Most $BTC bear markets don’t just drop once… they grind down for 12,18 months before the real recovery even starts.

A lot of traders get wrecked because they treat every bounce like the bottom. You buy the dip, price rallies 20,30%, and then the market slowly bleeds another 30% while everyone keeps saying “this time is different.”

Look at the numbers. In 2018, $BTC fell about 84% from its peak and took roughly a year to bottom. During that drop there were multiple relief rallies of 20,40% that convinced people the bull run was back. The same pattern showed up in 2022: $BTC dropped around 77%, and several strong bounces pulled traders back in before the final lows formed.

That’s the part many people miss. Bear markets aren’t straight lines down. They’re a series of hope rallies followed by deeper drops, which is why overtrading them can be brutal. Even strong assets like $ETH tend to mirror the broader cycle, just with bigger swings.

If history rhymes again, patience might outperform prediction. The real edge isn’t catching every bounce, it’s surviving the full cycle.

Do you think this cycle breaks the usual $BTC bear market pattern, or are we still inside the same blueprint?

#Bitcoin #CryptoCycles #CryptoRisk