trading

GM, and welcome to Day 31! ✨
Yesterday, we learned that volume confirms the strength behind a move. Today, we tackle one of the most frustrating parts of trading: seeing a price break out of a range, buying in excitement... and then watching it immediately reverse. You’re left holding a losing trade, wondering, “How could I have known that was fake?”
If you’ve ever asked yourself these questions, this post is for you. We’re going directly to the pain points.
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Your Top Breakout Questions, Answered
1. "Why do I keep getting caught in fakeouts?"
Answer:
Most likely, you’re buying the first touch of a new high. The moment price pierces a resistance level, FOMO kicks in. The market knows this and often creates a false move to trap emotional buyers before reversing. The solution is to wait for confirmation, not chase the initial spike.
2. "How long should I wait to see if it's real?"
Answer:
You’re not waiting for a specific time; you’re waiting for specific signals. A true breakout needs to prove itself. Give it at least a few candles (1-4 hours on an hourly chart) to see if it can hold above the breakout level and if volume supports it.
3. "What if I miss the move while waiting?"
Answer:
This is the critical mindset shift. It is better to miss a trade than to lose on a fakeout. Real breakouts start trends, not single candles. A strong move will give you a pullback or retest to enter. If there’s no retest and it just flies, that trade wasn’t yours—and chasing it is high risk.
4. "How do I know which resistance level is important?"
Answer:
The more times a price has tested a level (touched it and reversed), the stronger that level becomes. A level tested 3+ times is far more significant for a potential breakout than one touched only once. Focus on the levels with the most history.
5. "What's the #1 sign a breakout will fail?"
Answer:
Low Volume. It’s the most reliable warning. A price moving up on low volume is like a car accelerating with an empty gas tank—it will sputter out. No significant buying pressure = no sustained move.
6. "Is a long wick always bad on a breakout?"
Answer:
Almost always, yes. A long upper wick (a shooting star) at a breakout shows price was violently rejected higher. It means sellers aggressively defended that level. Unless accompanied by massive volume on the next candle that swallows the wick, treat it as a major fakeout signal.
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Your 3-Step "Real or Fake" Survival Checklist
To navigate this, use this simple filter. Do not buy until you can check at least 2 of these 3 boxes:
✅ BOX 1: The Volume Spike
· Is the volume on the breakout candle significantly higher than the recent average? This is non-negotiable for conviction.
✅ BOX 2: The Clean Close
· Did the breakout candle close FIRMLY above the resistance level? A close right at the line or with a long wick is weak.
✅ BOX 3: The Successful Retest
· After breaking out, does the price dip back to the old resistance (now new support) and bounce? This is the ultimate confirmation the level has flipped.
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Let’s Walk Through an Example
Say Ethereum has struggled below $3,500** for a week. A green candle pushes it to **$3,550.
The Wrong Move: Buy immediately at $3,550, driven by FOMO.
The Right Move: Pause. Ask:
1. Volume: Is the volume bar huge? (Check Box 1).
2. Close: Did it close near $3,550, or did it wick up to $3,600 and close at $3,520? (Check Box 2).
3. Retest: Can it hold above $3,500 over the next few hours, or does it fall back below? (Check Box 3).
If it passes the test, the retest dip becomes your high-confidence entry, not the initial spike.
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Today’s Big Takeaway: Trade the Confirmation, Not the Hype
Your goal is not to catch the very first pixel of a breakout. Your goal is to identify breakouts that have a high probability of continuing. This requires patience and a checklist.
The market will always present more opportunities. Protecting your capital from fakeouts is more important than catching every single move.
> > SAVE THIS 3-STEP CHECKLIST. <<
It is your shield against the most common and costly trading trap.
#Breakout #fakeout #trading #crypto

Technical analysis in trading is one of the most widely used methods for analyzing financial markets. Whether you trade cryptocurrencies, stocks, forex, or commodities, technical analysis helps traders make informed decisions based on price behavior and market psychology, rather than news or financial statements.
In this in-depth guide, you’ll learn:
What technical analysis really is (and what it is not)The core principles behind itThe most important tools and indicatorsHow professionals combine technical analysis with risk managementCommon beginner mistakes and how to avoid them
This article is designed to give you practical understanding, not just definitions.
What Is Technical Analysis in Trading? (Simple Definition)
Technical analysis is the study of price movements, volume, and market structure using charts and indicators to predict potential future price behavior.
Instead of asking:
“What is this asset worth?”
Technical analysts ask:
“What is price doing right now, and what is it likely to do next?”
Technical analysis assumes that:
All known information is already reflected in pricePrice moves in trendsMarket behavior repeats due to human psychology
This makes technical analysis especially powerful in highly liquid and speculative markets, such as crypto and forex.
Core Principles of Technical Analysis
Understanding these principles is essential before using any indicators.
Price Discounts EverythingAll news, emotions, fundamentals, and expectations are already reflected in the current price.Price Moves in TrendsMarkets do not move randomly. They tend to trend:-Uptrend-Downtrend-Sideways (range)History Tends to Repeat ItselfHuman behavior creates recurring patterns—fear, greed, panic, and euphoria show up repeatedly on charts.
Technical Analysis vs Fundamental Analysis

Many professional traders combine both, but technical analysis dominates entry and exit timing.
Types of Technical Analysis
Price Action Trading
Price action focuses on raw price movement, without heavy indicator use.
Key elements:
Candlestick patternsMarket structureSupport and resistanceTrendlines
This approach is popular because it:
Reduces noiseImproves decision clarityWorks across all markets
Indicator-Based Technical Analysis
Indicators are mathematical calculations based on price and volume.
Common categories:
Trend indicators (Moving Averages, MACD)Momentum indicators (RSI, Stochastic)Volatility indicators (Bollinger Bands)Volume indicators (Volume Profile, OBV)

This concludes our discussion of analysis. In a future post, we will explain candlestick patterns, indicators, etc.
Conclusion
Why Technical Analysis Is a Core Skill for Traders
Technical analysis is not just a trading method—it’s a framework for understanding market behavior.
By learning how price moves, trends form, and emotions repeat, traders gain:
ClarityStructureDisciplineA repeatable decision-making process
Whether you trade crypto, forex, or stocks, technical analysis is a non-negotiable skill.
#trading #FedWatch #ClawdbotTakesSiliconValley

#trading Strategies (24-Hour Plan)
Based on analysis of current market data.
(There can be no 100% accurate price predictions on the cryptocurrency market due to its high volatility and specific influencing factors. Remember this!)

$WAL ( @Walrus 🦭/acc )

Current Status: The chart shows consolidation following a significant drop (from $0.17 to $0.124). The price is attempting to stabilize above the EMA(12) on the 1-hour timeframe.Trading Plan:Entry: $0.1235 – $0.1245 (current support zone).Target (Take Profit): $0.1310 (first resistance) and $0.1370 if volume increases.Stop-Loss: $0.1160 (below the local minimum).News: #walrus - The resumption of deposits on Upbit and integration with the Myriad protocol provide a positive fundamental backdrop for a rebound.

$VANRY ( @Vanarchain )

Current Status: The 4-hour chart displays a steady recovery from the local bottom of $0.0070. An RSI of 64 indicates buyer strength, though it is approaching overbought territory.Trading Plan:Entry: On a slight pullback to $0.00760 – $0.00770.Target (Take Profit): $0.00820 and an ambitious target of $0.00850.Stop-Loss: $0.00740.News: #vanar - The launch of the Kayon AI infrastructure and the network's use for asset tokenization in the EV (VAN) sector make the project fundamentally robust.

$DUSK ( @Dusk )

Current Status: Following a -7% correction, the price has stabilized in the $0.16 – $0.17 range. On the daily chart, the trend remains bullish, supported by the EMA(25).Trading Plan:Entry: $0.1650 – $0.1670.Target (Take Profit): $0.1850 and a return to $0.2100 given a positive market sentiment.Stop-Loss: $0.1510.News: #dusk The partnership with Chainlink (CCIP) for the tokenization of €300M in assets alongside the NPEX exchange is the primary growth driver.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.