficult to break through.
I believe that the current price rise may be the main funds creating optimistic sentiment above the key cost area to attract retail investors to follow, in order to distribute at higher prices. There exists a possibility of a rapid decline after a surge to clean out following positions.
The most likely scenario is that prices will be blocked in the current area or slightly higher, and then retreat to a recent support platform for consolidation. Only if there is a strong breakthrough with increased volume in the key resistance zone can we determine that the trend has truly strengthened.
In the current environment, it is advisable to avoid emotional chasing of prices. One should patiently wait for the market to provide clearer signals: either wait for a confirmation of the trend through a volume breakthrough, or wait for prices to fall back to the support area before reassessing entry opportunities.
#币安区块链周 #ETH巨鲸增持 Accurately grasp the market situation, strategies shared in real-time, points secretly announced, want to witness everything? Join the chat room! Currently, there are still contract passwords in hand! @Alpha金手指
After Bitcoin surged to 93,000, there are huge market divergences.
The short-term upward space is narrowing, and the risk of chasing high prices far outweighs the opportunities.
There is strong pressure on the upside, be cautious of a false breakout followed by a pullback. The key is to wait for the right moment to test the support level.
Based on the current market structure, several key positions need to be closely monitored: Core pressure above: 94,500 > 96,500. Especially around 94,500, which has been a key area of resistance multiple times recently, it is unlikely to break through in one go. Important support below: 91,500 > 90,000 > 88,000. If the price falls back, the 91,500-90,000 range is the primary support area to observe. The area around 88,000 is a more important phased support level.
There are indeed favorable news, such as some traditional financial institutions accessing Bitcoin ETF trading, which provides liquidity expectations and emotional support for the market. However, the market price has already reacted to these positives. When the price is at a key pressure point, positive news is often used to distribute chips rather than to initiate a new round of increases.
I believe BTC may attempt to rise again in the short term, testing the pressure area of 94,500-96,500, but the probability of a direct effective breakthrough is small. The greater possibility is that after being blocked near the pressure point, the price will pull back to the support area of 90,000-88,000 to digest the short-term overbought pressure and gather energy.
At this time, patience should be maintained, and avoid chasing high prices near the pressure point. A more prudent strategy is to wait for the price to pull back to near the 90,000 or even 88,000 support area, then observe the market's stabilization signals, looking for more favorable risk-reward entry opportunities.
Short-term trend: Facing key pressure, the upward space is limited, be cautious of a surge followed by a fall. Key positions: Core pressure 94,500; important support 90,000, strong support 88,000. Core strategy: Give up chasing high prices near the pressure point, patiently wait for opportunities to pull back to the support area. #币安区块链周 #美联储重启降息步伐 Accurately grasp the market, strategy shared in real-time, entry points secretly disclosed, want to witness everything in the chat room gathering! Currently holding contract passwords! @Alpha金手指
ETH's sharp rise this morning looks lively on the surface, but I need to pour a bucket of cold water on everyone—the short-term risk has increased sharply.
Core View: The short-term bullish space is limited, and we must beware of a rapid reversal. The rise may be a bait for bulls, and it is more likely to undergo a deep correction next.
Based on the current market structure updates, here are a few key levels you need to keep an eye on: Upper strong resistance area: 3250 > 3150**. These two levels are resistance zones that have been tested multiple times recently without effective breakthroughs, so avoid chasing after the price near here. Lower core support: 2950 > 2840 > 2750. If the price falls back, the 2950-2840 range may see a short-term rebound, but the strength is questionable. The real strong support in the current phase is near 2750; only when it reaches here does it have value for medium to long-term gradual positioning.
In terms of news, there are indeed reports of institutional movements, which provide market enthusiasm. But you must understand that the real actions of large funds are often carried out quietly, rather than after a significant price surge that attracts everyone's attention. When positive news overlaps with a technical situation that is already at a high level, we need to be more cautious about it becoming a turning point for "profit-taking."
I believe ETH may leverage sentiment to test the resistance area of 3150-3250 again in the short term. However, this is likely the last sprint for the bulls. Subsequently, the market will probably face a deep correction towards the 2840-2750 area, clearing out the shaky floating positions.
The more the market is in a frenzy, the more calm we need to be. The upcoming trend is very critical, and I will closely monitor the market reaction to these key points in the community and timely share my operational thoughts. If you don't want to face this complicated situation alone, feel free to join us, and we can develop a plan together to respond steadily.
Short-term trend: Approaching strong resistance, upward momentum may exhaust, bullish but do not chase.
Key levels: Resistance area 3150-3250; Support area 2950-2840, strong support 2750.
The focus near the resistance area is on risk prevention, with particular attention to stabilization opportunities after a pullback to the strong support area. #币安区块链周 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 Accurately grasping the market situation, strategies shared in real-time, points announced secretly, wish to witness everything in the chat room gathering! Currently, I still have contract passwords! @Alpha金手指
In addition to the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan is becoming a new focus for the market!
The Bank of Japan has recently shifted to a hawkish stance, and market expectations for a rate hike in December have quickly risen. According to the latest forecast data, the probability of a rate hike has risen to about 60%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate has fallen to around 38%.
I believe this change is worthy of significant attention. For a long time, Japan has been the last major economy to maintain ultra-low interest rates, with many international funds taking advantage of this for "arbitrage trading," borrowing low-interest yen and investing in higher-yielding assets, including cryptocurrencies. If the Bank of Japan starts raising interest rates, the cost of such funds will increase, potentially triggering a return of some funds from high-risk markets.
This may signify a turning point in the global liquidity environment. Market volatility may intensify, especially for interest-rate-sensitive or leveraged assets. I advise everyone to remain vigilant in the near term, manage their positions wisely, and closely monitor the subsequent movements of global macro policies.
What you see is just the ripples on the water's surface, while the deeper logic and key data that truly determine the direction are usually only discussed in depth with those who genuinely want to understand the bigger picture. If you don't want to be a passive sufferer of the market, you know where to look for more advanced signals. @Alpha金手指 #BinanceBlockchainWeek #加密市场回调
Is the plunge an opportunity? Three altcoins may be brewing a rebound!
The current market structure may be creating opportunities for some altcoins. The adjustment of Bitcoin helps to reduce overall leverage, or directs funds towards other fundamentally sound tokens. Here are my current views on three tokens:
1. XRP Ripple's payment network cooperation is still progressing, providing some fundamental support. The price has retraced from recent highs (around $1.2), and technical indicators show it is in the oversold region. If the U.S. implements clear cryptocurrency regulations, it could have a positive impact, but specific price increases should be viewed cautiously.
2. Solana (SOL) The Solana network still has advantages in speed and fees, and its ecosystem is relatively active. The current price is around $120, below its historical peak (about $260). If market sentiment improves and key resistance is broken, it may open up upward space, but the overall market environment should be monitored.
3. Pepe (PEPE) As a meme token, its price is mainly driven by market sentiment. The current price is significantly distant from its historical peak (around $0.000015), with extremely high volatility. A rebound may occur in the short term, but the risks are significant and should be approached with caution.
If market sentiment warms up, these tokens may rebound, but their driving factors differ: XRP and SOL rely more on actual progress and market acceptance, while PEPE is completely influenced by sentiment and topics. $XRP $SOL $PEPE #加密市场回调 #加密市场观察 Want to flip your position? Want to recover losses? 聊天室 gather, to help you position in the main upward wave of the bull market! @Alpha金手指
The market saw a significant decline today, and the direct reasons have become mostly clear.
This decline was not triggered by domestic cryptocurrency regulatory trends, as related expectations have already been digested by the market. It was also not due to rumors about the resignation of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, whose term remains stable, and the possibility of a sudden departure is extremely low.
The core catalyst lies in the Bank of Japan releasing a clear signal of a shift in monetary policy. Their statement indicates a possible adjustment of the ultra-loose stance that has lasted for years, turning towards interest rate hikes. This signal has led to severe fluctuations in the yen exchange rate, which has quickly transmitted to globally sensitive risk assets such as cryptocurrencies, highly correlated in timing.
This reveals a deeper market turning point: a major central bank that has long provided global liquidity is closing the "tap." This marks a fundamental change in the global easing monetary environment that has lasted for over a decade, constituting a long-term bearish signal that needs to be heeded.
In the short term, the market may speculate whether the U.S. and other major economies can indirectly influence Japan's policy pace, but this carries a high degree of uncertainty.
Regarding questions like "the next coin to skyrocket," I must reiterate that betting based on short-term news carries extremely high risks. In the face of a definite trend of tightening macro liquidity, short-term fluctuations of any asset are difficult to predict.
The current focus should be on reassessing the risk resistance of various assets in an environment of tightening liquidity and prioritizing the management of overall position risk, rather than seeking uncertain short-term speculative opportunities. #加密市场回调 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
Sudden major crash! A rumor has caused the cryptocurrency market to evaporate 400 million dollars!
According to the latest market situation, there was a significant fluctuation in the cryptocurrency market yesterday. This was mainly influenced by an unverified message regarding personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, leading to a short-term risk-averse sentiment in the market.
Specifically, Bitcoin's price temporarily dropped by about 5%, briefly falling below the 43,000 dollar mark. The derivatives market experienced even more severe fluctuations; according to incomplete statistics, the total liquidation amount across all contracts exceeded 400 million dollars within 24 hours, involving a large number of investors, among which the long positions were particularly affected.
This fluctuation once again highlights the cryptocurrency market's high sensitivity to macro news, especially rumors related to monetary policy. Although the source of the news has not been officially verified, the chain reaction it triggered is real, reflecting the current market sentiment's fragility and the high leverage risk of certain trading strategies.
From a longer-term perspective, many market analysts believe that as the regulatory framework gradually clarifies and institutional participation deepens, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market may tend to ease in the long term, and the market structure may become more mature.
For ordinary investors, this event offers a clear reminder: in an environment where the authenticity of information is difficult to discern, reactions to unverified news should be cautious. Controlling position leverage, setting reasonable stop-losses, and distinguishing between short-term noise and long-term trends are key to protecting capital during such fluctuations. The long-term development of the market will not change direction due to a single event, but short-term risks need to be fully recognized and managed. #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 The market has experienced a crash, and blood has flowed in the market; later I will prepare some strong coins suitable for bottom fishing as a recovery plan. Those who want to follow the strategy can join 聊天室.
Powell's resignation is false, but the market's panic is real!
Regarding the current market rumors about Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's resignation, my core judgment is: there is insufficient basis for this news, but it deeply reflects the market's anxiety about policy stability, and this sentiment itself has become a key factor influencing short-term trends. First of all, from a factual perspective, rumors claim that Powell will announce his resignation at an emergency meeting on Monday evening Eastern Time. This is in obvious contradiction to the public schedule. According to the Federal Reserve's official website, he is scheduled to attend a policy seminar that evening, not an emergency meeting. More importantly, Powell's legal term is clearly protected: his term as chairman lasts until 2026, and his term as a board member extends until 2028. He has also repeatedly committed to completing his term. Therefore, based solely on this sudden news, its credibility is very low.
Powell's sudden resignation raises doubts, is the Federal Reserve's "anchor" about to change?
Currently, the global market is facing two major risks that could lead to increased volatility.
First, the Bank of Japan has ended its long-term ultra-loose monetary policy and has started raising interest rates. This has led to a significant increase in yen interest rates, making the previously attractive arbitrage trades that borrowed low-cost yen for global investments less appealing. Funds are flowing back from overseas markets to Japan, a process that withdraws liquidity from the global financial system and puts pressure on risk assets such as stocks.
Second, there is uncertainty surrounding the leadership of the Federal Reserve. Ahead of a recent important policy speech, there was speculation in the market about the future tenure of Fed Chair Powell. This uncertainty itself can undermine market confidence in the coherence of monetary policy, prompting investors to adopt more conservative strategies.
I believe that these two issues together reflect a core problem: the monetary policy paths of the two major global economies have both entered a more unstable phase. One side is tightening, while the outlook for the other is uncertain due to personnel issues.
In this environment, investors should prioritize defense. It's advisable to review investment portfolios and reduce positions that rely on loose liquidity or are sensitive to interest rates. The market may overreact to any new information in the short term, so maintaining caution and a degree of cash flexibility is a pragmatic choice to cope with the current situation. #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 The market has experienced a sharp decline, blood is flowing in the streets, and I will soon prepare some strong coins suitable for bottom fishing as part of a recovery plan. Those who want to follow the strategy can join 聊天室.
After a loss of 600,000, I fought my way back into the crypto world with 800 dollars!
I once lost over 600,000 and hit rock bottom. But now, not only have I recovered all those losses, but my overall account has also turned profitable. My comeback was not due to luck or insider information, but rather a complete change in my trading habits and setting strict rules for myself.
After my losses, I was in a slump for a long time. Later, I decided to take my remaining 800 dollars in my account and give it one last serious try.
First, strictly control position sizes. I divided my investable capital into two parts: using no more than 50% of the funds for active trading, while the remaining portion serves as reserve funds, which I will not easily tap into. This ensures that I won’t be forced to exit during extreme market fluctuations.
Second, decisively execute stop-losses. For every trade, I set a clear stop-loss level before entering the market. Once it is reached, I close the position unconditionally without hesitation. I realized that trying to recover a small loss often leads to larger losses.
Third, follow market trends. I no longer stubbornly predict market tops or bottoms. When the market trend is clear, I choose to invest in strong assets; when signs of market weakness or panic appear, I consider counter-trading. The key is to respond, not to guess.
Fourth, cash in profits promptly. Whenever a trade yields substantial profits, I immediately transfer most of the profits (for example, over 60%) to more stable assets. I only leave a portion of the profits to continue participating in the market, which truly protects my gains.
It is precisely by relying on this dull but crucial set of principles that I started over with a few hundred dollars. This process is not thrilling, but every step is solid. I have seen too many investors repeatedly lose due to heavy positions, holding onto losing trades, or chasing popular coins. The real challenge in the crypto world is often not finding opportunities, but managing oneself and the risks.
There is no holy grail in this industry, but there are indeed disciplines that can improve survival odds. If you repeatedly experience losses, perhaps you should pause from looking for the next "100x coin" and instead reflect and establish trading rules that you will never violate. In this market, surviving longer is far more important than running fast in the short term. #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 Want to flip your capital? Want to recover losses? Join the chat room, and we'll help you position yourself for the main bull market wave!