Timeframe: 1W (Weekly) | Current Price: $90,000
📊 Technical Analysis: Higher Lows Define the Uptrend
Based on the 1-Week price action,
$BTC is exhibiting classic higher highs and higher lows, defining a strong, intact macro-bullish structure. The current pullback is a re-test of this multi-month trend.
The Bullish Structure (Higher Lows):
| Previous High | Subsequent Low (Key Support) |
|---|---|
| $73,777 | $49,000 |
| $109,588 | $74,508 |
| $126,199 (ATH) | $80,600 (Current Major Support) |
The current low near $80,600 is the latest "Higher Low" in this cycle. Trading at $90,000, the price is now finding support and consolidating above this crucial level, which coincides perfectly with the ascending channel floor seen in the chart.
* Actionable Insight: As long as the price holds above the $80,600 pivot, the bias is overwhelmingly bullish, suggesting the correction is nearing its end and a move back toward the all-time high of $126,199 is the next target.
* Contingency: A drop below $80,600 would be a significant structural break. In this scenario, the next major historical support sits at $74,508. However, the strength of the current consolidation makes this a low-probability event right now.
📰 Fundamental Review: Institutional Tailwinds & Liquidity
The underlying fundamentals for #Bitcoin in this cycle remain exceptionally strong, supporting the bullish technical structure:
* Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows: Sustained, massive inflows from institutional investors (Pension Funds, Wealth Managers) via approved Spot ETFs continue to act as a significant and sustained demand shock on the limited supply of #BTC .
* Global Liquidity Expansion: Global monetary policy trends, specifically central bank money supply expansion (the "Liquidity Wave"), tend to favor deflationary assets like Bitcoin, positioning it as a hedge against fiat debasement.
* Regulatory Clarity: Increasing global regulatory clarity, particularly in major jurisdictions like the US (with the recent approval of federally regulated spot trading and progress on market structure bills), drastically reduces risk for large institutional capital, encouraging further adoption.
* Post-Halving Dynamics: The supply shock from the last Halving event is still being fully priced in, creating upward pressure as miner rewards decrease and demand increases.
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