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$EUR /USD Rebound: Euro Finds Its Footing as Dollar Rally Fades ๐ถ
The
$EUR /USD pair is showing resilience as we head into the second week of February! After a brief two-day rally for the Greenback, the Euro has bounced back, currently trading around 1.1817 (up 0.34%). ๐
A shift in market sentiment toward a "risk-on" mood has sapped the US Dollar's safe-haven appeal, allowing the shared currency to trim its weekly losses and eye a period of consolidation.
๐ Key Highlights from the Markets:
Fed Under the Microscope: ๐ง Softer US jobs data has reignited bets for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Markets are currently repricing for potential easing into the year-end as labor market risks come into focus.
ECB Stands Firm: ๐ช๐บ Despite the Euro's recent strength, ECB officialsโincluding President Lagardeโremain unphased. They suggest that current FX volatility is already "baked into" their baseline forecasts.
German Headwinds: ๐ฉ๐ช It's not all sunshine; German Industrial Production saw a sharp contraction of 1.9% in December, much steeper than economists anticipated. ๐
Technical Outlook: ๐ The pair is currently navigating a range between 1.1750 and 1.1830. Bulls are looking for a break above 1.1837 to target the 1.1900 handle, while support holds steady at 1.1769.
๐๏ธ The Week Ahead: Buckle Up! ๐ข
Get ready for a high-volatility week! We have a packed calendar that could shake up the current trends:
US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP): The big one for employment health. ๐ผ
Consumer Price Index (CPI): A critical update on US inflation. โ๏ธ
Central Bank Speeches: A steady stream of Fed and ECB officials will be crossing the wires. ๐ค
With the "uncertainty fog" still lingering, traders are keeping a close watch on whether the Euro can maintain its momentum above the 1.1800 level.
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