puppies, puppies, Ethereum Chain, Ca: 0xcf91b70017eabde82c9671e30e5502d312ea6eb2 puppies community 24-hour live room: @Mr. Jin Talks MEME (14:00-00:00) @PUPPlES Clover 68868 (00:00-14:00) @MrStar (around 03:00) International Community Click the golden text, then click the avatar (if the avatar moves, it's live) Welcome to join Musk's third dog, the puppies community Avatar change process: Click on my profile's top left corner avatar, long press to save the image Forward the live room tutorial: See the image below 👇👇👇
📈 The bull market horn has sounded! Bitcoin and Ethereum are surging, and the Federal Reserve is about to "open the floodgates"!
This morning, before the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting officially began, the market was rocked by a series of heavyweight news! The Director of the White House Economic Council and popular candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chairman, Hamit, sent out a bunch of "contradictory signals": on one hand, saying there might be another 25 basis points hike, while on the other hand shouting, "there is ample room for a significant rate cut of over 50 basis points"! Even more explosive is that he revealed that U.S. Treasury Secretary Basent actually doesn't want to take over as Federal Reserve Chairman, and Trump's only criterion for choosing candidates is: can they quickly cut interest rates!
Meanwhile, the "Queen of the Bull Market" Cathie Wood loudly declared: "The four-year cycle of Bitcoin may have been broken, and the bottom may have already passed!" She reiterated the long-term target: one Bitcoin at 1.5 million dollars! This is not a joke; the ARK Queen is fully bullish.
But what really made the market boil is still to come — according to internal plans disclosed, the Federal Reserve may start buying 45 billion dollars in assets every month from 2026, continuing for at least half a year! Of which 25 billion will be used to "release liquidity". A Vanguard executive further revealed: they may start buying short-term government bonds next year, opening the floodgates in advance!
Under the expectation of a liquidity tsunami, the cryptocurrency market trends have completely split. Bitcoin is stable around 92,000 dollars, with a market cap exceeding 3.25 trillion dollars; Ethereum is also soaring. However, Standard Chartered Bank doused cold water on the situation by cutting its year-end price target in half to 100,000 dollars, citing slowing ETF fund inflows and insufficient market momentum...
Right now, everyone's eyes are fixed on the next word from the Federal Reserve. A new round of liquidity release is about to start; will you choose to bottom fish or wait and see? Let's discuss your judgment in the comments below 👇 Welcome to the live room to chat with us.
📈 The bull market horn has sounded! Bitcoin and Ethereum are surging, and the Federal Reserve is about to "open the floodgates"!
This morning, before the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting officially began, the market was rocked by a series of heavyweight news! The Director of the White House Economic Council and popular candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chairman, Hamit, sent out a bunch of "contradictory signals": on one hand, saying there might be another 25 basis points hike, while on the other hand shouting, "there is ample room for a significant rate cut of over 50 basis points"! Even more explosive is that he revealed that U.S. Treasury Secretary Basent actually doesn't want to take over as Federal Reserve Chairman, and Trump's only criterion for choosing candidates is: can they quickly cut interest rates!
Meanwhile, the "Queen of the Bull Market" Cathie Wood loudly declared: "The four-year cycle of Bitcoin may have been broken, and the bottom may have already passed!" She reiterated the long-term target: one Bitcoin at 1.5 million dollars! This is not a joke; the ARK Queen is fully bullish.
But what really made the market boil is still to come — according to internal plans disclosed, the Federal Reserve may start buying 45 billion dollars in assets every month from 2026, continuing for at least half a year! Of which 25 billion will be used to "release liquidity". A Vanguard executive further revealed: they may start buying short-term government bonds next year, opening the floodgates in advance!
Under the expectation of a liquidity tsunami, the cryptocurrency market trends have completely split. Bitcoin is stable around 92,000 dollars, with a market cap exceeding 3.25 trillion dollars; Ethereum is also soaring. However, Standard Chartered Bank doused cold water on the situation by cutting its year-end price target in half to 100,000 dollars, citing slowing ETF fund inflows and insufficient market momentum...
Right now, everyone's eyes are fixed on the next word from the Federal Reserve. A new round of liquidity release is about to start; will you choose to bottom fish or wait and see? Let's discuss your judgment in the comments below 👇 Welcome to the live room to chat with us.
📈 The bull market horn has sounded! Bitcoin and Ethereum are surging, and the Federal Reserve is about to "open the floodgates"!
This morning, before the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting officially began, the market was rocked by a series of heavyweight news! The Director of the White House Economic Council and popular candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chairman, Hamit, sent out a bunch of "contradictory signals": on one hand, saying there might be another 25 basis points hike, while on the other hand shouting, "there is ample room for a significant rate cut of over 50 basis points"! Even more explosive is that he revealed that U.S. Treasury Secretary Basent actually doesn't want to take over as Federal Reserve Chairman, and Trump's only criterion for choosing candidates is: can they quickly cut interest rates!
Meanwhile, the "Queen of the Bull Market" Cathie Wood loudly declared: "The four-year cycle of Bitcoin may have been broken, and the bottom may have already passed!" She reiterated the long-term target: one Bitcoin at 1.5 million dollars! This is not a joke; the ARK Queen is fully bullish.
But what really made the market boil is still to come — according to internal plans disclosed, the Federal Reserve may start buying 45 billion dollars in assets every month from 2026, continuing for at least half a year! Of which 25 billion will be used to "release liquidity". A Vanguard executive further revealed: they may start buying short-term government bonds next year, opening the floodgates in advance!
Under the expectation of a liquidity tsunami, the cryptocurrency market trends have completely split. Bitcoin is stable around 92,000 dollars, with a market cap exceeding 3.25 trillion dollars; Ethereum is also soaring. However, Standard Chartered Bank doused cold water on the situation by cutting its year-end price target in half to 100,000 dollars, citing slowing ETF fund inflows and insufficient market momentum...
Right now, everyone's eyes are fixed on the next word from the Federal Reserve. A new round of liquidity release is about to start; will you choose to bottom fish or wait and see? Let's discuss your judgment in the comments below 👇 Welcome to the live room to chat with us.
📈 The bull market horn has sounded! Bitcoin and Ethereum are surging, and the Federal Reserve is about to "open the floodgates"!
This morning, before the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting officially began, the market was rocked by a series of heavyweight news! The Director of the White House Economic Council and popular candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chairman, Hamit, sent out a bunch of "contradictory signals": on one hand, saying there might be another 25 basis points hike, while on the other hand shouting, "there is ample room for a significant rate cut of over 50 basis points"! Even more explosive is that he revealed that U.S. Treasury Secretary Basent actually doesn't want to take over as Federal Reserve Chairman, and Trump's only criterion for choosing candidates is: can they quickly cut interest rates!
Meanwhile, the "Queen of the Bull Market" Cathie Wood loudly declared: "The four-year cycle of Bitcoin may have been broken, and the bottom may have already passed!" She reiterated the long-term target: one Bitcoin at 1.5 million dollars! This is not a joke; the ARK Queen is fully bullish.
But what really made the market boil is still to come — according to internal plans disclosed, the Federal Reserve may start buying 45 billion dollars in assets every month from 2026, continuing for at least half a year! Of which 25 billion will be used to "release liquidity". A Vanguard executive further revealed: they may start buying short-term government bonds next year, opening the floodgates in advance!
Under the expectation of a liquidity tsunami, the cryptocurrency market trends have completely split. Bitcoin is stable around 92,000 dollars, with a market cap exceeding 3.25 trillion dollars; Ethereum is also soaring. However, Standard Chartered Bank doused cold water on the situation by cutting its year-end price target in half to 100,000 dollars, citing slowing ETF fund inflows and insufficient market momentum...
Right now, everyone's eyes are fixed on the next word from the Federal Reserve. A new round of liquidity release is about to start; will you choose to bottom fish or wait and see? Let's discuss your judgment in the comments below 👇 Welcome to the live room to chat with us.
📈 The bull market horn has sounded! Bitcoin and Ethereum are surging, and the Federal Reserve is about to "open the floodgates"!
This morning, before the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting officially began, the market was rocked by a series of heavyweight news! The Director of the White House Economic Council and popular candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chairman, Hamit, sent out a bunch of "contradictory signals": on one hand, saying there might be another 25 basis points hike, while on the other hand shouting, "there is ample room for a significant rate cut of over 50 basis points"! Even more explosive is that he revealed that U.S. Treasury Secretary Basent actually doesn't want to take over as Federal Reserve Chairman, and Trump's only criterion for choosing candidates is: can they quickly cut interest rates!
Meanwhile, the "Queen of the Bull Market" Cathie Wood loudly declared: "The four-year cycle of Bitcoin may have been broken, and the bottom may have already passed!" She reiterated the long-term target: one Bitcoin at 1.5 million dollars! This is not a joke; the ARK Queen is fully bullish.
But what really made the market boil is still to come — according to internal plans disclosed, the Federal Reserve may start buying 45 billion dollars in assets every month from 2026, continuing for at least half a year! Of which 25 billion will be used to "release liquidity". A Vanguard executive further revealed: they may start buying short-term government bonds next year, opening the floodgates in advance!
Under the expectation of a liquidity tsunami, the cryptocurrency market trends have completely split. Bitcoin is stable around 92,000 dollars, with a market cap exceeding 3.25 trillion dollars; Ethereum is also soaring. However, Standard Chartered Bank doused cold water on the situation by cutting its year-end price target in half to 100,000 dollars, citing slowing ETF fund inflows and insufficient market momentum...
Right now, everyone's eyes are fixed on the next word from the Federal Reserve. A new round of liquidity release is about to start; will you choose to bottom fish or wait and see? Let's discuss your judgment in the comments below 👇 Welcome to the live room to chat with us.
📈 The bull market horn has sounded! Bitcoin and Ethereum are surging, and the Federal Reserve is about to "open the floodgates"!
This morning, before the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting officially began, the market was rocked by a series of heavyweight news! The Director of the White House Economic Council and popular candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chairman, Hamit, sent out a bunch of "contradictory signals": on one hand, saying there might be another 25 basis points hike, while on the other hand shouting, "there is ample room for a significant rate cut of over 50 basis points"! Even more explosive is that he revealed that U.S. Treasury Secretary Basent actually doesn't want to take over as Federal Reserve Chairman, and Trump's only criterion for choosing candidates is: can they quickly cut interest rates!
Meanwhile, the "Queen of the Bull Market" Cathie Wood loudly declared: "The four-year cycle of Bitcoin may have been broken, and the bottom may have already passed!" She reiterated the long-term target: one Bitcoin at 1.5 million dollars! This is not a joke; the ARK Queen is fully bullish.
But what really made the market boil is still to come — according to internal plans disclosed, the Federal Reserve may start buying 45 billion dollars in assets every month from 2026, continuing for at least half a year! Of which 25 billion will be used to "release liquidity". A Vanguard executive further revealed: they may start buying short-term government bonds next year, opening the floodgates in advance!
Under the expectation of a liquidity tsunami, the cryptocurrency market trends have completely split. Bitcoin is stable around 92,000 dollars, with a market cap exceeding 3.25 trillion dollars; Ethereum is also soaring. However, Standard Chartered Bank doused cold water on the situation by cutting its year-end price target in half to 100,000 dollars, citing slowing ETF fund inflows and insufficient market momentum...
Right now, everyone's eyes are fixed on the next word from the Federal Reserve. A new round of liquidity release is about to start; will you choose to bottom fish or wait and see? Let's discuss your judgment in the comments below 👇 Welcome to the live room to chat with us.
$BTC $ETH $BNB The bull market is here, let's take off! The Federal Reserve is holding a rate-cutting meeting! In 2026, the money printer will restart with a monthly liquidity injection of 40 billion, Bitcoin is surging!🔥
The FOMC meeting just started, but a bigger drama has already hit us!
The Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting will kick off at 9 am on Tuesday, but everyone's attention has already been captivated by another series of explosive news—the White House Economic Council Director and a top candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chairman, Hassett, has thrown out a bunch of “split personality” signals: on one hand saying, “The Federal Reserve might raise rates by another 25 basis points,” but then turning around and shouting, “There is plenty of room to significantly cut rates by more than 50 basis points!” And that's not all; he also revealed juicy information: U.S. Treasury Secretary Bascent is the preferred candidate for Federal Reserve Chairman, but he doesn't want the job! Hassett emphasized that Trump chooses candidates based on one criterion: whether they dare to cut rates quickly. And he himself declared, “I only look at the data and make independent judgments!”
Is the four-year cycle for Bitcoin dead? ARK's queen Cathie Wood exclaims: The bottom has passed, and the bull market is exploding!
Just as the market was dizzy from the Federal Reserve's antics, the “Queen of the Bull Market” Cathie Wood came out to spark a fire: “The four-year cycle for Bitcoin might have been broken, and we may have already seen the lowest point in this round!” She raised her flag again, with a long-term target of $1.5 million—this is no joke.
But the real bombshell is hidden behind: the Federal Reserve's “money printer” is set to restart in 2026!
According to leaked plans, starting in 2026, the Federal Reserve may buy $45 billion in assets every month for at least six months! Of that, $20 billion will be used to cope with natural growth, and $25 billion will be used to refill reserves. The market has long been restless—Vanguard executives revealed that the Federal Reserve might start buying short-term government bonds next year, opening the floodgates ahead of time!
Under expectations of a liquidity tsunami, the crypto market is completely divided!
Funds are rushing back to Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Bitcoin stabilizing around $92,000, and the total market capitalization skyrocketing to $3.25 trillion.
· Cathie Wood: Bitcoin will soar to $1.5 million! · Standard Chartered Bank: Got scared! Directly cut the year-end target price in half to $100,000, reason? Slowing ETF inflows, corporate buying frenzy cooling down, the momentum for the bull market is gone.
Now, everyone is holding their breath waiting for the Federal Reserve's next statement. #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析
【 Bai Tianhui received bribes exceeding 1.1 billion and has been executed 】 #白天辉被执行死刑 Approved by the Supreme People's Court, this morning, the Tianjin Second Intermediate People's Court lawfully executed the death penalty on the criminal Bai Tianhui. The Supreme People's Court reviewed and confirmed: From 2014 to 2018, the defendant Bai Tianhui used his position to gain benefits for relevant units in project acquisitions and corporate financing, illegally accepting property totaling more than 1.1 billion yuan. The Supreme People's Court believes that the actions of the defendant Bai Tianhui constitute the crime of bribery. The amount of bribery by Bai Tianhui is particularly large, the criminal circumstances are particularly serious, the social impact is particularly severe, and it has caused particularly significant losses to the state and the people's interests, making the crime extremely serious, and should be severely punished according to the law, the outcome is a great relief to the people $FHE $POWER $LUNA2
Multiple favorable conditions, looking forward to a super bull market!
PUPPlES 四叶草68868
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$ETH $BTC $ASTER Money is like a dam that has been opened, this time it really can't be stopped! 来聊天 怎么看?
UBS directly dropped a bomb: starting from early 2026, the Federal Reserve is ready to unleash $6.9 trillion, calculating to a maximum of $40 billion pouring into the market each month. This is not just easing, it's simply a tsunami.
Big institutions have already started to make their voices heard. Look at Tom Lee from Fundstrat, he predicts the S&P 500 could soar to 6,000 points, Bitcoin might hit $200,000 by the end of the year, and Ethereum is also aiming for $7,000. This is no longer optimism; it's a scent of money.
What does it feel like now? It's like you're standing on a platform, watching a train full of gold slowly start to move. Do you remember Michael Saylor's famous quote? He said by the time your bank manager finally recommends you buy Bitcoin, the price will have long surpassed $80,000.
Musk's little 🌸dog🌸 PUPPI ES🔥 layout
Liquidity tsunami + big shots calling shots, the script has already been written. The market never waits for you to be ready before it moves. The only question now is: are you going to watch the train leave, or are you going to jump on board quickly? #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析 #
🌕 Dogecoin believers gather! Whales are positioning + Countdown to the moon = Epic takeoff?
$DOGE 0.13 bottom has been minted! Holding DOGE and reluctant to sell? We have reasons to hold strong! 🐶pu-pp-ies 🐶直播間聊聊❤️ 歡迎加入金先生聊meme,pu-pp-ies聊天室❤️
If you, like me, are tightly holding onto your DOGE and reluctant to sell, then congratulations! Smart money is fighting alongside us! On-chain data reveals that whales have been crazily scooping up 550 million DOGE around $0.13. This is not just a technical rebound, but also a manifestation of long-term confidence. They are preparing for the next wave of market movements.
As long as Old Te is in power, he needs data to support his approval ratings and is optimistic about the future.
小奶狗喂奶
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🔥【马斯克小🌸奶🌸狗 p u p p i e s 🔥 Warning! December rate cuts may be a 'hawkish trap'】 $ETH $LUNA $LUNC
Don't just focus on the 25BP rate cut; the real risk may lie ahead. Many institutions on Wall Street have already warned: this rate cut appears dovish, but it could actually be the 'beginning of tightening'.
Here are the key points👇
1️⃣ One-time rate cut risk: If inflation doesn't come down and economic data remains strong, the Federal Reserve may only cut once and then not act again for a year and a half—markets might have preemptively celebrated, leaving them to tough it out afterwards.
2️⃣ Surge in policy uncertainty: Powell's position is unstable, and the stance of the new chair is unknown. The pace of policy changes may experience gaps, with markets navigating in the dark again.
3️⃣ Internal opinions divided: The dot plot is likely to show huge differences, indicating that future paths are even less clear. A rate cut no longer represents easing, but rather 'uncertainty in direction'.
📉 The pressure on the market is twofold: Strong economy → Inflation rebound → Rate cut pause Weak economy → Concerns of recession → Flight to safety
Summary: The benefits of a rate cut have already been priced in; the real test is the 'true intent of policy' after the rate cut. This week is not a celebration, but rather a shift into a tougher market mode. Proceed with caution. #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
【Heavyweight】Will the Federal Reserve's "money printer" restart in 2026? The monthly $45 billion expansion plan is revealed, and the big liquidity bull market is coming!
As the world closely watches the Federal Reserve's December interest rate meeting, a bigger card seems to have been placed on the table - starting in 2026, the Federal Reserve may launch a monthly $45 billion expansion plan, lasting at least six months. Bank of America strategists predict that $20 billion will be used for natural growth, and $25 billion will be used to replenish consumed reserves.
The market has already started to stir. A Vanguard executive revealed that the Federal Reserve may begin purchasing short-term government bonds next year to meet the growing demand for reserves in the economy. The shift in liquidity expectations is causing the crypto market to enter a new round of games.
Funds are accelerating back into Bitcoin and Ethereum, even though the overall market is in a "turbulent wait" mode. Bitcoin remains steady around $92,000, with a total market value of about $3.25 trillion. Although there was a flash crash last week, the selling pressure was quickly absorbed, demonstrating market resilience.
However, institutions have shown significant differences in their outlook for the future:
· "Queen of the Bull Market" Cathie Wood still holds high, reaffirming Bitcoin's long-term astonishing target of $1.5 million. · Standard Chartered Bank, on the other hand, has turned cautious, cutting its year-end target price in half to $100,000, believing that ETF inflows are slowing and corporate buying trends are retreating, reducing the momentum of the bull market.
At present, traders are holding their breath waiting for clearer signals from the Federal Reserve. The basis between futures and spot prices has narrowed, volatility remains high, and the market swings between delta neutrality and arbitrage strategies, with turbulence still being the main theme, but changes may be on the way. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储FOMC会议
The money gate has opened, and this time it really is going to be a "flood of cash"! 💸
UBS has just thrown out a shocking prediction: starting in early 2026, the Federal Reserve may "inject" up to $6.9 trillion into the market, which works out to nearly $40 billion a month. This is not a drizzle; this is a liquidity tsunami!
The earthquake in Japan has led to the depreciation of the yen, and what was originally expected to be an interest rate hike is now being postponed 🤭
Major institutions are already speaking out. Fundstrat's Tom Lee directly predicts: the S&P 500 will hit 6000 points, Bitcoin will surge to $200,000 by the end of the year, and Ethereum is also aiming for $7,000. This is no longer a prediction; it's the scent of real money.
It's like a train loaded with gold is slowly starting up, and the opportunity window is opening. Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy has long warned: by the time bank managers recommend you buy Bitcoin, the price will already be well beyond $80,000.
📈 Liquidity wave + institutional calls, the market script seems to have been written. The market waits for no one; when the trend starts, what you should do is not to stand by, but to think: will you watch the train leave, or will you decisively get on board? Ambush point: Musk's little 🐶 coin p u p p i e s [silly smile]
What do you think of this upcoming "liquidity market"? Do you really think Bitcoin can hit $200,000? Let's discuss your views in the comments! #日本地震 #美联储降息周期 $BTC $ETH
Little days of earthquake caused the yen to collapse, originally scheduled for an interest rate hike on the 19th, now it has to be pushed back, let's chat in the live broadcast room #BitDigital转型 #日本地震 #美联储何时降息? $BTC $ETH
$BTC $ETH $ZEC Japan's 7.6 magnitude earthquake 'scares' the yen to raise interest rates! Global markets are on high alert, and the Federal Reserve may issue 'hawkish rate cuts.' A rate cut of 87% is already a foregone conclusion, but how Federal Reserve Chairman Powell 'speaks' will be key.
This week, the global market welcomes the central bank's 'super week,' with the Federal Reserve's policy meeting undoubtedly being the top priority. Although a 25 basis point rate cut is almost certain, investors are concerned that this rate cut may come with hawkish signals, evolving into a 'hawkish rate cut.' The market is holding its breath, and volatility has quietly begun.
U.S. stock and bond markets move synchronously: Caution spreads
On Monday, U.S. stocks experienced a full pullback: the Dow fell 0.33%, the S&P 500 fell 0.30%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.17%. Interest rate-sensitive sectors are particularly affected, as funds choose to withdraw ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision.
Rate cut ≠ dovish! Beware of the Federal Reserve's 'face change'
The market has priced in a 87.4% probability of a rate cut, but the key lies in the subsequent guidance. Will the policy statement emphasize inflation concerns? Will the latest dot plot raise interest rate expectations? Will Powell's press conference downplay the possibility of further rate cuts? These will determine the market direction.
Some analysts warn that the current economy resembles 'stagflation,' and there may be rare divisions within the Federal Reserve. If multiple dissenting votes appear, market volatility is bound to intensify.
The yen suffers a heavy blow: The strong earthquake may force the Bank of Japan to delay rate hikes
Japan was hit by a sudden 7.6 magnitude earthquake, which not only triggered tsunami warnings but also shook the foreign exchange market. The dollar rose against the yen to 155.97. If the disaster leads to increased losses, the Bank of Japan's planned rate hike next week is likely to be postponed, with policy focus shifting towards post-disaster support.
Global central banks collectively deliberate: Most remain on hold
In addition to the Federal Reserve, this week, central banks in Australia, Brazil, Switzerland, Canada, and others will also hold meetings. They are generally expected to keep interest rates unchanged, highlighting the caution among central banks amid global economic uncertainty.
Market winds from all directions: Geopolitics, oil prices, and European trends · European stock markets fell slightly, and the euro came under pressure. ECB officials even hinted that 'the next step may be a rate hike.'
Summary: The real storm comes after the decision
A rate cut is a foregone conclusion, but how the Federal Reserve 'speaks' will be key. Coupled with the Japanese earthquake disaster, global central bank decisions, and geopolitical situations, the market is in a highly sensitive period. Any unexpected signals could trigger a new round of volatility.
Strongly support Federal Reserve Governor Milan, directly lowering interest rates by 50 basis points 💪💪💪
金先生聊MEME
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Bullish
The Federal Reserve makes a late-night announcement: Continue to lower interest rates! Market expectations soar, Wall Street urgently revises its prediction to a 90% chance of rate cuts, major institutions are buying spot!
As the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting countdown begins, Kevin Hassett, a leading candidate for the next chair, suddenly speaks out, clearly supporting "continuing to lower interest rates." Market expectations instantly skyrocket, and Wall Street's major banks are working overnight to "tear up reports" and revise forecasts—this week's Federal Reserve interest rate cut has almost become a foregone conclusion.
Hassett also hinted that Trump will soon announce "a lot of good news" and pointed out that fluctuations in the U.S. bond market may be related to policy uncertainty, and that the ten-year Treasury yield "still has a lot of room to decline."
Market expectation: Probability of rate cuts approaches 90% According to CME's latest "Federal Reserve Watch" data, the market bets that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week has surged to 89.6%, with the probability of keeping rates unchanged now only at 10.4%. In addition, the probability of cumulative rate cuts of at least 25 basis points by January next year is as high as 92.2%.
Wall Street makes a swift turn: collectively "tearing up reports" Several top investment banks urgently adjusted their forecasts on the eve of the meeting, unanimously shifting to support rate cuts:
· JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley: changed from "pausing rate cuts" to expecting a 25 basis point rate cut this week. · Nomura Securities: second revision of forecast, reconfirming a rate cut this week, and expecting further cuts in June and September next year. · Standard Chartered Bank: also shifted from "holding steady" to joining the rate cut forecast camp.
Why the sudden shift? Weak U.S. economic data in November is a key driver—private sector job losses decreased by 32,000, marking the largest drop since March this year, far below market expectations. Analysts point out that the worsening pressure in the job market forces the Federal Reserve to act again.
Focus is not just on rate cuts Although rate cuts seem inevitable, investors are more concerned about two major signals: Internal divisions: Four "hawkish" officials are expected to oppose rate cuts, while Governor Milan may support a more aggressive 50 basis point cut.
Goldman Sachs believes that the Federal Reserve may first pause next year and then continue to cut rates in March and June, ultimately lowering the rate to the 3%—3.25% range.
Summary: Rate cuts are imminent, and the market is already positioned. The real suspense lies in the internal battles of the Federal Reserve and tomorrow's policy guidance. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
New opportunities in the interest rate cut frenzy, understanding these two main lines
This week's biggest focus in the market is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut meeting on December 10. Although the rate cut is highly likely (with market predictions exceeding 80%), we must remain calm amidst the frenzy—be wary of the pullback after the "curtain falls." The current trend has already anticipated the expectations, and the real opportunities lie in another quieter main line.
1. Interest rate cut frenzy, hidden game Expectations for rate cuts are high, but the market shows signs of fatigue. The S&P 500 is approaching the strong resistance level of 6900 points; once the news is confirmed, there may be a profit-taking scenario after the "good news is fully priced in." What's more concerning is that even though the market generally expects a rate cut, long-term U.S. Treasury yields are rising instead of falling, suggesting some underlying worries.
Operation requires vigilance:
· If the S&P cannot stabilize at 6880-6900, pay attention to the 6700 support. · If the rate cut occurs, funds may flow from large tech stocks to small-cap or value stocks. · Prepare a response plan in advance, and do not let emotions sway you during fluctuations.
2. Stablecoins are rewriting the U.S. Treasury game Another main line worth noting: stablecoins are quietly becoming the "new appetite" for U.S. Treasuries.
· The tokenized U.S. Treasury scale has surpassed $7.4 billion, growing rapidly, with giants like BlackRock and Fidelity already entering the market. · The U.S. "GENIUS Act" opens the door for compliant stablecoins, requiring 1:1 reserves of high-quality assets and clarifying their non-securities nature. · Stablecoin issuers are becoming important buyers of U.S. Treasuries, creating new demand for U.S. Treasuries and even regarded as a new tool for dollar expansion.
However, there are also hidden concerns behind the opportunities:
· The Bank for International Settlements has warned that if funds flow out on a large scale, the impact on U.S. Treasuries may be stronger. · Choosing transparent and compliant issuers is crucial; be wary of "decoupling" and systemic risks.
In summary, the market is currently unfolding around the game of interest rate cuts and the explosion of stablecoins along two main lines. The realization of rate cuts may mark the beginning of short-term adjustments, while the combination of stablecoin compliance and U.S. Treasuries may represent a longer-term trend and opportunity. Stay clear-headed and make proper arrangements to maintain rhythm amid changes. Ambush point in the primary market, Musk's little puppies, have a chance to enjoy a ten-thousandfold life.