Morpho's long-term alignment rests on vesting schedules for team, investor, and strategic allocations. Vesting is a two-edged sword: it aligns by pinning insiders, but massive cliff releases build supply shocks. To model sell pressure, build a waterfall model listing each allocation, its cliff and linear vesting durations, and any conversion mechanics (e.g., wrapping legacy tokens into transferable wrapped MORPHO). Add this to market liquidity metrics (order book depth on main listings and TVL in protocol vaults) to estimate for realistic absorption capacity. Sensitivity testing is useful: run alternative sell-rate hypotheses (e.g., 1% of unlocked tokens sold daily vs. 10%) to observe price impact. Compliance with good governance practice limits risk by phasing unlocks, reallocating unclaimed allocations into the treasury, and employing buyback or burn programs to counteract emissions. For serious investors, a separate confirmation of on-chain token flows between past unlocks is critical to verify if the treasury and allocation of the token from the described schedule enforce.

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