icrypto

Funding rates at 2023 lows signal the market is heavily short against bitcoin, ZeroStack's Daniel Reis-Faria says, setting up conditions for a forced unwind if prices push higher.
The MSCI All Country World Index closed at a record high Thursday before slipping 0.1% in Asia. The S&P 500 also hit an all-time high. Brent crude fell 1.2% to $98.20 after President Donald Trump said prospects for a permanent Iran ceasefire were "looking very good."
Trump claimed, without evidence, that Tehran had agreed to give up its nuclear ambitions, turn over nuclear material, and reopen the Strait of Hormuz as part of the deal. Iran has not confirmed those concessions.
A 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon was announced separately on Thursday, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu confirming the truce in a video message. Markets are trading the headlines as if the deal is closer than it is, which is part of why equities have unwound most of the war premium while crude remains near $98 and the Strait of Hormuz is still effectively shut.
However, the setup underneath the flat bitcoin price action is what some traders are paying attention to.
Bitcoin perpetual funding rates have turned deeply negative in recent sessions, reaching levels last seen in 2023. Funding is the periodic payment perpetual futures traders exchange with each other to keep contract prices aligned with spot. When it goes negative, shorts are paying longs, which only happens when the market is heavily positioned against price.
Funding rates this negative tell you the market is heavily short," Daniel Reis-Faria, CEO of ZeroStack, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. "If Bitcoin continues to move higher despite that, a lot of those positions could get liquidated, and the move can accelerate quickly."
Reis-Faria expects bitcoin could reach $125,000 in the next 30 to 60 days if the short base gets squeezed out.
The contrarian read from on-chain analyst CryptoVizArt is that bitcoin's "True Market Mean," a metric that estimates the average cost basis of active investors by filtering out lost and dormant coins, suggests the average active holder is currently underwater.
Since 2016, meaningful stretches below the True Market Mean have aligned with bitcoin's worst periods, including the 2018-19 bear (-57% max drawdown, 282 days) and the 2022-23 unwind after the Luna and FTX collapses (-56%, 339 days).
The two reads do not have to be in conflict. A short squeeze from negative funding and a structural drawdown from underwater holders can both be true, with the former triggering the kind of outsized rally that ultimately gets sold into by the latter.
Which scenario dominates likely depends on whether the U.S.-Iran ceasefire extension holds past next week.
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*À partir du 14/04/2026, la PRER sera progressivement introduite afin d’assurer une transition fluide et sans accroc. Pour plus d’informations, veuillez consulter cette page. 

Chers Binanciens, Chères Binanciennes,

Afin d’éviter que les ordres des utilisateurs ne soient exécutés à des prix anormaux dans des conditions de marché extrêmes, Binance introduit une fonctionnalité qui permet l’exécution des ordres uniquement dans une fourchette de prix dynamique. À partir du 14/04/2026, la règle d’exécution Spot dans une fourchette de prix (PRER) sera progressivement introduite afin de contribuer à garantir que le trading s’effectue à des prix reflétant un marché équitable et ordonné.

Ce mécanisme limite l'exécution des ordres dans ces limites de prix, empêchant les exécutions lorsque les prix s’écartent de manière significative en raison d’une activité anormale du marché. Dans des conditions de prix de marché normales, ce mécanisme n’affectera pas les transactions quotidiennes.
Principales caractéristiques de la règle d’exécution Spot dans une fourchette de prix
Tout ordre agissant en tant que taker dont le prix d’exécution se situe en dehors de la fourchette de prix définie sera automatiquement annulé.
Ce mécanisme vise à protéger le marché contre des variations de prix brusques et significatives.
Il garantit également des conditions de marché équitables et ordonnées, notamment en période de forte volatilité.

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#freedomofmoney #Binance #ICP. #icrypto #InvestSmart

1. “#icrypto $2M per ship × 130 ships daily”
That would requireUSDT#UNIUSDT full normal traffic
Reality: traffic is heavily restricted due to conflict
Actual revenue estimate:
~$645 million/month (best-case scenario) �
MarketWatch
NOT trillions or crazy Bitcoin-scale accumulation

Today’s breaking news
shows that Iran is requiring cryptocurrency — especially Bitcoin — as payment for oil tankers passing through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz. ⛴️💰 Under this new policy, vessels must pay approximately $1 per barrel in Bitcoin or stablecoins, a measure justified to monitor shipments and enforce security during the fragile ceasefire with the United States. ⚖️🇮🇷 Ships must submit details in advance and settle crypto fees before passage, while ignoring the rules may lead to warnings of possible military action. ⚠️💣

This development highlights a major shift in how a sovereign nation can use digital assets to bypass traditional banking systems and international sanctions, integrating crypto into real-world trade infrastructure at a large scale. 🌐💸 Analysts and traders are debating the legal and technical feasibility of this move, including concerns about Bitcoin’s settlement speed, while market reactions remain mixed due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. 📉📊
#Geopolitics #Strait_of_Hormuz #icrypto

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$ENJ
$DOLO