$XRP Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto (@Steph_iscrypto) has identified a confluence of technical signals on XRP that has appeared at every major bear market low in the asset’s history.

Sentiment is at its most negative in months after a decline in early June, but the setup is drawing attention from traders who follow higher-period analysis.

The core of the analysis centers on the Gaussian channel, a momentum indicator that classifies price action as bullish or bearish based on its position within the channel’s range. On the two-week chart, XRP is currently sitting at the lower boundary of this channel.

According to the analyst, every prior instance of this occurring, in 2017, 2020, 2021, and 2022, preceded a significant bull run and marked the exact low of that bear market cycle.

👉Reinforcing the Bullish Outlook

A separate signal on the weekly chart reinforces the setup. XRP has maintained an upward trend line since 2024, and each time the price has touched it, a rally followed. This trendline kick-started XRP’s 500% rally in late 2024, and the asset is once again resting on that trend line, marking its second concurrent signal at a critical level.

Steph noted that combining these two signals appearing simultaneously is rare. Each one alone has historically been significant. Together, they form a stronger technical case than either would independently.

👉RSI Divergence Points to a Shift in Momentum

The third signal comes from the three-day RSI. XRP recorded a lower low between February and June of this year, but the RSI simultaneously printed a higher low. This is a classic bullish divergence, indicating that selling pressure is weakening even as the price falls.

Steph compared this directly to a divergence that appeared between May and June 2020. That setup marked the bear market bottom. From that point, XRP rose 1100% to its bull market peak. “While weak hands are exiting, are selling XRP at a loss, smart money is accumulating all of these coins,” Steph said, summarizing the dynamic he believes is currently unfolding.

👉Outlook and a Key Level to Watch

Steph stopped short of predicting an immediate reversal. He acknowledged that timing is uncertain, stating that no one knows whether a recovery will come “tomorrow, this week, next week.”

He did identify one condition that would change his outlook. A weekly candle close below $ 1 would signal invalidation of the current thesis. Some analysts have predicted that XRP could briefly dip below $ 1, but until that occurs, he views the setup as one of the strongest buying opportunities he has seen.

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