刘二菲说金

Binance chat room can directly chat with Liu Erfei!!!
1. Open the Binance APP, enter 'chat room' in the top search bar, and click to access the feature entry;
2. After entering the chat room, find the '+' button in the upper right corner and select 'add friend' option;
3. In the friend search box, accurately enter my exclusive chat ID: 8j8ubl8, click search and you will find me, send a friend request to start interacting!
Whether you want to chat about market trends, share experiences, or consult questions, you can chat directly after adding me as a friend, no need to look for channels everywhere~

The most mysterious aspect of the crypto world is the confrontation between East and West, day and night
$BTC $ETH $AIA
1. When there’s a significant drop during the day domestically, it’s crucial to buy the dip, as foreign traders will push prices up at 21:30 at night.
2. If there’s a significant rise during the day, do not chase the high; prices will drop back at night.
3. The key signal for buying and selling is the pin bar; the deeper the pin, the stronger the buy and sell signal.
4. Major meetings or positive news will typically lead to price increases, but prices will fall once the news settles.
5. In group discussions, proposals from the community about buying coins may sound too good to be true; if you get excited, you’re likely to get burned, so consider counter-trading. If a coin is very hot, you can short it immediately.
6. If a group member recommends something and you’re not interested, there’s a high probability it will take off; when in doubt, it might be worth trying a little.
7. When you are heavily invested, you are almost guaranteed to get liquidated; why? Because you are prominently featured on the exchange’s liquidation list.
8. After your short position hits the stop loss, it will definitely drop; if it doesn’t trick you into exiting or getting liquidated, how could it drop? For example, TRB.
9. When you’re about to break even, and you’re just a bit away, the rebound suddenly stops; how could they let you close your position and run?
10. When you take profits, it’s like a party; if you don’t exit, how can they push prices up? The situation is too heavy.
11. When you’re excited, a crash will arrive as expected; your excitement is also a bait from the market makers.
12. When you’re broke, every project seems to be rising, making you FOMO, and you rush to enter. So you understand that the market is manipulated over 80% of the time; you must control your position and ensure you act strategically, resolutely refusing to enter the market before confirming the market makers' actions. Once you enter, the exchange is the butcher, and you are the fish. Trading is a test of patience, composure, and timing; let’s strive together. #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #隐私币生态普涨 #币安合约实盘 #ETH巨鲸增持

Top Execution: No need to think, just do it! The strategy has been tested, the path is clear——gold, steadily securing 12 classic profits! #巨鲸动向 #隐私币生态普涨 #BitDigital转型 #RWA总规模持续增长 #代币化热潮

12.9 WTI Crude Oil Analysis 💙
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News:
1. Supply side is relatively loose
Saudi Arabia reduced the January crude oil price for Asia by 80 cents/barrel, signaling that "demand is below expectations";
Iraq's West Qurna-2 oil field has resumed production (daily output of 460,000 barrels), coupled with OPEC+ maintaining its production increase pace in December, expectations of oversupply are rising.

2. Demand side under pressure
U.S. API gasoline inventory surged by 3.136 million barrels, end-user consumption demand is weak;
Global economic recovery is slowing, and the growth of winter heating oil demand is below expectations.

3. Short-term disturbances
Geopolitical risks (such as the situation in Venezuela) have weakened support for oil prices, and market risk premiums are decreasing;
The Federal Reserve's policy meeting is approaching, and market sentiment is cautious.

Technical analysis:
From the 1-hour cycle observation, crude oil is showing a short-term downward trend, with prices having fallen back to the lower edge of the previous range, the MACD momentum bars are shrinking, and bullish momentum is weakening, with prices testing the support around $58.5.

Operational suggestions
See south near 59.0-59.2 ⬇️
Target 🎯: around 58.3, if broken, look for 57.8.

The content is effective; keep a close eye on the levels and don't hesitate. For those unsure, quickly follow up and feel free to ask Sister Fei at any time.

12.8 AM Gold XAUUSD Analysis 💙
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News:
The expectation of a 'hawkish rate cut' from the Federal Reserve has become the main pressure point, with the market largely pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut at the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 10 (current probability about 89%). However, concerns over a 'hawkish rate cut' continue to simmer—investors expect the Federal Reserve may signal a tightening stance, driving the dollar index to rebound to 99.07 in the Asian market, directly suppressing the price of gold denominated in dollars.

Technical Analysis:

From the 1-hour timeframe, gold prices are currently facing strong resistance around the 4200 level. After quickly retreating from a peak of 4211.27 yesterday, today’s Asian session is trading near 4193, failing to effectively break above this resistance level, with short-term rebound momentum continuing to converge. The current candlestick is oscillating in a reduced volume range between 4190-4200, showing a weak recovery rhythm after a sharp decline.

Operational Suggestion:
Gold is expected to rise near 4180-4190 North ⬆️
🎯: Around 4210-4220

Despite ongoing geopolitical risks such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and China-U.S. trade discussions, the current market focus is on Federal Reserve policy expectations. The impact of geopolitical events on safe-haven assets has been significantly diluted, failing to provide effective support for gold prices.

The content is actionable, keep a close eye on the levels without hesitation. Friends who are unsure, quickly pay attention and feel free to ask Sister Fei anytime.
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December 9th, important news about gold:

1. Federal Reserve's interest rate cut probability in December is 85.2%
2. The world's largest gold ETF reduced its holdings by 1.14 tons overnight
3. The world's largest silver ETF reduced its holdings by 36.67 tons overnight
4. Shanghai Gold Exchange issued a risk warning
5. Russia will restrict gold bar exports in 2026
6. Gold -0.15%, Silver -0.25%, Copper +0.09%
7. Dollar +0.13%, Nasdaq -0.14%, Shanghai Composite +0.54%
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12.8 Euro Futures Gold XAUUSD Analysis 💙
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News:
Federal Reserve rate cut expectations dominate sentiment: The market bets on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this Wednesday, but there are differences regarding the rate cut path in 2026. Current sentiment has not shown clear policy signals yet, and gold prices are mainly fluctuating.

Technical Analysis:
From a 1-hour cycle perspective: Today's Asian session saw gold prices rebound from the 4196 level, reaching a high of 4219 but quickly facing resistance at the upper Bollinger Band on the 1-hour chart. Coupled with the rapid pullback after last Friday's high of 4259, it can be seen that short-term prices have formed a temporary pressure zone in the 4220-4230 range, where the selling pressure signals are quite clear.

European Session Trading Suggestions:
Treat the market as range-bound before the Federal Reserve decision, focus on buying low and selling high.

Gold seen near 4210-4205, looking north ⬆️
🎯: Near 4216-4226, if it breaks, watch for 4230. If the European session breaks 4230 and holds, look to enter long near 4220, with a target of 4240-4245.

Gold seen near 4220-4230, looking south ⬇️
🎯: Near 4210-4200, if it breaks, watch for 4192.

The content is practical, keep a close eye on the levels, don't hesitate. For friends who are unsure, make sure to follow closely, feel free to ask Sister Feifei anytime.
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Monday starts with a bang! How many friends have successfully caught this wave of 15 typical benefits from Doudan?
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2025.12.08 Gold Market Analysis and Investment Logic
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1. Geopolitical tensions rise, safe-haven sentiment boosts gold prices

Recently, the radar lock incident between Chinese and Japanese military aircraft has become a focal point of market attention. The uncertainty of geopolitical events often leads to safe-haven funds flowing into gold and other secure assets. Historical experience shows that during periods of localized conflict or heightened military tension, gold prices usually receive strong support.

2. The People's Bank of China continues to increase gold reserves

The People's Bank of China has been increasing its gold reserves for 13 consecutive months, and as of the latest data, the gold reserves have reached 74.12 million ounces. This trend sends a clear signal:

• Decreased reliance on USD assets by the central bank

• Long-term optimism regarding the strategic reserve value of gold

• Provides solid bottom support for domestic gold prices

3. Fed rate cut expectations are favorable for gold

The market widely anticipates that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points this Wednesday (December 10), with a probability as high as 86.2%. Rate cuts typically:

• Reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold

• Weaken the USD exchange rate, boosting gold prices denominated in USD

• Enhance gold's appeal as an anti-inflation asset

4. Investment recommendations

• Short term: The combination of geopolitical risks and rate cut expectations suggests that gold prices are likely to break through key resistance levels, and trading opportunities in gold ETFs or related mining stocks can be considered.

• Medium to long term: The trend of central bank gold purchases and the global de-dollarization process provide a long-term rationale for rising gold prices.
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Blast! The hidden cycle of gold reappears, 4 years of data leaks signal a takeoff, institutions crazily shout 5000 points
$ZEC $BOB $ETH
The historical cycle is replicated, the password for the surge in 2019 reappears

Investors familiar with the gold market may still remember that period in 2019, and now, the 'mysterious cycle' of that year is being replicated in 2025. From a technical chart perspective, the current trend of the gold market is highly similar to the end of the Fed's interest rate hike cycle in 2019.

More noteworthy is the close relationship between the unemployment rate and the gold price. Historical data shows that for every 0.5% increase in the unemployment rate, the gold price rises an average of 300 dollars per ounce. The latest data shows that the U.S. unemployment rate in September has risen to 4.4%, setting a four-year high, which is reminiscent of the market environment in August 2019 when the unemployment rate rose from 3.6% to 3.80%, further strengthening the demand for gold as a safe haven.

Key breakout points are imminent, institutions give high expectations

The current market is focused on the key level of 4284 dollars per ounce, and most people mistakenly believe this is a strong resistance level, but in reality, it may become a point for accelerated breakout. The technical aspect shows that gold has consistently been operating above the 4162 dollars critical point this week, and the MACD indicator also shows that buying momentum continues to strengthen.

Once a successful breakout above 4284 dollars occurs, the upper target will directly point to around 4348 dollars. Institutional views also confirm this judgment, with Goldman Sachs raising its gold price expectation for 2026 to 4900 dollars, and Bank of America giving a target price of 5000 dollars. These predictions are not baseless but are based on in-depth research into historical cycles, where the average rise in gold reached 22% within 6 months after the first rate cut in 2019.

Macro environment support, ample momentum for gold to rise

The market expects an 89% probability of a Fed rate cut in December, and the weak trend in the job market may continue, with U.S. small businesses experiencing three job losses within four months. The deterioration of unemployment rate data is becoming the ultimate catalyst for the rise in gold, and Citibank's model shows that when the unemployment rate exceeds 4.2%, for every 0.1% increase, it triggers an influx of 5 billion dollars into gold ETFs.

In addition, the non-farm payroll data to be announced on December 16 is facing delays in data collection due to the government shutdown, and its uncertainty may further increase market volatility. Historical experience shows that during such data vacuum periods, gold often receives additional support
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Follow Sister Fei to earn gold, 3️⃣2️⃣ typical space steadily secured!
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December 5th XAUUSD Analysis 💙

From the 1-hour level, the upper Bollinger Band forms resistance with the previous high. The current price is hovering near the middle band and is currently in a high oscillation state. Key resistance to watch is at 4219 and the intraday high at 4210. If broken, it may turn bullish in the short term. Key support to watch is at the intraday low of 4202 and the lower band at 4182. A drop below the middle band may test the lower band. You can buy high and sell low near key levels, and follow after a breakout.

Big yellow sees near 4199-4197 north ⬆️
🎯: Near 4220-4225, if broken look for 4228
Big yellow sees near 4219-4220 south ⬇️
🎯: Near 4192-4187, if broken look for 4182

The content is effective. Keep a close eye on the levels and don’t hesitate. If you’re unsure, make sure to follow and ask Sister Feifei anytime.
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12.3 Evening Gold XAUUSD Update💙
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
Good afternoon, I am Liu Erfei
From the hourly level, today’s gold trading range is locked at 4194.65-4228.87, currently in a narrow upward channel, the price is approaching the upper Bollinger band, short-term pressure expectations are gradually increasing, the previous high of 4264.55 constitutes a strong resistance area, it is expected that the market will first slightly retrace to gather strength and then continue the rebound rhythm, with the core idea of operations being to buy on dips, relying on channel support layout for more stability.

Big yellow sees 4208-10 North⬆️, 🎯: around 4226-30, breakthrough look at 32.

The content is practical, keep a close eye on the levels and don’t hesitate. Friends who are unsure, hurry up and pay attention, feel free to ask Sister Feifei anytime.
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This morning, the Kongtou Waterfall has arrived! When faced with such a sharp drop in the market, what do you need to pay attention to?

Sharp declines often come quickly and violently, catching people off guard. Such trends can greatly impact investors' emotions. If you don't want to be 'scared out of your wits' by the market or 'buying the dip halfway down', here are a few points to keep in mind:

1. First determine the trend, don't rush to buy the dip

A sharp drop does not mean that the bottom has been reached immediately. The market may experience temporary panic due to news, funding issues, or technical sell-offs, and the trend may not yet be stable. Rushing to buy the dip can easily lead to losses. First, observe whether key support levels hold and whether trading volume significantly decreases before deciding to enter the market.

2. Control your position, keep some bullets

When the market is falling rapidly, risk and uncertainty are magnified. At this time, position management is more important than determining direction. Keeping enough funds not only allows you to cope with potential further declines but also helps you seize opportunities when a real bottom appears.

3. Do not chase shorts, avoid getting 'killed by a rebound'

After a sharp drop, technical rebounds are likely to occur. If you chase shorts at low levels, you may be instantly pulled up and 'trigger your stop-loss'. Shorting requires waiting for a rebound to resistance levels and clear reversal signals before considering.

4. Pay attention to news and trading volume

There are usually reasons behind sharp declines—policy changes, negative industry news, macroeconomic data, etc. At the same time, assessing trading volume helps determine whether it's panic selling or major players offloading, which aids in more accurately judging subsequent trends.

5. Maintain emotional stability

When the market is in panic, the most expensive thing is losing control of your emotions. In a sharp decline, staying calm is more important than any technical analysis. Set an operational plan for yourself and strictly follow it to avoid making impulsive decisions due to emotions.
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$ETH must be achieved! The first day of December morning this wave of the waterfall
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12.1-12.5 Major Events in US Stocks｜Precise Trading Windows
$BTC $BNB $XRP
This week, the US stock market will face a series of earnings reports and data releases, with sectors such as technology, chips, and finance taking turns to appear, combined with policy signals, making volatility opportunities worth paying attention to.

December 1 (Monday)

• Data: 22:45 US November Manufacturing PMI Final; 23:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending.

• Earnings: After hours MongoDB (MDB), Credo Technology (CRDO).

• Focus: Signs of recovery in manufacturing and sentiment in the semiconductor supply chain.

December 2 (Tuesday)

• Policy: Powell's speech, pay attention to interest rate cut signals.

• Data: NRF Thanksgiving shopping data impacts retail stock trends.

• Earnings: After hours CrowdStrike (CRWD), looking at ARR and customer growth.

December 3 (Wednesday)

• Data: 21:15 Challenger Job Cuts; 21:30 ADP Employment; 23:00 Non-Manufacturing PMI.

• Earnings: After hours Marvell (MRVL), core focus on AI orders and guidance.

• Focus: The impact of economic and employment data on interest rate cut expectations.

December 4 (Thursday)

• Earnings: After hours Salesforce (CRM), C3.ai (AI), Snowflake (SNOW).

• Data: 21:30 EIA Crude Oil Inventories; 23:00 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Preliminary.

• Focus: Commercialization of AI and changes in consumption expectations.

December 5 (Friday)

• Data: 21:30 Non-Farm Employment and Unemployment Rate; 23:00 Core PCE Price Index.

• Earnings: Pre-market Royal Bank of Canada (RY); After hours PureStorage (PSTG), Asana (ASAN).

• Focus: Federal Reserve policy direction and year-end layout opportunities.
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Sister Fei's selection! Limited slots open starting from the beginning of the month……
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Those who understand, understand; if you miss it, wait until next month
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Every shot hits! Don't ask me if I'm relying on luck
$BTC $ZEC $MON
When strength reaches a certain level, even luck has to yield
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Sister Fei's Trading Emergency Room
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Specializes in various grievances and being trapped,
Prescribes targeted solutions, offering the most precise "untrapping prescriptions"
Helping you pull yourself out of the mire and return to the track of energy
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