$BTC

Here’s the scenario I’m watching over the next 7 days.

There’s a big liquidity cluster sitting above pwH around 78.2k, and in my opinion, it doesn’t get front-run. Most CT “normies” are eyeing that 78k breakout thinking price will instantly send to 86k once it clears.
I see it differently.

To me, that move looks more like a bearish retest than the start of a real breakout.
Does that mean we never revisit 78–80k?
Not at all.

The key level I’m focused on is 79k, but I don’t think we head there immediately. First, I expect price to sweep pwL around 74.3k, then push into the 79–80k region.

What happens above 79k will be very important because that’s where we’ll find out if price is truly heading for the mH sweep or not.

I’ve been calling for the 82.8k mH sweep for over a week now, and I still believe we tap that level before the real top forms and the larger dump begins.

Another reason I lean bearish longer term: BTC has never closed 3 consecutive green monthly candles before. That’s why I think price eventually closes back below mO, then retests the highs again next month to properly form the macro top.

I’ll revisit this post once we’re back below 75k.

And if you believe we’re about to follow the “straight to 86k” normie playbook instead.

Counter-trade me, post your setup, and tag me.

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