For 6 months the story was clear.
Long-term holders were distributing.
Not panic selling.
Not fear.
Just steady profit-taking while price stayed strong.
The data showed it clearly.
🔄 Then January 12, 2026 changed everything.
Around the $62K–$68K zone, behavior shifted.
• Selling pressure faded
• Coins stopped moving to exchanges
• Accumulation resumed
• Daily average buying rose to ~115 BTC
• Distribution nearly disappeared
The strongest hands stepped back in.
💡 Why this matters:
Long-term holders move early.
They don’t chase green candles.
They buy during boredom and fear.
They sell into strength.
So if they accumulated near 62K–68K, that zone was viewed as value.
⚠️ But here’s the key question:
Is this enough to push price higher?
Right now… No.
115 BTC per day sounds strong —
but in a market this size, it’s quiet positioning.
Not aggressive expansion.
Not ignition.
More stabilization than breakout.
📉 Distribution phase = likely over
📊 Accumulation = slowly building
🚀 Momentum = still missing
Reduced selling removes supply pressure.
But reduced selling ≠ explosive demand.
Historically, this pattern often appears before a major move:
1️⃣ Distribution ends
2️⃣ Volatility compresses
3️⃣ Market goes quiet
4️⃣ Expansion follows
Up or down — expansion comes after contraction.
Right now we’re in Phase 2.
📌 What to watch next:
• Does daily accumulation accelerate?
• Does volume expand?
• Do new buyers step in?
If yes → conviction building.
If not → this may just be a pause.
Clean takeaway:
Long-term holder selling appears finished.
Accumulation resumed near 62K–68K.
Daily buying ~115 BTC.
But not strong enough to drive price higher — yet.
The market is calm.
The patient hands are positioning.
Now we wait for momentum.
What do you think comes next?
Breakout or more consolidation? 👇
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