Go, Some of you may have heard that Metamask is running a points program, starting on October 28th, you can use this code: 907E2F to earn 250 points, and accumulate points to be able to claim a future airdrop over time. We are still early to participate, in the bottom corner you will notice the reward option. #MetaMask #Wallet #Linea #Airdrop come on.
HIRING IN THE U.S. IS COLLAPSING AND COULD ACCELERATE RATE CUTS IN 2026
šÆU.S. COMPANIES are hiring LESS than at any other time in the last DECADE
What's happening and why does it really MATTER for #Bitcoināļø
š¹In all of 2025, only 497,151 new hires were announced š¹It's the LOWEST figure since 2010 š¹Represents a -35% drop compared to 2024, when there were 761,954 š¹It's the FIFTH consecutive year that hiring has decreased š¹In November, only 9,074 new hires were announced: the 2nd lowest figure since at least 2016
How does this impact financial marketsāļø
š„The demand for jobs in the U.S. is at CRISIS levels š„And that pressures the FED to cut rates sooner than expected and could lead them to project more cuts for 2026 š„For now, no further cut is expected in January, but after the rate decision, which comes with projections, things could change
šLESS EMPLOYMENT = MORE POSSIBILITY OF MONETARY STIMULUS
šAnd when there have been stimuli, historically it was FUEL for #Bitcoin and risk assets.
š§ØTHE CFTC HAS JUST LEGITIMIZED #BITCOIN AS COLLATERAL ON WALL STREET
-The CFTC has just launched a pilot program that allows the use of $BTC (along with $ETH and $USDC) as COLLATERAL in the United States derivatives markets.
šThis means they are LEGITIMIZING $BTC, $ETH, and $USDC and treating them as real FINANCIAL GUARANTEE.
AS YOU ALREADY KNOW, WEDNESDAY IS A DEFINITIVE DAY FOR THE FINANCIAL MARKETS
šBut it is not entirely clear how the markets might react, due to the fact that there are SEVERAL ISSUES TO CONSIDER
What are those factors and what expectations are thereāļø
šøAs we know, financial markets move based on future expectations šøVery likely, #Bitcoin and financial assets have already priced in the rate cut for this Wednesday šøNow what will move prices, very likely, are the "surprises"
What do I mean by this?
1- Futures on the interest rate expect 2 cuts by 2026 -A FED projecting MORE cuts than expected could positively impact
2- A FED starting/announcing a QE (asset purchase) is also something unexpected -Former FED member claims it could happen. If so, $BTC probably will rise
3- Powell's statements -The TONE that Powell uses (in favor of continuing cuts, or not) may define where the financial markets are headed
4- FED members and their positions -In the projections, we will see HOW MANY are the FED members who would be in favor of cutting soon -If those who want to continue cutting are the MAJORITY, it would be POSITIVE for risk assets
šThese 4 issues would be the MAIN ones to consider for Wednesday
THE MOST IMPORTANT WEEK OF THE YEAR AND 2026 HAS ARRIVED
šÆ#Bitcoin and #crypto have GUARANTEED GREAT VOLATILITY, ESPECIALLY DUE TO SOMETHING IN PARTICULAR
What should we pay attention to during this defining weekāļø
šTuesday ā«ļøJOLTS JOB OPENINGS Survey 12:00 ARG -It is expected to decrease from 7.227M to 7.200M. A GREAT weakness in job openings could lead the FED to cut rates more times in 2026
šWednesday ā«ļøFED rate decision 16:00 ARG -This decision is more relevant because it comes with PROJECTIONS of cuts -There is a +85% probability that the FED will cut rates -In addition, some experts say that the resumption of QE could be announced, which would be POSITIVE for financial markets -If the FED projects few cuts justifying itself with the few economic data it has, financial markets could react negatively ā«ļøThe publication of the CPI that was to be shared before the rate decision has been postponed to 18/12
šThursday ā«ļøNew unemployment claims It is expected to increase from 191K to 221K Another employment data that will influence whether the FED cuts rates again in January or not
šThe EYES of ALL investors in the world will be on the FED rate decision and Powell's comments
šIf history repeats itself just as it did before, we would be facing a rise of 170% in 7 weeks
WHAT DOES THE HISTORICAL BEHAVIOR OF THE ETH/BTC RATIO SHOW USāļø
šA few months ago we saw how ETH/BTC established its LOW JUST in the low zone of 2020 šSince then it started to rise. After that rise, it is now in the other SUPPORT zone of the previous cycle (2021) āŖļøFrom there, in 2021, Ethereum rose +170% in just 7 weeks āŖļøIt had 7 consecutive green weekly candles and then entered a distribution phase
-This does not mean it will repeat exactly⦠-But it does show that we are in a KEY TECHNICAL ZONE
šIf history repeats itself, ETH would start to RISE MORE THAN BITCOIN soon
THIS COULD BE A KEY AREA FOR DCA IN ALTCOINS ACCORDING TO THIS:
šThe TRADING VOLUMES of ALTCOINS show a KEY AREA of ACCUMULATION
What does this meanāļø
šEvery time the VOLUME of altcoins in pairs with STABLECOIN falls below the annual average... The signal seems to be quite CLEAR
ā«ļøThe last time we saw this signal was in May 2023, September 2024, and July 2025 ā«ļøIn all cases, a phase of reversal or accumulation was anticipated before increases ā«ļøToday we are entering that zone again: low volume and low speculative interest
šThese phases usually last weeks or even months šThey are contexts where a progressive accumulation strategy (DCA) can MAKE SENSE
Does this mean it's time to BUY altcoinsāļø
-Not necessarily, but statistically they are areas where risk is reduced -The context remains complex -The market is forcing selectivity; not everything that falls will bounce back
šThere are no magic signals. But the data suggests that we are at a point where strong movements can HAPPEN AGAIN
A KEY TECHNICAL SIGNAL THAT ANTICIPATED THE LAST 3 BOTTOMS OF #BITCOIN HAS JUST REPEATED
šEvery time the DDS and the RSI hit bottom and turned UP, a strong upward impulse came
šThe last three movements: +174% +85% +48%
āŖļøNow it reactivates with a rebound of only +15% (so far) āŖļøThe RSI also hit the same level it had during the COVID crash āŖļøThese confluences do not guarantee anything⦠but historically marked KEY moments
šSometimes, the simplest signals are the ones that are most underestimated.
š„This has BIG CONSEQUENCES for financial markets, including #Bitcoin and #crypto
The U.S. RECORDS THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF LAYOFFS SINCE 2020 (PANDEMIC)
-But how does it IMPACT exactlyāļø
ā«ļøOnly in November, 71,321 new layoffs were announced ā«ļøNow there are 1,17 million in 2025: the FIRST year with more than 1,1M layoffs since the pandemic lockdowns
š„ It is the MOST IMPORTANT UPDATE since EIP-1559 and can restore $ETH's DEFLATIONARY character
š¹ Fusaka forces L2s to pay minimum fees to publish data (blobs) š¹ This means that EVERY transaction on Arbitrum, Optimism, Base, zkSync, or ANY L2 now BURNS ETH š¹ The more L2s grow, the more ETH is burned š¹ It also raises the gas limit and lowers the cost of use ā more activity š¹ For the first time in years, ETH could return to a negative supply
šEthereum not only scales⦠it now also monetizes that scalability šThe last time the $ETH network was updated, its price ROSE
THE CURRENT FINANCIAL CONDITIONS, IN THEORY, ARE EXTREMELY POSITIVE FOR #BITCOIN
šø GLOBAL FINANCIAL CONDITIONS are at their most āFLEXIBLEā since 2021
Why is this FUNDAMENTAL for the markets⦠and for #cryptoāļø
š¹The GFTI index shows that the level of monetary restriction dropped to a minimum in 3 years š¹This is similar to the post-crisis monetary relief of 2008 š¹More than 90% of the world's central banks maintained or cut rates in the last 12 months š¹We hadn't seen such loose global monetary policy since the pandemic of 2020, when GLOBAL MARKETS soared
š”When financial conditions loosen: ā Credit and money flow more easily ā FIAT MONEY becomes cheaper ā Stocks and risk assets rise
šThis context could generate the CONTINUATION of the Bitcoin bull market and even lead us to an ALTSEASON