張之维天師府

Dear crypto friends, today I won't talk about contract leverage, I won't hype hundredfold altcoins, and I won't paint a big picture of 'the next Bitcoin'—I want to tell you something particularly 'foolish':
In the past two years, I've guided over 300 fans, 90% of whom used this method to go from 'small losses to big gains', with the most extreme going from 800U to 3.6WU; the remaining 10% who didn't profit either changed to chasing highs midway because it was 'too slow' or couldn't resist the urge to add positions randomly.
You might laugh: 'Trading coins still talks about being 'foolish'? Earning quick money is thrilling!' But first ask yourself with a clear conscience:
After chasing highs and lows for half a year, is your account balance thinner than freshly made dumpling wrappers?

During the sideways market, institutions secretly pick up chips, and when the price rises, short positions cry out as they explode — today's BTC liquidation heat map is the 'slaughter script' written for retail investors by institutions!
I just opened the trading software, and the BTC liquidation heat map directly amused me: the sideways area in the orange circle looks just like the prelude to BTC rising from 80,000 to 90,000 in October 2024 — back then, the liquidation volume was as cold as ice during sideways trading, and institutions secretly accumulated chips for 3 days, and when the price surged, 1.8 billion in short positions exploded. This plot is simply a copy-paste.

Let me first clarify this chart for new fans: the greener and yellower the color of the liquidation heat map, the more money is being liquidated. Look, a few days ago BTC was trading sideways at a low level (the orange circle area), and the heat map was basically in cool colors, with a pitifully low liquidation volume — isn't this a sign of inactivity in the market? Clearly, institutions were 'silently accumulating' chips, deliberately making retail investors think 'the price won't move, short positions will definitely profit.' As a result, last night the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut landed, and institutions directly pushed the price up violently, causing the heat map to instantly turn bright green (the green circle), with the liquidation volume of short positions breaking 1.2 billion U in just 6 hours, and it's still climbing. This surge is fundamentally 'charging upwards on the corpses of short positions.'

At the end of the year, the big bang that the cryptocurrency and stock markets are all waiting for may really explode! Multiple major Wall Street banks have issued overnight warnings: the US money market is about to collapse, with a funding pool of $12.6 trillion, and it is running dry; this is more than the combined market value of the top ten companies in the world. Once it collapses, the global market will tremble!
Let me explain it in plain language, what exactly is causing the panic:
The bank's 'spare cash' (reserves) has run out - just like ordinary people having no extra money and having to rush to borrow money in an emergency; if the bank has no money to lend, the market will naturally panic.

Tonight, BTC suddenly surged, jumping directly from around 90,000 to 94555. Many brothers asked me what was going on. In short: it's all because of the expectations of the rate cut, this surge is very clear!
First, let me talk about the first reason: the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates early Thursday morning. The market has known about this for a while, but recently Bitcoin dropped to over 80,000. Now, with just a few days left until the rate cut, it's completely normal for funds to speculate on 'expectations' ahead of time — just like rushing to buy goods for the New Year, the earlier you buy, the more you earn. Institutions have entered the market early to drive prices up and realize those expectations in advance.
The second reason is related to the US stock market: recently, the US stock market has been hovering at high levels, with a slew of positive news. Tonight, after a lower opening, the US stock market surged directly upwards. Bitcoin and the US stock market are like two sides of the same coin; when the US stock market rises, Bitcoin will definitely follow suit, benefiting from the rise of the US stock market.

During sideways markets, retail investors panic and sell at a loss, while institutions sneak in to profit — today, with ETH breaking 3050, this move is like a 'free ticket' for the retail investors from the institutions, and hitting 3400 tonight is a sure thing.

This morning, staring at the 4-hour chart of ETH, I couldn't help but laugh: it has been fluctuating between 3049-3131 for the past few days, while a bunch of retail investors are shouting 'It's going to drop, it's going to drop.' As soon as it broke 3050, it shot straight up to 3368 — this is clearly not a natural market movement, but rather a 'short squeeze script' written by institutions. Let me give you some solid news from today: Grayscale dumped 110 million dollars last night, buying 28,000 ETH around 3050, which is the largest single buy in the past week; coupled with the 90% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates tonight, once liquidity eases, ETH, as the market leader, has three times the elasticity of BTC, it would be unreasonable not to rise this time.

The chips picked up during panic selling are the most delicious meat when the bull turns back — right now, XLM is the 'welfare package' given to retail investors by institutions!
Recently, the cryptocurrency circle is in a wail again, with Bitcoin stagnating and altcoins plummeting. Many XLM holders are panicking like ants on a hot pot, frantically cutting losses around 0.23 dollars, fearing it will drop below the psychological level of 0.20 dollars. This time, cryptocurrency analyst AiMan has stepped up to say: Don't sell! 0.20-0.25 dollars is the bottom of the cycle, and it could reach 1-2 dollars by 2026. But what I want to tell you is that AiMan only mentioned the 'surface'; the opportunity for XLM this time is far more ruthless and certain than his analysis!

#ZEC After the main downward wave, it has fallen into the 390-450 range for consolidation. Short-term wait-and-see, long-term short positions strategy firmly executed. ZEC has staged a single-day drop of 24% since the beginning of December, and the main downward wave has temporarily paused. It is now officially entering the sideways consolidation phase of 390-450 USD. From the 4-hour K-line chart, recent trading volume has continued to shrink, the MACD histogram is gradually narrowing, and the forces of both bulls and bears are in a stalemate. Although the KDJ indicator is in the overbought range, it has not formed a clear golden cross or death cross signal, which completely matches the typical characteristics of a consolidation. In this kind of market where prices are “unable to rise or fall,” blindly going long or chasing short positions in the short term is undoubtedly a high-risk operation, purely sending transaction fees to the market, which is meaningless.

From the BNB 4-hour candlestick chart, as well as volume-price and indicator dimensions, it is currently in the 'high-level convergence + long-short contention' upward continuation phase, with a subsequent upward breakout being the core trend.

1. Price Structure: Fibonacci retracement levels and resonance support from range convergence
BNB has initiated an upward wave from the low point of 801.8. After reaching a high of 928.7, it entered a Fibonacci retracement period. The current price is anchored at the 78.6% retracement level (901.5), forming support. This level coincides with the middle band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands (905) and the 20-period EMA (902), creating a triple resonance support area. During the retracement, it has not effectively broken below this range, which aligns with the structural characteristics of an 'upward continuation washout.'

ZEC broke 450 this time, is it a "trap set for retail investors" by institutions? The surge of small coins is no accident — ZEC today broke 450, and institutions have sharpened their 'scythes' waiting for retail investors to dive in.

This morning, I opened the 4-hour chart, and the old fans should have sensed something: ZEC dropped from 594 at the end of November to 301, and now in the past few days, it has been skyrocketing to 450 as if it was launched by a rocket, directly stepping on the "horizontal resistance level of 430-440" — this is clearly not market-driven; it’s obviously a script written by institutions. Let me give you some insider information for today: Coinbase announced last night that it will "launch ZEC spot trading on December 15," this news didn't trend, but whales started buying up 3 days in advance. From December 7 to 9, ZEC's on-chain large transfers (single transactions over 100 coins) quadrupled, among which the address "bc1q3..." hoarded 8600 coins in one go. This is exactly like the "pre-buying frenzy" before UNI's listing on Binance in June 2024, when UNI surged from 4 dollars to 8 dollars because institutions had previously acquired 2 million coins at the bottom.

Tonight's ETH spike is not just luck—it's the convergence of institutions, policies, and technicals coming together like a 'slaughtering scythe'; the short sellers' coffins are already welded shut.

Let's get straight to the point: Tonight's ETH surge is due to 'institutional buying + Federal Reserve expectations + technical short squeeze'—a triple assault, each phase is a 'guillotine' prepared for the shorts.
1. Institutions treat ETH like 'cabbage storage'; whale wallets are tougher than the Federal Reserve.
Look at the on-chain data—BitMine, this 'ETH whale,' just dumped $68.67 million on December 8 to buy 22,676 ETH. This is already their third increase in December, and their holdings have now reached 3.726 million coins (accounting for 2.9% of total supply). Why do they dare to buy against the trend? Because the U.S. CFTC just approved ETH spot futures, halving the compliance threshold for institutions holding ETH. BitMine is aiming to 'stock up on 5% of circulation'—it's like the owner of your local supermarket knows prices will rise tomorrow and empties the shelves overnight; do you think prices won't go up?

When the market is grinding, both bulls and bears are waiting for the 'breakthrough signal' — today's BTC is a 'Bollinger Band convergence game' in the 4-hour cycle.
Now taking a glance at the market, experienced investors should grasp the key point at a glance: BTC's 'narrow fluctuations' in the range of 88,000 - 94,000 has entered the 3rd trading day, with the 4-hour Bollinger Bands converging to 1.2% (normal volatility threshold 3%), and the trading volume has continuously shrunk to 60% of the 5-day average over 3 consecutive K-lines, a typical 'news vacuum period with decreasing volume'. The core variables behind this are very clear: on one side is the CME futures interest rate implying an 87% expectation of a 25BP rate cut, and on the other side is yesterday's Standard Chartered Bank downgrading BTC's year-end target from 200,000 to 100,000, a 'premature bearish signal', with both bulls and bears gambling on tonight's Federal Reserve decision's 'dot plot guidance' — is it 'dovish rate cut + easing path', or 'hawkish rate cut + inflation warning'.

The 'expected fulfillment' in the crypto world is never like boiling a frog in warm water — it's like a firecracker that explodes at the slightest spark.

Tonight at 11:57, I was staring at the 4-hour chart of ETH, the cigarette butt almost burning my hand. The price at 3388 is stuck before the Fibonacci resistance level at 3422, and the RSI at 89 is like a red-hot needle, even the sell orders in the order book are revealing 'nervousness.' Half an hour ago, I was joking with my friends in the circle saying, 'Tonight it will either explode long or explode short,' but when I saw the CME Fed rate cut probability soaring to 92%, I secretly moved my stop loss from 3200 to 3350 — veterans understand, this kind of 'obvious good news,' the main force will never let retail investors comfortably pick up chips.

Dear friends in the crypto circle, today I'm not talking about contract leverage, not bragging about hundred times altcoins, and definitely not sketching out the 'next Bitcoin'—I want to tell you a particularly 'foolish' thing:
In the past two years, I've guided over 300 fans, 90% of whom used this method to go from 'small losses to big gains', with the most aggressive going from 800U to 3.6WU; the remaining 10% who didn't profit either thought it was 'too slow' and changed to chasing highs midway, or couldn't resist and added to their positions recklessly.
You might laugh: "Isn't it 'foolish' to trade cryptocurrencies? Making quick money is what excites!" But first, ask yourself with a clear conscience:
After half a year of chasing highs and cutting losses, is your account balance thinner than freshly made dumpling skins?

Late last night, a fan privately messaged me: 'Master, ETH has been hovering around 3100 for 3 days. I took a half position long. Can it rise to 3300?' I replied directly: 'Quickly reduce your position! This wave is institutions 'painting a pie to entice longs', and the black swan is not far away!'
After 3 years of trading cryptocurrencies and 3 liquidations, the seasoned trader now earning 50,000 a month tells you: the volatile market is the most dangerous, especially for ETH, which has a trend that 'seems to be rising but is actually a trap'. Last year, over 200 fans fell into similar traps, losing nearly 10 million — today, I will expose the 'tricks' behind ETH's manipulation and teach you 3 ways to avoid black swan events in advance. Newcomers are advised to take notes directly!

'The crypto world is not a casino, it's a traceable ATM!' I've been saying this since I started, and my experience of turning 1000U into 50,000U in the last 15 days once again proves this statement — it's not that the market isn't strong, it's that you didn't catch the rhythm and the right targets! Today, I'm sharing all the practical insights from this 'turning small funds into 50 times' experience; new friends can learn from it and still benefit!
$PIPE 12th: Unintentionally struck gold, first battle successful earning 700U!
At the very beginning, I held onto 1000U, afraid to act recklessly, focusing on the 4-hour K-line grind for insight. On the afternoon of the 12th, while refreshing the market, I noticed ZEC forming a 'double bottom' at the 500 position, with trading volume secretly increasing, a typical 'rebound' signal. Without much thought, I took out 700U and opened a long position at 502, setting a stop loss at 490, thinking even if I lost, it was manageable.

The cruelty of altcoins has always been 'the longer you squat, the higher you jump' - Today SOL is grinding at 130, giving retail investors one last 'chance to pick up money.'

This morning I opened the 4-hour K-line chart, and I was amused by the line of SOL swaying at 132: this trend is reminiscent of last October's wave of 'from 120 to 250' - while it looks weak, there are actually 'undercurrents' surging on the chain. Last night I monitored the data until dawn, and suddenly there were 230 million USDT orders added to Binance's SOL spot pool, with an address labeled 'institutional wallet' directly sweeping 120,000 SOL, with an average price firmly at 130.2. I mentioned this in the community, and this morning an old fan screenshot said he picked up 500 coins at 130.5, also complaining 'I was too slow and missed the bottom at 130' - this is someone who understands the game, knowing that institutions are 'using fluctuations to hide the tail of the buyers.'

The market in the crypto circle has always been 'to rise, first dig a pit; the deeper the pit, the fatter the meat' - today's BTC hovering around 90,000 is just a 'trap for retail investors' set by institutions.

This morning, after just opening the 4-hour K-line chart, I was amused: BTC dropped from 90642, and that line looked fierce, but in reality, it didn't even touch 88,000, looking like a 'pretentious actor'. Do you really think this is a drop? I've been staring at the chain data until dawn - last night in Binance's spot pool, USDT reserves suddenly increased by 2.8 billion, and Coinbase transferred 12,000 BTC from its cold wallet to its hot wallet. This is not a run; it's clearly 'holding cash to pick up chips'. A few days ago, I told fans in the community, 'Buy with your eyes closed below 88,000'. This morning, a brother screenshot said he bought 1 BTC at 89,000, now up by 1.2%, and he complained to me, 'I bought too little' - this is understanding the market, knowing that institutions are 'washing the盘 to deceive chips'.

The cryptocurrency market has always been 'shaking three times before the shoe drops, and then flying to the sky after the news comes out' — today's ETH is stuck at this 'three shakes' critical point.

This morning, I opened the 4-hour K-line chart and immediately saw ETH grinding at the 3100 position, 'almost breaking its teeth': the big bearish line that fell from 3180 last night is still flashing before my eyes, and this morning it touched 3142 only to pull back, looking just like a child who wants to grab candy but is afraid of getting hit. But if you really think it's soft, you are mistaken — last night when Bitcoin broke through 90,000, ETH didn't fall below 3000, but instead was bought up by whales near 3050 with a 'huge buying volume'. I watched the data on the chain closely: Coinbase's cold wallet transferred 14,000 ETH to a hot wallet, and Binance's spot pool has USDT reserves piled up to 42 billion. How can this be bearish? Clearly, it's 'holding cash waiting to buy the dip.'