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لماذا لايوجد سعر موحد للفضة... من يحدد السعر الحقيقي عالميًا؟
فضة بسعرين في وقت واحد… إلى متى يستطيع السعر الورقي تجاهل الواقع؟
مع بداية عام 2026، لم تعد الفضة مجرد معدن ثمين يتقلب مع الأخبار، بل تحولت إلى مرآة تكشف خللًا عميقًا في آلية التسعير العالمية.
في يوم واحد فقط، رأينا مشهدًا غير مسبوق:
الفضة تلامس 122 دولارًا للأونصةثم تهبط بسرعة إلى نحو 84 دولارًا
لكن المفاجأة الأكبر لم تكن في الهبوط…
بل في أين بقي السعر مرتفعًا، وأين انهار.
سوق واحد… وسعران مختلفان للفضة
في نهاية يناير 2026، كان المعدن نفسه يُتداول في سوقين رئيسيين بسعرين متباعدين بشكل صادم:
شنغهاي: قرابة 122 دولارًا للأونصةكومكس (أميركا): نحو 84 دولارًا للأونصة
أي بفارق يقارب 38 دولارًا
أكثر من 45٪ فرق سعري في اللحظة نفسها.
هذا ليس خللًا تقنيًا…
بل نتيجة اختلاف جذري في طبيعة التسعير.
شنغهاي: عندما يتكلم المعدن الحقيقي
في سوق شنغهاي للذهب والفضة، التسليم الفعلي هو الأساس.
المشترون صناعيون ومستثمرون يريدون المعدن الآن، وليس ورقة تعدهم به لاحقًا.
لهذا:
السعر يعكس الطلب الحقيقيالعلاوة السعرية تعكس شح المعروضمن يريد الفضة… يدفع أكثر ويحصل عليها فورًا
ظهور علاوة مرتفعة هنا يعني شيئًا واحدًا:
الفضة غير متوفرة بما يكفي.
كومكس: السعر الذي تصنعه العقود لا السبائك
في الجهة المقابلة، تعتمد بورصة كومكس الأميركية على العقود الورقية.
الرقم الصادم:
أكثر من 350 عقدًا ورقيًا مقابل أونصة واحدة فقط من الفضة الفعلية
ما الذي يعنيه ذلك؟
عرض ورقي ضخم يمكن بيعه بضغطة زرضغط اصطناعي على السعرلا حاجة لتوفير المعدن فعليًا
ببساطة:
يمكن بيع الفضة مئات المرات… من دون أن تتحرك أونصة واحدة.
النتيجة: فجوة تكشف الحقيقة
هذه الفجوة ليست رقمًا عابرًا،
بل إشارة إنذار.
ماذا يعني هذا الفارق فعليًا؟
1️⃣ ندرة حقيقية
علاوة شنغهاي المرتفعة تعني أن السوق الفعلي يعاني نقصًا حقيقيًا في الفضة.
2️⃣ تسعير غير متوازن
الأسواق الورقية قادرة على كبح السعر حتى مع ازدياد الطلب الحقيقي.
3️⃣ خطر ضغط التسليم
إذا طالب عدد كافٍ من حاملي العقود بالتحويل الفعلي، قد نرى اضطرابًا عنيفًا في التسعير.
الخلاصة
فارق الـ 38 دولارًا للأونصة بين شنغهاي وكومكس ليس تقلبًا عاديًا،
بل تشققًا واضحًا بين السعر الورقي والقيمة الحقيقية.
الأسواق التي تعتمد على التسليم الفعلي ترسل رسالة واضحة:
الفضة نادرة… والسعر الحقيقي أعلى مما تعكسه الشاشات الغربية
أما السؤال الأهم الذي تطرحه الأيام القادمة:
إلى متى يستطيع السعر الورقي تجاهل الواقع؟
#WhoIsNextFedChair #MarketCorrection #silver $XAG
مع بداية عام 2026، لم تعد الفضة مجرد معدن ثمين يتقلب مع الأخبار، بل تحولت إلى مرآة تكشف خللًا عميقًا في آلية التسعير العالمية.
في يوم واحد فقط، رأينا مشهدًا غير مسبوق:
الفضة تلامس 122 دولارًا للأونصةثم تهبط بسرعة إلى نحو 84 دولارًا
لكن المفاجأة الأكبر لم تكن في الهبوط…
بل في أين بقي السعر مرتفعًا، وأين انهار.
سوق واحد… وسعران مختلفان للفضة
في نهاية يناير 2026، كان المعدن نفسه يُتداول في سوقين رئيسيين بسعرين متباعدين بشكل صادم:
شنغهاي: قرابة 122 دولارًا للأونصةكومكس (أميركا): نحو 84 دولارًا للأونصة
أي بفارق يقارب 38 دولارًا
أكثر من 45٪ فرق سعري في اللحظة نفسها.
هذا ليس خللًا تقنيًا…
بل نتيجة اختلاف جذري في طبيعة التسعير.
شنغهاي: عندما يتكلم المعدن الحقيقي
في سوق شنغهاي للذهب والفضة، التسليم الفعلي هو الأساس.
المشترون صناعيون ومستثمرون يريدون المعدن الآن، وليس ورقة تعدهم به لاحقًا.
لهذا:
السعر يعكس الطلب الحقيقيالعلاوة السعرية تعكس شح المعروضمن يريد الفضة… يدفع أكثر ويحصل عليها فورًا
ظهور علاوة مرتفعة هنا يعني شيئًا واحدًا:
الفضة غير متوفرة بما يكفي.
كومكس: السعر الذي تصنعه العقود لا السبائك
في الجهة المقابلة، تعتمد بورصة كومكس الأميركية على العقود الورقية.
الرقم الصادم:
أكثر من 350 عقدًا ورقيًا مقابل أونصة واحدة فقط من الفضة الفعلية
ما الذي يعنيه ذلك؟
عرض ورقي ضخم يمكن بيعه بضغطة زرضغط اصطناعي على السعرلا حاجة لتوفير المعدن فعليًا
ببساطة:
يمكن بيع الفضة مئات المرات… من دون أن تتحرك أونصة واحدة.
النتيجة: فجوة تكشف الحقيقة
هذه الفجوة ليست رقمًا عابرًا،
بل إشارة إنذار.
ماذا يعني هذا الفارق فعليًا؟
1️⃣ ندرة حقيقية
علاوة شنغهاي المرتفعة تعني أن السوق الفعلي يعاني نقصًا حقيقيًا في الفضة.
2️⃣ تسعير غير متوازن
الأسواق الورقية قادرة على كبح السعر حتى مع ازدياد الطلب الحقيقي.
3️⃣ خطر ضغط التسليم
إذا طالب عدد كافٍ من حاملي العقود بالتحويل الفعلي، قد نرى اضطرابًا عنيفًا في التسعير.
الخلاصة
فارق الـ 38 دولارًا للأونصة بين شنغهاي وكومكس ليس تقلبًا عاديًا،
بل تشققًا واضحًا بين السعر الورقي والقيمة الحقيقية.
الأسواق التي تعتمد على التسليم الفعلي ترسل رسالة واضحة:
الفضة نادرة… والسعر الحقيقي أعلى مما تعكسه الشاشات الغربية
أما السؤال الأهم الذي تطرحه الأيام القادمة:
إلى متى يستطيع السعر الورقي تجاهل الواقع؟
#WhoIsNextFedChair #MarketCorrection #silver $XAG
gusticripto:
Cadorna……lo que se les ocurre
While fund traders keep flipping paper contracts, the real market tells a very different story. Physical silver isn’t moving the way charts suggest.
Go and try buying actual silver today. You won’t find it anywhere near $130 an ounce. That gap alone shows how disconnected paper pricing has become from real supply and demand.
Paper markets can be pushed around, but physical metal doesn’t lie. You can trade numbers all day, but you can’t create real silver when people want it in their hands.
That’s why physical assets still matter. When confidence in paper fades, reality shows up fast — and those holding real metal already understand that.
#silver #gold #physicalassets #realvalue #silvermarket #wealthpreservation
$XAG
Go and try buying actual silver today. You won’t find it anywhere near $130 an ounce. That gap alone shows how disconnected paper pricing has become from real supply and demand.
Paper markets can be pushed around, but physical metal doesn’t lie. You can trade numbers all day, but you can’t create real silver when people want it in their hands.
That’s why physical assets still matter. When confidence in paper fades, reality shows up fast — and those holding real metal already understand that.
#silver #gold #physicalassets #realvalue #silvermarket #wealthpreservation
$XAG
#Bullion 🩸#silver #Gold
Bullion bloodbath in gold and silver today happened due to a strong US dollar and rising bond yields, which pushed investors away from safe-haven metals.
Hawkish Fed expectations triggered aggressive selling and profit-booking after the recent rally.
A technical breakdown of key support levels accelerated stop-loss selling in one session.
Bullion bloodbath in gold and silver today happened due to a strong US dollar and rising bond yields, which pushed investors away from safe-haven metals.
Hawkish Fed expectations triggered aggressive selling and profit-booking after the recent rally.
A technical breakdown of key support levels accelerated stop-loss selling in one session.
Gold's Record-Breaking Rally
$XAU Current Price Levels
- Gold has surged above $5,500/oz for the first time in history
- Silver has reached $120/oz, also hitting record highs
- Gold has extended its rally past $5,300/oz and is approaching $5,600
Key Drivers Behind the Surge
1. Weak US Dollar: The dollar hitting four-year lows is "supercharging" the gold rally
2. Geopolitical Tensions: Rising US-Iran tensions and global uncertainties fueling safe-haven demand
3. Federal Reserve Policy: Market expectations of rate cuts despite some hawkish Fed chair speculation
4. Currency Debasement Fears: Concerns about dollar weakness and central bank independence
Market Sentiment & Analyst Views
- UBS sees $5,000 gold by Q3 2026, with potential for $5,400 if US risks rise
- Citigroup projected $5,000/oz by March but warned of vulnerability to correction afterward
- Some economists like William Lee warn the "sharp rise looks like a bubble"
- Fed Chair Powell has downplayed the metal rally, suggesting not to read too much into it
Performance Context
- Gold is set for its best month since 1980-1982
- The rally is described as "breathtaking and profoundly scary" by market observers
- Silver has shown even stronger performance with triple-digit prices
The precious metals market is experiencing unprecedented momentum driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors and safe-haven demand, though some analysts caution about potential bubble dynamics at these elevated levels.#GoldOnTheRise #silver #USIranStandoff #WhoIsNextFedChair #PreciousMetalsTurbulence
- Gold has surged above $5,500/oz for the first time in history
- Silver has reached $120/oz, also hitting record highs
- Gold has extended its rally past $5,300/oz and is approaching $5,600
Key Drivers Behind the Surge
1. Weak US Dollar: The dollar hitting four-year lows is "supercharging" the gold rally
2. Geopolitical Tensions: Rising US-Iran tensions and global uncertainties fueling safe-haven demand
3. Federal Reserve Policy: Market expectations of rate cuts despite some hawkish Fed chair speculation
4. Currency Debasement Fears: Concerns about dollar weakness and central bank independence
Market Sentiment & Analyst Views
- UBS sees $5,000 gold by Q3 2026, with potential for $5,400 if US risks rise
- Citigroup projected $5,000/oz by March but warned of vulnerability to correction afterward
- Some economists like William Lee warn the "sharp rise looks like a bubble"
- Fed Chair Powell has downplayed the metal rally, suggesting not to read too much into it
Performance Context
- Gold is set for its best month since 1980-1982
- The rally is described as "breathtaking and profoundly scary" by market observers
- Silver has shown even stronger performance with triple-digit prices
The precious metals market is experiencing unprecedented momentum driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors and safe-haven demand, though some analysts caution about potential bubble dynamics at these elevated levels.#GoldOnTheRise #silver #USIranStandoff #WhoIsNextFedChair #PreciousMetalsTurbulence
WHY I’M DIVING DEEP INTO$XAG SILVER & $XAU GOLD
Usually I’m all about geopolitical angles, not pure macro.
But right now, SILVER and GOLD are weapons — especially for China & the BRICS alliance.
While the West talks fiscal policy and rate cuts…
The global majority is quietly hoarding physical precious metals.
Massive trade surpluses + recycled USD = gold & silver accumulation at scale.
This isn’t just treasury strategy — it’s economic warfare.
Before any literal shots are fired,
the macro metal battle might already be decided.
Gold & silver are not side assets —
they’re front‑line pieces in the new global financial chess match.
#GOLD #silver #TrendingTopic
Usually I’m all about geopolitical angles, not pure macro.
But right now, SILVER and GOLD are weapons — especially for China & the BRICS alliance.
While the West talks fiscal policy and rate cuts…
The global majority is quietly hoarding physical precious metals.
Massive trade surpluses + recycled USD = gold & silver accumulation at scale.
This isn’t just treasury strategy — it’s economic warfare.
Before any literal shots are fired,
the macro metal battle might already be decided.
Gold & silver are not side assets —
they’re front‑line pieces in the new global financial chess match.
#GOLD #silver #TrendingTopic
🚨 MAJOR MARKET DECLINE ACROSS ASSETS.
#GOLD has dropped 8.2%, reducing its total market value by nearly $3 trillion.
Silver has fallen 12.2%, shedding approximately $760 billion in market capitalization.
The S&P 500 is down 1.23%, erasing around $780 billion in value.
The Nasdaq has declined more than 2.5%, with roughly $760 billion wiped out.
Trillions in value have been lost across precious metals and equities in just the past hour.
#gold #silver $XAU
#GOLD has dropped 8.2%, reducing its total market value by nearly $3 trillion.
Silver has fallen 12.2%, shedding approximately $760 billion in market capitalization.
The S&P 500 is down 1.23%, erasing around $780 billion in value.
The Nasdaq has declined more than 2.5%, with roughly $760 billion wiped out.
Trillions in value have been lost across precious metals and equities in just the past hour.
#gold #silver $XAU
SOLUSDT
Perp.
80X
Apertura long
PnL no realizado
-0,31USDT
$XAG #silver After hitting an all-time high of $117, it has broken down to $99 today, showing consistent bearish momentum. #Write2Earn
This decline may continue further 📉 @CZ @币安中文社区
This decline may continue further 📉 @CZ @币安中文社区
Feed-Creator-583627120462df90dfa4:
什么原因下跌呢？
-17% Серебро вместе с другими металлами сделало крутое пике вниз😳
Все ожидали очередной эскалации на Ближнем Востоке, но похоже пока отсрочка/отмена?!
Надеюсь никто в позиции не сидел на ночь глядя?) Я как чувствовал, закрыл на всякий последнюю, с самого утра зашел и начал искать точку входа.
99-100$ считаю отличным вариантом, как на споте так и фьючи, но как всегда соблюдаем риск менеджмент - не более 5% вашего депозита!
P.S. Свой профит на сегодня уже забрал)
$XAG #silver #profit
Все ожидали очередной эскалации на Ближнем Востоке, но похоже пока отсрочка/отмена?!
Надеюсь никто в позиции не сидел на ночь глядя?) Я как чувствовал, закрыл на всякий последнюю, с самого утра зашел и начал искать точку входа.
99-100$ считаю отличным вариантом, как на споте так и фьючи, но как всегда соблюдаем риск менеджмент - не более 5% вашего депозита!
P.S. Свой профит на сегодня уже забрал)
$XAG #silver #profit
🚨 WHY SILVER IS SURGING 🚨
$CLANKER $ENSO $BULLA
Silver is making an unprecedented move. This isn’t hype or speculation—it’s the result of real shortages, rising industrial demand, and a paper market under stress.
✔️For five years, global demand has exceeded supply, draining inventories and removing any buffer. Nearly a full year of mine output is gone, so even small demand increases now hit hard.
China then tightened silver exports, cutting global availability. Physical silver inside China began trading at premiums, forcing the rest of the world to compete for fewer ounces.
Meanwhile, industrial demand keeps climbing. Solar, AI, data centers, and power infrastructure all rely on silver, with no easy replacement.
As physical demand surged, the paper market cracked—too many claims, not enough real metal.
#GoldOnTheRise #silver
$CLANKER $ENSO $BULLA
Silver is making an unprecedented move. This isn’t hype or speculation—it’s the result of real shortages, rising industrial demand, and a paper market under stress.
✔️For five years, global demand has exceeded supply, draining inventories and removing any buffer. Nearly a full year of mine output is gone, so even small demand increases now hit hard.
China then tightened silver exports, cutting global availability. Physical silver inside China began trading at premiums, forcing the rest of the world to compete for fewer ounces.
Meanwhile, industrial demand keeps climbing. Solar, AI, data centers, and power infrastructure all rely on silver, with no easy replacement.
As physical demand surged, the paper market cracked—too many claims, not enough real metal.
#GoldOnTheRise #silver
⚠️ MARKET PULSE: Over $6Trillion wiped out from the entire markets in a single sell-off.
Gold: Erased $3 Trillion in minitue (-8.8%)
Silver: Dropped -12.21%
Bitcoin: Falls to $84,366
S&P 500: Loses over $1Trillion and down -2%
Total Crypto: Wiped out $112 Billion
#marketselloff #gold #silver #crypto
Gold: Erased $3 Trillion in minitue (-8.8%)
Silver: Dropped -12.21%
Bitcoin: Falls to $84,366
S&P 500: Loses over $1Trillion and down -2%
Total Crypto: Wiped out $112 Billion
#marketselloff #gold #silver #crypto
📊 Current Market Context:
$XAG has recently experienced high volatility after a historic rally to record levels, followed by a sharp pullback. Prices are reacting to broader macro forces and profit-taking after strong gains. 
📉 Price Action & Trend:
• Silver $XAG pulled back from recent highs near all-time peaks and is consolidating after the sharp move. 
• Technical structure still shows an overall bullish trend, but momentum has slowed and short-term support levels are being tested. 
📈 Key Technical Levels:
• Support zone: near trendline / rising demand zone around current levels. 
• Resistance: recent highs and record levels may cap upside before trend resumes. 
🧭 What’s Driving the Moves:
• Rapid rally attracted profit-taking and volatility after strong speculative activity. 
• Safe-haven demand mixed with industrial use influences sentiment. 
📌 Near-Term View:
Silver is in a consolidation / correction phase after strong gains. Bullish trend intact unless it breaks key support — keep an eye on the trendline and horizontal demand zones. 
⚠️ This is informational, not financial advice. Trade with risk management.
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #silver #MarketCorrection
$XAG has recently experienced high volatility after a historic rally to record levels, followed by a sharp pullback. Prices are reacting to broader macro forces and profit-taking after strong gains. 
📉 Price Action & Trend:
• Silver $XAG pulled back from recent highs near all-time peaks and is consolidating after the sharp move. 
• Technical structure still shows an overall bullish trend, but momentum has slowed and short-term support levels are being tested. 
📈 Key Technical Levels:
• Support zone: near trendline / rising demand zone around current levels. 
• Resistance: recent highs and record levels may cap upside before trend resumes. 
🧭 What’s Driving the Moves:
• Rapid rally attracted profit-taking and volatility after strong speculative activity. 
• Safe-haven demand mixed with industrial use influences sentiment. 
📌 Near-Term View:
Silver is in a consolidation / correction phase after strong gains. Bullish trend intact unless it breaks key support — keep an eye on the trendline and horizontal demand zones. 
⚠️ This is informational, not financial advice. Trade with risk management.
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #silver #MarketCorrection
Dear Binance Square Family member
Yesterday Crash alert
⚠️ MARKET PULSE: Over $6Trillion wiped out from the entire markets in a single sell-off.
Gold: Erased $3 Trillion in minitue (-8.8%)
Silver: Dropped -12.21%
Bitcoin: Falls to $84,366
S&P 500: Loses over $1Trillion and down -2%
Total Crypto: Wiped out $112 Billion
#MarketSellOff f #gold #silver #crypto #MarketCorrection
Yesterday Crash alert
⚠️ MARKET PULSE: Over $6Trillion wiped out from the entire markets in a single sell-off.
Gold: Erased $3 Trillion in minitue (-8.8%)
Silver: Dropped -12.21%
Bitcoin: Falls to $84,366
S&P 500: Loses over $1Trillion and down -2%
Total Crypto: Wiped out $112 Billion
#MarketSellOff f #gold #silver #crypto #MarketCorrection
The metals market is rewriting the history books. Gold ($XAU ) has shattered expectations, trading near $5,550, while Silver ($XAG ) has turned into "Gold on steroids," explosive past $120 per ounce.
Why the massive surge?$BTC
Trust Gap: Confidence in traditional paper currency is shaking as the USD weakens. Investors are fleeing to "hard assets" to escape debasement.
The Dual Threat: Silver isn't just a hedge; it’s an industrial powerhouse. Demand from AI, solar, and green tech is colliding with a 5-year supply deficit, creating a perfect storm.
#GOLD #silver #BTC
Why the massive surge?$BTC
Trust Gap: Confidence in traditional paper currency is shaking as the USD weakens. Investors are fleeing to "hard assets" to escape debasement.
The Dual Threat: Silver isn't just a hedge; it’s an industrial powerhouse. Demand from AI, solar, and green tech is colliding with a 5-year supply deficit, creating a perfect storm.
#GOLD #silver #BTC
⚠️ MARKET PULSE: Over $6Trillion wiped out from the entire markets in a single sell-off.
Gold: Erased $3 Trillion in minitue (-8.8%)
Silver: Dropped -12.21%
Bitcoin: Falls to $84,366
S&P 500: Loses over $1Trillion and down -2%
Total Crypto: Wiped out $112 Billion
#marketselloff #gold #silver #crypto $BTC $BNB $ETH
Gold: Erased $3 Trillion in minitue (-8.8%)
Silver: Dropped -12.21%
Bitcoin: Falls to $84,366
S&P 500: Loses over $1Trillion and down -2%
Total Crypto: Wiped out $112 Billion
#marketselloff #gold #silver #crypto $BTC $BNB $ETH
B
WLFI/USD1
Precio
0,1619
⚠️ MARKET PULSE: Over $6Trillion wiped out from the entire markets in a single sell-off.
Gold: Erased $3 Trillion in minitue (-8.8%)
Silver: Dropped -12.21%
Bitcoin: Falls to $84,366
S&P 500: Loses over $1Trillion and down -2%
Total Crypto: Wiped out $112 Billion
#MarketSellOff #gold #silver #crypto
Gold: Erased $3 Trillion in minitue (-8.8%)
Silver: Dropped -12.21%
Bitcoin: Falls to $84,366
S&P 500: Loses over $1Trillion and down -2%
Total Crypto: Wiped out $112 Billion
#MarketSellOff #gold #silver #crypto
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