凌芸的日常

Online unwinding, layout for medium to long-term, short-term band guidance, a directionless chat room is here~~ Online waiting $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调 #美联储降息预期

周二思路
午夜凌晨大饼哆头强势反弹，从低位89560一线开始拉升，目前在90800附近位置波动。昨日一哆两箜全部完美抵达，KDJ指标从超卖区回升后处于中性区间，尚未进入超买，有继续向上修复的可能，但J线拐头迹象不明显，上行动能有限。MACD柱状体为绿柱且数值为负，说明短期空头力量仍占小幅优势，但绿柱未持续放大，空头动能在逐步减弱。
短期若能站稳布林带中轨，大概率向91500-92000区间反弹；若失守90000支撑，则可能下探89000附近.

大饼91200-91800附近空.下看89000-88500

On Friday, gold rebounded to 4259 before plunging directly, quickly falling back by 60 dollars, at one point breaking through the 4200 level, reaching a low below 4190. This kind of trend caught everyone off guard, and the four-hour chart maintained a cloud cover rhythm, with a large bearish candlestick completely covering the bullish candlestick. The candlestick started to gain momentum from above the 50 moving average, directly breaking through support!
Of course, the candlestick rebound is still under pressure, the previously mentioned 4220 level is the dividing line between bulls and bears, and this point remains unchanged. Clearly, the current gold price is below this resistance, meaning support has turned into resistance, which is a clear sign of pressure. The upper resistance remains strong, and we need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this Thursday. The market is highly likely to cut rates, and before the rate cut, the focus remains on short positions, unless the gold price stabilizes around 4250, otherwise, the theme for the new week will be on short positions.

Gold: Short around 4220-4225, looking down to 4190-4170

Hong Kong Late Night Raid: Unlicensed USDT, retail investors can no longer touch it!
The mainland strikes back: Classifying stablecoins as 'illegal financial activities', criminal responsibility has begun!
When Bitcoin is precariously close to 80,000, the entire network wails 'the end of the bull market' — but the data quietly performs a stunning reversal!
Funds are secretly moving! Just when everyone is staring at U's trembling price, ETH suddenly surges violently, and Bitcoin's holding data changes overnight — smart money is frantically fleeing stablecoins, rushing towards core assets!
This is not a panic sell-off, but a silent reallocation action.
The knockout stage has begun, but it is not the bull market that is eliminated...
The regulatory iron fist shatters not the market, but the speculator's luck.
When gray funds are cleared, and compliance thresholds are raised — this is precisely the last cheap chip period before mainstream whales enter the market.
Don't ask 'Is the bull still there'...
Ask yourself: When others are redeeming U, do you dare to catch the bloody chips?
History keeps repeating itself: after every regulatory storm, those who survive are those who remain greedy in panic.
In this wave of decline, do you see risk, or a golden pit that occurs once every three years? I want to say the market is still not that bleak!

Midnight Thoughts
As mentioned last week, the market has basically formed a bottom range oscillation, and the trend is moving up from a low position. Ultimately, it has established a rising trend. I also mentioned what short positions would be appropriate, and that target was achieved as expected. The movement on Sunday night just confirmed last week's analysis. Currently, the market support is starting to rebound at the 87500 level, so watch for support around the 87000 level below. If it holds, just wait patiently for the rising trend to form, and do not chase shorts at low levels! Just wait for long positions! I have emphasized multiple times that ETF spot trading and capital entry mean that there are no longer such terms as 'shanzhai quality coins'; the mainstream coins can only be BTC, while ETH, SOL, and BNB should be viewed as shanzhai quality coins! Therefore, for the upcoming week, I am optimistic about long positions at low levels! The overall direction!

For BTC, buy around the 87900-88500 range, targeting 92300-95000.
For ETH, buy around the 2950-3030 range, targeting 3180-3250-3300$BTC $ETH .

Saturday Big Cake and Second Cake Simple Thoughts
The script given for the Big Cake and Second Cake yesterday was also quite rewarding. So, the weekend market remains in a fluctuating consolidation phase, and short-term speculation is the way to go. Last night continued the trend of the market, moving down to the low point of 88000. Currently, it is fluctuating around 89300, so the strategy is still to sell high and buy low! The upper pressure is around 90000, and the lower support is around 88000. After breaking the level in the early morning, there was no continuation, but risks need to be avoided, so the strategy is mainly to sell high and buy low as a supplement!

For the Big Cake, sell near 90000-89500 and look for a decline to 88000-87500.

For the Second Cake, sell near 3080-3050 and look for a decline to 3000-2930$BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析

Intra-day stated that after rebounding to the position, I would short the Jujube. The big pie and the second pie also went down as expected. The given positions and directions are all correct, and the space is quite good. Long-term attention should see this. The ideas and strategies are all scripted in advance, with no hindsight commentary!

Friday Afternoon Thoughts
Bitcoin's early morning market reached 93200, with a decline in momentum touching around 90900, then rebounding to around 92700. The morning maintains a range of 92000-92700 fluctuations. The daily K line currently shows a bearish momentum, with pressure from above causing a pullback. Watch for support around 90000 and resistance around 95500. The 4-hour chart shows bearish momentum touching the middle track. The hourly line shows a wedge-shaped pullback. There is pressure above, and the rebound strength has weakened slightly, indicating that after the rebound there will be adjustments ahead!

Bitcoin's rebound is around 92600-93100, looking down to around 91500-91000.

Ethereum is around 3230-3195, looking down to around 3100-3060. $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析

In the last two days, both bulls and bears have been controlling the direction and managing risks.

Late night thoughts
Bitcoin rebounded to around 93000 after dropping directly from 93600 to around 91800, maintaining an overall range-bound trend with a slight downward shift in moving averages. The daily increment shows a doji star structure, with the four-hour chart showing reduced volume and an upward trend. The hourly structure shows a rebound with reduced volume. Some pullback is within the normal range, with the overall trend upward and strong support below, while the midnight remains predominantly low.

Bitcoin is around 91300-91800, looking up to 93500-94500
Ethereum is around 3080-3120, looking up to 3250-3300

Trends follow the trend, the script is fulfilled, the positions given and the directions are so clear! If you can't keep up, that's your own problem! The overall direction remains a precise strike! Step by step without effort! Luodai is quite good $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调

The midday strategy on Monday continues to favor short positions.
The script provided in the morning indicated a rise near 91300 before dropping back to around 86300. The weekend's daily chart shifted from bullish to bearish, closing with a bearish candle. Currently, the daily chart shows a reduction in volume with a long bearish candle. Attention should be paid to the area around 81000, while the 4-hour structure still has some strength. The hourly level is showing a slowdown in the rise, and the bearish sentiment is clear; do not blindly catch the falling knife! Manage risks, and maintain a bullish strategy during the day.

For Bitcoin, it can be traded in the range of 86800-87500, with a downward target of 85000-81000.

For Ethereum, trade in the range of 2840-2865, with a downward target of 2750-2670. #比特币预测 $BTC $ETH

Monday Morning Thoughts
Bitcoin's price rose to around 92000 in the early hours before facing pressure and falling to around 90600. Overall, the market shows wide-ranging fluctuations, with the daily line indicating a shift from bullish to bearish above the increased volume. The 4-hour timeframe shows a decrease in volume, prompting adjustments in strategy to focus on the short side, selling at highs.

Bitcoin can be shorted again around 90900-91500, with a target down to around 89000-88500.

Ethereum can be shorted around 3060-3030, with a target down to around 2955-2900. #CryptoCircle##Bitcoin btc#加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

Bitcoin (BTC): The daily chart forms a 'Doji', hitting the middle line of the daily chart; 93,000 is holding firm, the previously mentioned resistance levels of 90,000-92,000 and 93,000 have all been reached, and now a pullback is expected, not a reversal.
Ethereum (ETH): Exactly the same as Bitcoin, the daily chart hit the upper limit and then fell, just reaching the 3,000-3,200 resistance area we have been talking about, so it's time for a pullback. Don't chase buys on the short term, it has already bounced to the resistance level!
If you want to short, you can consider entering between 92,000 and 93,000 for Bitcoin and around 3,100 for Ethereum; this is based on technical resistance and liquidation charts, as well as big data, not just random guessing.
Currently, there are no signals of a reversal in the daily or weekly charts; the bulls have no support.

Bitcoin may fall to 80,000 again to find the bottom (this depends on how it moves next).
Ethereum may need to reach 2,600 again (this also needs time to verify).
To determine if it's a true bottom, we need at least 2-3 weeks.
Sister Yun also started suggesting to go long from 81,000 for Bitcoin, which has a space of around 12,000 points! Ethereum started around 2,700, which also has a space of about 400 points! Currently, the resistance above Bitcoin is around 93,000, and the support below is around 80,000! #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

Happy weekend! Last night, Bitcoin surged to 93000 before quickly falling back to around 90100. The market on Saturday shouldn't be very big, and it's likely to oscillate in a range, focusing on key levels of 90400, 91800, 92500, and 93000. A high short and low long strategy is recommended!
It is expected that next week there will be a larger directional move, with 3000-5000 point swing traders able to sustain their positions. I will lay out my strategy in advance next week, so those who want to join in should keep up 🥩.
The weekend strategy is to sell high and buy low!
Bitcoin can be bought around 90100-90500, looking down to 91500-92800.
Bitcoin can be shorted around 91800-92500, looking down to 90000-90500.

For the second coin, buy around 2950-3000, aiming for 3050-3090.

For the second coin, short around 3090-3060, looking down to 2950-2900$ETH $ETH #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 .

No need to say much, the script can be checked, position, direction: accurate
Wo started talking from 80,000 about the big pancake, cherish the low position of the big pancake!
The second pancake also provided the script simultaneously! Time will explain everything!

Friday Thoughts
In the early morning, the market synchronized with a rise and fall, with Bitcoin reaching a high of 91843 before fluctuating downwards, retreating to around 91114 for consolidation; the altcoin also peaked at 3044 before being pressured and falling, fluctuating around the 3003 level. The long position strategy set for the evening accurately matched the market rhythm, and currently, the market is in a stage of fluctuation and consolidation. Only by enduring the passage of time can one retain the confidence for a significant market movement!
From a technical analysis perspective, the four-hour level shows a two-black-covering-white pattern, with the price steadily rising along the moving average, and the volume displaying a typical accumulation trend. The MACD indicator continues to rise after a golden cross below the zero axis, highlighting a strong bullish pattern; the one-hour cycle has entered a correction phase, with the price touching previous highs and then retreating under pressure. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the RSI indicator is neutrally fluctuating in the 50-60 range. This price divergence consolidation pattern is essentially a power accumulation phase before the continuation of the trend.

Bitcoin correction at around 89500-90500, looking up at 92500-93000
Altcoin correction at around 2950-2985, looking up at 3100-3200-3300

1. What is contract trading?

In one sentence:
You don't need to actually hold the coins; as long as you correctly predict the direction, you can make money; if you're wrong, you'll lose.
• You think it will rise → Go long
• You think it will fall → Go short
The core is to capitalize on price fluctuations, not to hold assets.

2. The two common types of contracts

1. Perpetual contract
No expiration date, can be held indefinitely.
Prices are anchored to spot through the "funding rate" with long and short positions paying each other.

2. Delivery contract
Has a fixed expiration date and settles at the spot price upon expiration (or physical delivery).
Common types include current season and next season contracts.

3. The most important basic concepts

1. Number of contracts
The minimum trading unit of the contract. Each contract has a different value depending on the currency pair.

2. Leverage
Amplifies profits but also amplifies losses.
10x leverage means: if you drop 10%, you might get liquidated immediately.

3. Opening a position
• Buy to go long: bullish
• Sell to go short: bearish

4. Closing a position
Ends the trade to lock in profits or losses, can be at market price or limit price.

5. Forced liquidation
If the margin is insufficient, the system will automatically liquidate your position to prevent account depletion.

4. Risk control is the lifeline for beginners

1. Control leverage within 5 times
The higher the leverage, the faster the loss.
10 times will get liquidated with a 10% drop, while 5 times requires a 20% drop to get liquidated.

2. Single trade stop-loss not exceeding 3% of the principal
For example, if your principal is 100,000, the maximum loss per trade is 3,000.
If you make three consecutive mistakes, you still have 91% of your principal to continue.

3. Try to trade mainstream coins (BTC/ETH)
Manipulation costs are high, more stable with fewer spikes.
Small coins may seem exciting, but they can be deadly.

4. Try to trade during the day (9:00-18:00)
Around 3 AM is a concentrated area for liquidations, with illogical fluctuations; beginners should avoid this.

Final heartfelt words

Contracts can indeed make quick money, but whether you can make money in the long term depends not on luck, but on:
Direction + Discipline + Risk Control.

First, learn not to lose, then learn how to make money.
Start with a simulated account for practice, then use small funds for real trading.
Gambling-style trading is prohibited; those who walk this path steadily will go further.
#Crypto #Contracts

Midday thoughts
Currently, Bitcoin is in a fluctuating upward trend, with Ethereum continuing to diverge on low volume around 90,000, rising to about 91,800. The altcoin also shows a bullish trend, rising from around 3,000 to about 3,070. Currently, Ethereum has pulled back slightly, with support around 90,000. The daily chart shows bullish momentum increasing, and Ethereum remains dominant during the midday.

Bitcoin is around 90,000-90,500, with resistance expected around 92,000-92,800.

The altcoin is around 3,000-3,015, with resistance expected around 3,090-3,200. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

The script given today has once again come true!
Big pancake 86200 or more, currently at 90300
Second pancake 2890 or more, currently at 3044