btcusd

btc 符合我们这一个月的预期，我们也在78900 平了所有空单，最近不管是白黄市场 还是btc市场 波动都起来了，这个位置我们说过有两种情况，第一是假突破，第二是真突破，我们暂时无法判定是否是其中的哪个，不过我过个人倾向假，但是也不能先入为主。我们这几天会尝试几次短线，多空有机会都会做。可能存在尝试和磨损。
eth一发入魂，直接到我们2370-2150之间 昨天的日线和周线 月k都不咋地 我还是倾向可能会去2140以下。
#ZECUSDT zec 之前这个下降趋势下轨 我标红是因为我不确定是不是这个通道 目前看是刚好，底部暂时不清楚 我觉得哪怕btc反转了 才能轮到山寨季 他基本上晚于btc eth 所以 抄底山寨我们等btc彻底反转吧
sol 也是关键位置 下面是88-81
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The nomination of Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell has sent shockwaves through the more speculative corners of the market. While stocks saw a modest dip, Crypto and Commodities experienced a violent "regime change" correction as investors recalibrated for a post-Powell era.
Crypto: The "Golden Age" Interrupted
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, which had been pricing in a "crypto-friendly" Fed under the Trump administration, faced a harsh reality check.
* Bitcoin (BTC): After flirting with all-time highs above $120,000 earlier in the season, BTC plummeted toward the $78,000 – $82,000 range. Nearly $1.6 billion in leveraged long positions were liquidated in 24 hours.
* The "Warsh Hawk" Factor: Warsh is viewed as a monetary disciplinarian. His historical skepticism of private digital assets—once calling them "software pretending to be money"—has dampened hopes for an immediate "Bitcoin Reserve" or ultra-loose liquidity.
* Ethereum & Altcoins: ETH fell below $2,500, while high-beta altcoins like Solana and Cardano saw double-digit percentage drops as liquidity was sucked back into the strengthening U.S. Dollar.
Commodities: The Great Unwind
The "debasement trade"—the bet that the dollar would lose value—crumbled instantly as Warsh was named. This triggered a historic sell-off in industrial and precious commodities.
1. Precious Metals Meltdown
Gold and silver suffered their worst single-day performance in decades.
* Gold: Dropped from its peak of $5,600 to roughly $5,100.
* Silver: Experienced a "flash crash," dropping nearly 30% in a single session to hover around $83–$99. The market was extremely overbought, and the Warsh news acted as the pin that popped the bubble.
2. Energy & Industrial Metals
* Crude Oil: Prices softened toward $65.00 a barrel. While geopolitical tensions remain, the prospect of a "smaller Fed footprint" and higher real interest rates suggests slower global demand.
* Copper: Often seen as a barometer for the global economy, copper fell alongside silver as traders feared that "tight money" Warsh would prioritize a strong dollar over commodity-driven inflation.
Market Sentiment: The "Warsh-Wash"
The market is currently undergoing what analysts call a "Warsh-Wash"—clearing out speculative froth.
| Asset Category | Impact | Outlook (Next 90 Days) |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | Bearish | Consolidation near $75k support. |
| Gold | Neutral | Finding a new floor; safe-haven demand remains. |
| Silver | Volatile | Major "flush out" of retail traders; high risk. |
| U.S. Dollar | Bullish | Rebounding as the "Warsh Fed" promises stability. |
Analyst Take: "The Powell era was defined by 'Lower for Longer' and massive balance sheets. Warsh represents a return to 'Rules-Based' policy. For crypto and commodities, the free-money party is officially over, but the structural bull market for the 'real economy' may just be starting."
Would you like me to generate a chart-style image showing these price drops, or perhaps an analysis of which "Warsh-proof" assets are currently holding their value?
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