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In summary, strategically one must overlook the market in trading operations, while tactically one must pay attention to the market. It is essential to remain clear-headed about the current market situation, as there are no permanent bulls or bears. Engage in short-term fluctuations, medium-term swings, and long-term trends. We are continually looking for repeatable profitable trading opportunities. It is crucial to clarify bullish and bearish signals in trading, decisively enter the market, and align with the first type of trend while being wary of the second trend. If wrong, be cautious of the third trend. Ride the waves and win at the right rhythm! The cryptocurrency market is a game for the wise and a paradise for the brave. Keep the right rhythm, operate in waves, prioritize safety, control risks, and you can earn steadily and profit continuously. #交易心理 #ETH走势分析 #交易训练 #大饼在高位震荡，风险是涨出来，山寨机会大，具有翻倍潜力，机会大对应的风险也会很大，做好仓位管理~ #

When it comes to trading, brothers must also see the card table clearly, understand the rules, and then — either play the hand they have well, or change to a different table. For ordinary people, dollar-cost averaging in gold and BTC is precisely the way to hold the chips of the "global situation" with the lowest threshold, achieving a key breakthrough point for a leap in destiny. Both are essentially scarce resources in the "super situation" of global capital games and the iteration of monetary systems, easily mobilizable cross-situation assets for ordinary people, and also a certificate for breaking through the shackles of smaller situations to connect with greater benefit distribution. The game of gold is a long-term chess match of global monetary credit and geopolitical games. As a universally recognized "hard currency" for a century, it is the core asset to hedge against currency over-issuance and geopolitical turmoil — global central banks are continuously increasing their holdings, and the proven reserves are only enough to be mined for 15 to 17 years, with scarcity far exceeding imagination, and its value does not depend on any single workplace or industry's smaller situation, able to maintain stability in value during economic cycle fluctuations. The game of BTC, on the other hand, is a brand new beginning in the era of the digital economy, with a supply limit of 21 million coins combined with a large number of permanently lost "ghost assets," making its scarcity far exceed market perception, becoming the hard currency of the digital age that global capital competes for, in line with the major trend of technological change. The core of dollar-cost averaging is to use disciplined operations that align with the "life cycle of the game." Gold is currently in the mid-game of the global monetary system's transformation, while BTC is still in the growth phase of digital assets; ordinary people do not need to time the market precisely, just need to make regular small investments to dilute costs and accumulate chips — this is precisely the lowest threshold way for ordinary people to "get on the global capital card table," without relying on connections or physical strength, but solely based on their judgment of the overall trend, enabling them to become participants in this super game rather than bystanders. #交易心理 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #美国宏观经济数据上链

In the 2-hour cycle, the overall ETH market is oscillating with a bullish bias. Below is a detailed analysis based on multiple factors:

Technical Pattern Analysis
ETH has formed a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern. This pattern is usually accompanied by a contraction in trading volume, and when the price breaks through the upper trendline, it often indicates that a reversal to the upside may occur. The current resistance level is at 3200 USDT. If the price can effectively break through this level, the falling wedge pattern will be confirmed, and the bullish signal will strengthen.

Price Fluctuation Situation
Recently, the ETH price has oscillated in the range of 3087 - 3200 USDT. On the evening of December 4, the price briefly fell below 3087 USDT, but subsequently did not effectively break this key support level, indicating that this support level has certain validity.

Operating Strategy
- Conservative Approach: It is recommended to wait and see, waiting for the price to break through 3200 USDT before entering the market. Because the price may still oscillate within the range before the falling wedge is broken, there is a risk of false breakouts. If the price successfully breaks through 3200 USDT, consider entering a long position, with a take-profit price set at 3300 USDT, which is the first target after the breakout; the stop-loss price is set at 3087 USDT, and if the price falls below this support level, exit to control risk.
- Aggressive Approach: You can buy with a small position, controlling the position to within 10%. As the current market situation has not fully confirmed an upward breakout, a small position can reduce risk. The take-profit price is set at 3250 USDT, and a reduction in position can be made near the resistance level; the stop-loss price is also set at 3087 USDT to prevent significant losses from a sharp price drop.

Risk Warning
- The macro sentiment transmission caused by the collapse of government bond demand may lead to increased market volatility, potentially impacting the ETH price with significant fluctuations.
- Before the falling wedge is broken, the price may still oscillate within the range, and caution should be exercised regarding false breakouts. If a false breakout occurs, the price may quickly revert, resulting in losses for investors.
- Market volatility may lead to slippage risk; it is recommended to use limit orders for trading to avoid the occurrence of forced liquidations.

Overall, although ETH shows a bullish trend within the 2-hour cycle, there is still uncertainty in the market. Investors need to choose suitable operating strategies based on their risk tolerance and investment goals. #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温

The following is a detailed analysis of the SEI daily line cycle market trends:

Market Judgment
The overall market judgment is a fluctuating trend with a slight bullish bias, indicating a short-term rebound trend, but there is still downward pressure in the medium term.

Operation Suggestions
- Conservative Operation: It is recommended to watch the market or operate with a light position (position ≤5%). Set the profit-taking price at 0.164 and the stop-loss price at 0.12. If the price falls below 0.12, it indicates that the short-term rebound has failed.

- Aggressive Operation: Light position operation is allowed (position ≤10%). The profit-taking price is also set at 0.164 and the stop-loss price at 0.115, tolerating slight price fluctuations while maintaining stricter risk control.

Risk Warning
1. Core Risk: The daily line is still in a medium-term downward trend, and the CMF indicator being negative indicates that there is no continuous capital inflow, and the price rebound may be short-lived.
2. Potential Risk: The Giga Upgrade planned for the fourth quarter of 2025 carries execution risks, such as possible delays or performance not meeting standards.
3. Long-term Risk: The Regulatory Advocacy in collaboration with the Solana Institute carries political uncertainties, and legislative delays may affect its ecological expansion.

Daily Line Cycle in Multi-Cycle View
The probability of a decline in the daily line cycle is 65%, mainly due to the weak momentum of the daily MACD and the negative CMF indicator, where the medium-term price still faces significant pressure.

In summary, although SEI shows signs of a short-term rebound in the daily line cycle, it faces many pressures and risks in the medium term. Investors need to operate cautiously and choose appropriate investment strategies based on their risk tolerance. #加密市场观察 #SEI #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #交易训练

In the next two hours, the ETH price is likely to continue the upward trend, with an upward probability of about 65%. From a technical perspective, the MACD green bars in the 1-hour cycle are shrinking, which is a signal of short-term upward volatility.

Factors supporting the upward trend on a macro level
- Upgrade benefits: The Fusaka upgrade for ETH will start in a few hours, and the upgrade includes raising the block gas limit to 60 million and paving the way for BPO fork parameter adjustments, expected to enhance value capture capabilities. The market has optimistic expectations for this upgrade, driving up the price.
- Price breakthrough: ETH has been continuously rising, having broken through $3,150, and the technical indicators show an upward trend, which is likely to continue in the short term.
- Market ecosystem: OKX has launched an ETH instant exchange service for NPR (no fees, real-time exchange rate), lowering the threshold for ETH use, attracting more users, and also supporting the price.

Short-term strategy layout plan
Conservative strategy
- Action: Consider appropriately increasing positions.
- Take profit price: Set at $3,300, which is near the previous high resistance level; the price may encounter some pressure upon reaching this position.
- Stop loss price: Set at $3,050, which is below the support level; if the price breaks below this level, it may indicate that the upward trend is compromised, and timely stop loss should be taken to control losses.

Aggressive strategy
- Action: Choose to buy.
- Take profit price: Set at $3,400 for higher returns, but also faces greater risks.
- Stop loss price: Also set at $3,050; once the price reaches this position, decisive stop loss is required.

Risk warning
- Upgrade underperformance: If the Fusaka upgrade fails to achieve the expected results, it may trigger a price pullback.
- Prediction uncertainty: KOL price predictions vary widely, and the actual trend may not match expectations.
- Information misleading risk: The information online is complex and may contain false or exaggerated situations that need careful verification.
- Market volatility: Cryptocurrency prices are affected by various factors including macroeconomic and geopolitical influences, and there may be severe fluctuations in the short term, even leading to flash crashes. #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 .#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

The operation plan for Ethereum over the next hour with Yi Ying Bao Ai's fully intelligent inquiry strategy is as follows:

From the current information available, the probability of ETH rising within the 1-hour cycle is 60%, driven by short-term upgrade sentiment and a rebound.

Supporting factors for the rise
- Fundamentals: ChainCatcher reported 4 hours ago that ETH has returned to $3000 driven by market optimism regarding the Fusaka upgrade. This upgrade is an important advancement for the Ethereum ecosystem and provides fundamental support for price increases.
- On-chain signals: 21 hours ago, a giant whale from the 2015 ICO awakened and staked 40000 ETH (about $120 million), reducing the circulating supply in the market and showing long-term holders' confidence in ETH.
- Institutional demand: 15 hours ago, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Ethereum futures trading volume surpassed that of Bitcoin for the first time, indicating increased attention and demand for ETH from institutions.
- Technical analysis: Three analysts have given upward expectations, such as Merlijn The Trader mentioning an RSI breakout with a target of $3400; MCO Global DE stating that support is effective with a target of $3165 - $3210; and Man of Bitcoin based on Fibonacci extension with a target of $3216.

Short-term strategy layout
- Conservative: Consider buying, the current latest price of ETH is 3076.7101938 USDT, with the take profit price set at 3210 USDT (near resistance, MCO target lower bound) and the stop loss price set at 2907 USDT (risk control level, support lower bound). When the price approaches the take profit price, consider taking profits; if the price falls below the stop loss price, stop loss should be executed promptly to avoid further losses.
- Aggressive: You can choose to increase your position, with the take profit price set at 3400 USDT (Merlijn's long-term target, RSI breakout expectation) and the stop loss price also at 2907 USDT. However, close attention should be paid to market dynamics, as pursuing higher returns also comes with greater risks.

Risk warnings
- Upgrade underperformance risk: If the Fusaka upgrade is delayed or its effects are below market expectations, ETH may fall below $3000.
- Market volatility risk: Macroeconomic policies (such as interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve) or fluctuations in other cryptocurrencies (such as BTC) will impact ETH prices.
- Support break risk: If the price falls below 2907 USDT, a short-term pullback will be triggered, and at that time, immediate reduction of position to below 50% is necessary.

Those who understand the situation don't draw lines in the wind,
Those who understand the situation first establish the layout in their hearts;
A line glimpses the opportunity, the way, the method, and the tool!
The quality of trading goes beyond just buying and selling!!

Today, the ETH market in the US has been quite volatile, today
Tests the short-term execution power of both long and short, otherwise, you'll get slapped in the face!#币安区块链周 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察