🔥 LATEST: Traders on Polymarket are now pricing a 92% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its March meeting.
What this means:
📌 The vast majority of prediction-market users expect no rate cuts or increases in March.
📌 This reflects growing confidence that the Fed will pause policy adjustments amid persistent inflation and economic data.
📌 A “no change” outcome suggests markets see stability over shock — less surprise tightening or easing. 
Why it matters for markets:
• A stable interest-rate outlook often reduces volatility in stocks and risk assets.
• Crypto and tech markets can interpret a pause as neutral or supportive if it keeps liquidity stable.
• Bond and foreign exchange markets also price this as a sign of macro calm.
In simple terms:
Polymarket users are betting almost 9 out of 10 times that the Fed will “stay put” in March.
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