$BTC 📊 $65,621 | 24h Vol $7.85B | 4h MACD +121.9 (Bullish)
🕊️ US-IRAN PEACE DEAL REACHED – Trump, Iran, Pakistan confirm. Oil -5% ($80.58), Gold +1.94%. Major risk-on event. BTC broke $65k.
🏦 ETF: 14-day outflow streak ends. June 12 net inflow +$85.85M (IBIT $57.7M, FBTC $18M). But $4.4B outflow in 14 days. Reversal not confirmed.
🐋 WHALES: Mixed signals. Exchange inflows from 100-10k BTC wallets spiked (avg 3,200 BTC/day, +160%). $2.5B realized losses. Short-term whales sitting on $16B unrealized losses – capitulation phase. Meanwhile, others accumulating off exchanges.
⛏️ MINERS: Difficulty dropped 10.09% (2nd largest of 2026). Hashprice recovering toward $30. Lifeline for surviving miners. Bullish long-term.
😱 SENTIMENT: Fear & Greed at 16 (Extreme Fear) – 10th day. MVRV Z-score 0.34 (undervalued). Realized price bottom ~$53,500.
⚠️ FOMC: June 16-17. Kevin Warsh's first meeting. Rate policy uncertainty caps upside.
📈 LEVELS: Resistance $65,880 → $70,000 | Support $65k → $64k → $63.6k
📌 STRATEGY: Flat until FOMC passes.
- Long above $70,000 (4h close, volume >10K BTC/h) → $72k – $75k, SL $68k
- Short below $63,500 → $61k – $60k, SL $65k
- Long-term DCA: $60k – $53.5k zone
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