On-chain and whale positioning data are becoming increasingly important at current levels. Most large holders are already sitting in profit on their long positions, while a significant number of short sellers remain under pressure. This typically signals that smart money is still in control, pushing price higher in a gradual and calculated manner rather than a straight vertical move.
Because of this structure, Bitcoin is likely to maintain short-term bullish momentum and attempt a move toward the 99,000–100,000 resistance zone.
📌 Key Scenarios to Watch
🔹 Bullish Scenario (Short Term):
reaches the 99k–100k zone and may even produce a brief upside expansion toward 103k–105k, driven by short liquidations and late FOMO entries.
🔹 Higher Probability Scenario (My View):
Any breakout above 100k could turn into a fake breakout, after which #BTC may resume its broader bearish or corrective move. Liquidity above highs often attracts price before a reversal.
📊 Market Outlook
While the larger picture remains cautious to bearish, the short-term trend still favors longs as long as price holds structure below major resistance.
🧠 Trading Plan
Long positions are reasonable up to the 99k–100k area
Watch closely for rejection or a fake breakout around 103k–105k
That zone could offer a high-quality short opportunity
Expect volatility — #BTC rarely moves in a straight line
Liquidations can occur on both sides of the market
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder
Market conditions are unstable
Use proper stop-losses (not too tight)
Wait for confirmation and clean entries
Avoid FOMO on large candles — this is where most traders lose
Trade with logic, not emotion
I share technical analysis and trade ideas regularly, with strong accuracy so far (feel free to check my profile).
👉 Follow for more updates & market insights: @Payment taker
Good luck and happy trading 🚀
DYOR
#BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement
