egrag

XRP is once again under heavy pressure, with large holders accelerating their exit just as market #sentiment weakens.
Key Takeaways:
Whales dumped nearly 200M XRP in 48 hours.
Large holders are still reducing exposure, not accumulating.
716 big transfers signal a major move is coming.
Losing the $2 support could deepen the decline.
Analysts are split between a Wave 4 correction or a continued downtrend.
On-chain data shows nearly 200 million XRP unloaded during the weekend, a sizable reduction that coincides with one of the sharpest two-day declines in whale balances this quarter. Wallets holding 1 million–10 million XRP have been the most aggressive distributors, according to Santiment data highlighted by analyst Ali Martinez.
Technical Conditions Turn Fragile as XRP Approaches Key Support
Technical indicators currently reinforce the bearish narrative. The #MACD on the daily timeframe is below the signal line, showing fading momentum with no visible bullish crossover forming yet.
At the same time, the RSI sits around 41, reflecting weak buying interest and leaving XRP in a neutral-to-bearish zone rather than oversold. Until momentum flips, bulls have limited control of short-term price action.
The timing is critical. #XRP has already been sliding toward the bottom of its multi-month range, and the recent whale activity adds fuel to an already bearish technical backdrop. If negative momentum continues, analysts warn that a retest of the $2 support area becomes increasingly likely — and a breakdown below that level could expose the market to deeper losses.
The network is witnessing an unusual surge in high-value on-chain activity, with 716 transactions exceeding $1 million each recorded in just a few days — the highest reading in four months. Historically, similar bursts have preceded major price swings, though the direction hinges on whether whales are accumulating or distributing.
While some traders argue that the spike could indicate strategic positioning ahead of a rebound, current data shows whale holdings decreasing rather than expanding. Until that behavior shifts, XRP’s momentum remains tilted to the downside.
Elliott Wave Debate Splits Analysts on XRP’s Next Move
Not all market analysts agree on the bearish interpretation. Commentator #EGRAG CRYPTO has challenged the widespread rejection of the current Elliott Wave count, arguing that XRP is still shaping a valid Wave 4 corrective phase and only needs a close above Wave B to ignite the Wave 5 impulse rally.
The analyst suggests the structure is being dismissed not due to technical invalidation but because it contradicts market bias.
A Market Approaching a Decisive Turning Point
With whales actively reshaping supply distribution and strong opposing viewpoints among analysts, XRP is entering a pivotal stage. Whether the token breaks below $2 or reverses into a new macro impulsive rally may depend largely on whether whales continue unloading — or abruptly switch to accumulation.
#Market_Update
$XRP

XRP menunjukkan tanda-tanda potensi reli besar, dengan analis menyoroti struktur grafik multi-tahun yang dapat mendorong token menuju $10.
Cryptocurrency saat ini diperdagangkan pada $2.25, naik 1% dalam sehari terakhir dan mempersempit kerugian mingguan menjadi 11.5%. Pengamat teknis mencatat retest kunci di $1.955, level yang sebelumnya berfungsi sebagai resistensi sebelum XRP melonjak lebih tinggi di siklus sebelumnya.
Analis #Cryptollica a membagikan grafik di X, menunjukkan pola jangka panjang yang menunjukkan kembalinya zona dukungan $1.955 mungkin mempersiapkan panggung untuk pergerakan lanjutan menuju $10.

Analisis oleh Egrag Crypto didasarkan pada pandangan jangka panjang yang eksponensial untuk $XRP , bukan volatilitas jangka pendek. Ia secara konsisten berargumen bahwa XRP siap untuk pergerakan besar yang mencerminkan siklus sebelumnya.
Sorotan Kasus Bullish:
Pecah Makro: Egrag menekankan bahwa penutupan yang dikonfirmasi di atas kluster Fibonacci atas yang kritis, terutama di sekitar $3.40, akan menandakan "pecah makro super-bullish".
Level Penting: Level keputusan segera yang perlu diperhatikan adalah penutupan di atas $2.60, yang sejalan dengan retracement Fibonacci 0.5 pada grafik bulanan.

Ketika XRP naik terhadap #Bitcoin , seorang analis pasar telah menyajikan empat model simulasi makro XRPBTC dari arah kemungkinan yang dapat diambil pasangan ini dari sini.
Perlu dicatat, pasar kripto telah jatuh tajam sejak Oktober, dan XRP telah bergerak ke arah yang sama dengan penurunan lebih dari 25% selama periode ini.
XRP sekarang diperdagangkan di dekat ujung bawah kisaran $2.
Model Simulasi XRPBTC
Namun, meskipun terjadi penurunan yang lebih luas, XRP telah bertahan lebih baik daripada Bitcoin bulan ini. BTC telah melihat penurunan yang bahkan lebih tajam, yang memungkinkan XRP untuk mendapatkan 3.71% terhadap kripto pertama pada bulan November. Dengan kekuatan ini, pasangan XRPBTC sekarang berada di 0.00002374.