A金雨沫

After reaching the 118800 line in the early morning, the large pancake encountered pressure from above, resulting in a downward movement, with a minimum dip to 115868 hitting the line. In fact, for this kind of trading situation, it is still very easy to grasp the rhythm, and controlling the entry and exit points of the range is crucial. Therefore, in this trading situation, taking advantage is a very simple matter.

From the current perspective, the market has once again entered a correction phase, which is the best proof that the bulls are gaining momentum. This also indicates that the price is building a new rising platform. It can be seen that the bulls have sufficient momentum and patterns, and there will not be a reversal leading to a deep adjustment, at least not for now. Instead, after the correction, it will recover again. In terms of the short-term price trend structure, as the support below becomes stronger, the pressure above will also continue to weaken. It is highly likely that the bulls will continue to rise in the future market, although there may be a pullback, we can still consider this as a means of accumulating strength for the bulls, so we can maintain a bullish mindset for future arrangements.

On Friday morning, the large pancake is around: 115800-115500 Buy Target: 117500
Ethereum: 3680-3660 Buy Target: 3780#美国初请失业金人数 #白宫数字资产报告 #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #币安HODLer空投TREE $BTC $ETH $XRP

7.3 Thursday, Latest Bitcoin Market Analysis

Volatility is the norm, spikes and drops are daily occurrences, don't let the K-line dictate your heartbeat. Remember: volatility is the mover of wealth. Last night, Bitcoin surged dramatically, spurred by the opening of the U.S. stock market and a disappointing non-farm payroll report, with prices rising nearly 4600 points in a day. This one-sided movement is too exaggerated, with morning prices approaching around 109000.

Despite breaking through 109000, there has been a divergence in volume and price on the 4-hour level, with the RSI overshooting to 89, and the MACD momentum weakening, indicating that the bulls are losing strength. The current price has reached the Fibonacci 1.618 strong resistance zone (108800-110200), while on-chain monitoring shows significant BTC inflows to exchanges above 110000, and the derivatives funding rate has reached as high as 0.15%, causing a notable increase in short hedging pressure. If it cannot stabilize above 109500, a short-term retracement to the support level of 105800 may occur; a break below this would confirm a head and shoulders pattern, targeting a drop to the range of 102300-101500.

Bitcoin Strategy: Short near 109500, target 105800
Ethereum Strategy: Short near 2610, target 2450#美股代币化 #特朗普马斯克分歧 #Solana质押型ETF #Strategy增持比特币 #大而美法案 $BTC $ETH $XRP

7.2 Wednesday, Latest Bitcoin Market Analysis

Looking back at last night and this morning's market, Bitcoin climbed to a high of 106250 in the early hours, but soon plummeted, retreating to a low of 105182. The strategy provided by Yumo in the early morning was also accurately executed!

From the 1-hour K-line trend, the bearish pattern for Bitcoin has already formed. In the Bollinger Bands indicator, the price is running closely along the lower band, with the upper and middle bands continuously declining, and the opening gradually widening, indicating that bearish momentum is continuously accumulating. Looking at the MACD indicator, although the green bars are slowly diminishing, the bearish pattern has not changed; the downward momentum has only slightly weakened but has not completely dissipated. The KDJ indicator's three lines have turned upward at a low position, but the rebound strength after the previous oversold condition is obviously insufficient, making it difficult to shake the current weak situation. In the short term, if Bitcoin cannot successfully break through the resistance of the middle Bollinger Band, it is highly likely to continue the downtrend. It is important to keep an eye on the previous low of 105200; if this support level cannot hold, there may be a larger decline.

You can attempt to short around 106000 for Bitcoin, aiming for a target of 105000; Auntie suggests positioning short orders around 2420-2440, with a target price set at 2355.

7.2 Midnight Thoughts

The four-hour and one-hour charts have already formed a bearish trend, and in the evening, they tested the support at 105500. The daily KDJ is likely to form a dead cross pointing downwards. The bulls are losing momentum, and the focus for midnight is on high short positions, with proper stop-loss management and avoiding counter-trend trading.

Midnight Operations
- Short near 106500-107000 for Bitcoin, targeting near 105500.
- Short near 2450 for Ether, targeting near 2400.
#特朗普马斯克分歧 #Solana质押型ETF #Strategy增持比特币 #大而美法案 #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH $XRP

After a week of joint learning and practice, we finally achieved remarkable results. Together we explored and practiced, ultimately realizing the fan warehouse! We also reflected nearly thirty thousand! This is the charm of 🈴 yue, coming and going in a hurry, with miracles born every day, the pace is very fast, and burying oneself in research is at odds with one's own pocket. Teaming up to leverage others' abilities is the key to being the ultimate winner.
Yumo provides you with professional technical analysis to create opportunities for win-win cooperation.
The happiness of your pocket depends on your cognition and choices.
#特朗普马斯克分歧 #Solana质押型ETF #Strategy增持比特币 #大而美法案 #币安Alpha上新 $BTC $ETH $XRP

The empty dan layout given in the morning has already moved out 1300 points of space.
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #币安Alpha上新 #美国加征关税 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数 #香港加密概念股 $BTC $ETH $XRP

6. Monday, 30th, Bitcoin Latest Market Analysis

In recent days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a range, but it broke this range early on Monday morning. Although it seems to be strengthening in the short term, if the upper resistance is not broken, it will be difficult to reach new highs. Currently, most coins are attempting to break through but have not been successful, and there is still a risk of a pullback in the short term. At this point, do not chase high positions, and focus on short positions in the short term. If the pullback support holds, look for positions to enter.

Look for around 108800-109200, and observe around 107500
Ethereum is around 2530-2550, and look for around 2460 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #币安Alpha上新 #美国加征关税 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数 #香港加密概念股 $ETH $BTC $XRP

ETH 4-Hour Chart

The ETH 4-hour chart has been in a consolidation phase for a long time. The current price is near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, which are continuing to narrow, indicating a direction will soon be chosen. The MACD has formed a death cross, red histogram momentum is weakening, and trading volume is also decreasing, suggesting short-term bullish momentum is weak.

Short-term suggestions:

Support levels: 2410 / 2380

Resistance levels: 2465 / 2500

Operational suggestions:

If it breaks below 2410, consider taking a small short position, targeting 2380;

Aggressive traders can short at 2435.

If there is a breakout with volume above 2465, consider chasing long positions, targeting the 2500-2530 range;

Summary:

ETH is still in a consolidation pattern, lacking breakout momentum in the short term. If it cannot quickly stabilize above the upper band, the risk of a pullback is greater than the potential for upward movement. The current strategy is mainly short, waiting for the market to choose a direction.

Ether: After breaking through the first support level at night, it rebounded. Pay attention to the position of 2430 today. If the rebound cannot hold, it indicates that the small-scale rebound lacks strength. If it continues to decline, the support levels below are at 2385, 2355, and 2315.
If it wants to go up, it needs to close above 2430 at the 1-2 hour level. Only after stabilizing can it initiate a rebound at the 1-2 hour level. The resistance levels above are at 2460, 2485, and 2520.
#币安Alpha上新 #美国加征关税 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数 #香港加密概念股 #上市公司山寨币财库 $BTC $ETH $XRP

Big changes are coming in August-September

From four aspects, it's clear that big changes are coming in August-September. We need to be prepared and not remain empty-handed, primarily holding BTC and the four major cryptocurrencies, while avoiding excessive purchases of altcoins.

(1) Ceasefire Agreement between Israel and Palestine
Recently, there have not been many significant conflicts or wars in the world. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has become normalized and is unlikely to stir up new waves for now.

(2) Signs of cooling inflation are gradually emerging. After soaring at the beginning of the conflict, oil prices have significantly retreated. Following the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, crude oil futures were quickly sold off, with a drop of over 10% this week. The U.S. Case-Shiller home price index has decreased for two consecutive months.

(3) Expectations of interest rate cuts
Recent statements from Federal Reserve officials indicate that some members support a rate cut earlier than the market expects. Federal Reserve Governor Waller suggested considering a rate cut next month; Chicago Fed President Goolsbee also hinted that if tariffs do not exacerbate inflation, a rate cut is likely. Although Fed Chairman Powell stated this week that if inflation is under control, a rate cut will be initiated. The market expects the Fed may cut rates 2-3 more times before the end of the year, but it is highly likely that the July meeting will remain unchanged.

(4) BTC reserves on exchanges have dropped to a new low, with over 3,000 BTC flowing out of exchanges this week. Retail investors have mostly sold off, and the accumulation process by major players is nearing its end.

The difference between previous altcoin seasons and this one! ❤️

In the past, altcoin seasons typically saw funds flowing from Bitcoin (BTC) to other cryptocurrencies (altcoins), leading to altcoins outperforming BTC.

The three core elements of a traditional altcoin season include:

1️⃣ Fund rotation: As BTC's price momentum slows, funds shift to ETH and mainstream altcoins, eventually spreading to small-cap tokens.
2️⃣ Altcoin gains outperform BTC: The market experiences a broad rally, with some altcoins surging several times in a short period.
3️⃣ Market sentiment FOMO: Retail investors flood in, and community hype reaches a peak.

However, the market environment in 2025 is different from the past, showcasing characteristics of 'Altcoin Season 2.0':

1️⃣ Funds are no longer just spilling over from BTC, but are directly flowing from stablecoins (like USDT, USDC) into specific narrative sectors (like AI, RWA, PolitiFi, etc.).
2️⃣ Sector rotation accelerates, with funds concentrated in a few quality projects rather than a broad-based rally.
3️⃣ Institutional funds and narrative drivers dominate, rather than retail FOMO.

Market funds have changed their directional flow, and letting go of past fixed mindsets is essential for making money in this changing market. #币安Alpha上新 #美国加征关税 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数 #香港加密概念股 #上市公司山寨币财库 $BTC $ETH $XRP

The US stock market is currently suspended. During this time, we can flexibly conduct high sell-low buy operations within the price range of 107600 to 106500. But be sure to pay attention, don't be too aggressive! It is recommended that the fluctuation range for each trade should not exceed 600 points, so that we can control the risk. The market changes quickly, and it is better for us to earn a little less than to take risks. Steady operations and securing profits is the hard truth! #美国加征关税 #币安Alpha上新 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数 #香港加密概念股 #上市公司山寨币财库 $BTC $ETH $XRP

Saturday, June 28: Latest Bitcoin Market Analysis

The market narrowed down overnight, with prices fluctuating within a tight range. Last night's news was sparse, market sentiment remained stable, and price volatility was limited, maintaining a consolidation pattern.

The chart continues to show a downward channel, with the 4-hour MACD showing a bearish crossover below zero. A weak rebound after three consecutive bullish candles is facing pressure at the middle Bollinger Band, and key resistance has not been broken, with bears in control. The operational advice remains to short at high levels; avoid bottom fishing before any breakdown, but chase momentum if resistance is broken.

Short Bitcoin near 107,300, targeting 106,000.
Short Ethereum near 2,450, targeting 2,380. #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场回调 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数 #香港加密概念股 #上市公司山寨币财库 $BTC $ETH $XRP

The points publicly given by BTC were shared in advance, nailing it at 1300 points! Yumo provides fans not just this little bit, but has always been there!

Remember Yumo's words, do not be too greedy! Opportunities are always there! #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场回调 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数 #香港加密概念股 #上市公司山寨币财库 $BTC $ETH $XRP

Friday, June 27: Latest Bitcoin Market Analysis

In the early hours, the Bitcoin price once again tested the 107971 line before quickly retreating, indicating strong resistance above, and the bearish sentiment is strong. The recent highs have also started to gradually lower compared to before, while the recent lows have dropped to around 106500. The market may likely exhibit a volatile downward trend.

From the observation of the four-hour K-line pattern, although the Bitcoin price showed a brief transition from bearish to bullish, this is very likely a bull trap in a downward trend. Last night, it seemed to form a long lower shadow “stop-loss” pattern after a drop, but in reality, it is a false bottom signal deliberately created by the main force, laying a foundation for further price suppression. Analyzing from the overall market perspective, the current Bitcoin price fluctuations are by no means a sign of bottoming out; rather, it indicates that the downward trend is gathering momentum. The price is oscillating around the middle Bollinger Band, essentially a desperate struggle of the bulls under the pressure of the bears. Technically, although there is some support at the 106500 line, the effectiveness of this support is precarious under the macroeconomic backdrop. Once the key support level of 106500 USD is breached, there will be no strong support points below, and the Bitcoin price may start a waterfall decline.

Bitcoin around 107200-107500 is expected to drop to 106000
Ethereum around 2420-2440 is expected to drop to 2320

Thursday, after a surge in the morning, it has pulled back! Bitcoin is currently fluctuating around the range of 106700-108000, which is not much different from the trading suggested in the morning. In the ten positions, a long and a short only captured a space of 1700 points, while Ethereum also harvested 71 points. #香港加密概念股 #上市公司山寨币财库 #下一任美联储主席人选 #币安Alpha上新 #币安钱包TGE $BTC $ETH $XRP

Today's market reflects the idea of cashing in on the rain, first looking for a rebound, then entering short positions with the trend! The K-line pattern has repeatedly shown long upper shadows, indicating that bulls have repeatedly attempted to push up but have failed each time. From a technical perspective, a strong resistance level has formed above the 108 mark, and every time the price touches this area, it quickly retreats, showing a clear sign of weak upward momentum. Although the price has briefly recaptured key levels multiple times during the day, it has never been able to stabilize effectively, indicating heavy selling pressure above. Analyzing the daily chart, it is highly likely that the market will continue to be under pressure and move downward. In terms of operations, a rebound is our opportunity to go short. #香港加密概念股 #上市公司山寨币财库 #下一任美联储主席人选 #币安Alpha上新 #币安钱包TGE $BTC $ETH $XRP

The current problem is that there are too many short positions.
Yesterday there were still 400 million shorts, now it's 1 billion.
The price hasn't changed much, but it has increased by 600 million, how can it go down.#香港加密概念股 #下一任美联储主席人选 #币安Alpha上新 #币安钱包TGE #币安HODLer空投SAHARA $BTC $ETH $XRP

Thursday, June 26, Bitcoin Latest Market Analysis

The daily K-line reached a high of 108,000 and a low of 105,200. Bitcoin has broken through the important resistance level of 106,800 mentioned earlier. The EMA trend indicator has shifted from a contracting bearish phase to a bullish divergence trend. The MACD shows a decrease in volume, and both DIF and DEA are contracting.
If it breaks through 109,000 again, there is a high probability that the bullish trend will start to challenge 110,000, but if it doesn't break the key resistance level, the bearish trend will continue. Therefore, it's essential to pay attention to the changes in trading volume at this point. The market has reached this moment, and compared to the bullish trend, the space for the bullish trend is much smaller. To be prudent, it is safest to wait for high positions to trade!

Operation Suggestions:
BTC rebound within the 108,000-108,500 range to sell, target 106,500; if it breaks down, continue to look at 105,000.
ETH rebound within the 2,440-2,470 range to sell, target 2,350; if it breaks down, continue to look at 2,230.

Wednesday, June 25th, Bitcoin Latest Market Analysis
Yesterday's overall trend was still a tug-of-war with frequent fluctuations, where there was strength but a lack of continuity, and the fundamentals were quite frequent, most of which did not have continuity. The night was similar, as market inflation was recovering, but the Federal Reserve was still playing Tai Chi, refusing to lower interest rates. They kept emphasizing the uncertainty brought by tariffs, and we still need to wait. So returning to the trend structure, the tug-of-war has no continuity; after the rise, there may be resistance nearby.

In the morning, the range was around 106100 to 106500; watching around 103200 for potential fluctuations.