Article:
The market is holding its breath. We have digested the news of the US operation in Venezuela and the Fed's massive $105B liquidity injection. But the puzzle is missing one piece.
Trading right now without knowing the status of Venezuela's Oil Refineries is dangerous. Here are the two exact scenarios that will play out once the news breaks:
Scenario 1: Refineries are SAFE (The Super Pump 🟢)
The News: "Operation successful, oil infrastructure intact, supply chain unaffected."
The Reaction: The geopolitical risk premium evaporates immediately.
The Trade: The market focuses purely on the Fed's $105B injection. Bitcoin ($BTC) smashes through the $90K supply wall and targets $93k–$94k. Altcoins ($SOL, $ETH) will rally hard.
Scenario 2: Refineries are HIT (The Oil Shock 🔴)
The News: "Explosions reported at major refineries, production halted."
The Reaction: A classic Supply Shock. Oil prices spike, reigniting inflation fears.
The Trade: Liquidity drains from crypto to commodities/USD. BTC likely rejects at $90K and dumps toward $85k or lower to find support.
Critical Strategy:
This is a news-driven market, not a technical one.
Watch: Correlation between Crude Oil and BTC.
Action: Wait for the headline. Do not front-run the news on high leverage.
Stay tuned to PandaTraders. We will update the moment the refinery status is confirmed.
#Venezuela #OilCrisis #BitcoinStrategy #FedLiquidity #BinanceSquare