#Note โ Read carefully.
Aaj kal feed scroll karte hue aik hi baat bar-bar nazar aa rahi hai:
๐ โBitcoin ab upar jaane wala hai.โ
Lekin August ke end par, mujhe X (formerly Twitter) par aik post nazar aayi.
Aik banda full confidence ke saath likh raha tha ke current cycle ka peak October 6, 2025 ko banay ga.
Us waqt main ne zyada tawajjoh nahi diโฆ scroll kar diya.
Ab sawal yeh hai:
Agar woh banda sahi tha to? ๐คจ
๐ Historical Model โ Too Perfect to Ignore
Bitcoin ne apna all-time high update kiya
๐ฐ $126,198 โ $126,279
๐
October 6โ7, 2025
Yeh bilkul usi window mein aata hai:
โฑ๏ธ โ530 days after halving (April 20, 2024)
2017 aur 2021 ke cycles mein bhi 520โ550 days baad hi top bana tha
Hum literally historical range ke center mein thay.
Coincidence? Ya pattern? ๐
๐ Indicators Ne Bhi Signal Diya
Peak par:
RSI โ 72.8
๐ Clear overbought zone
๐ Momentum slow hone ka classic signal
Aur phir kya hua?
๐ป $126k se mid-November tak โ $92k (โ27%)
๐ป Early December tak โ $85,461 (โ32%) in ~2 months
๐จ Extra Red Flags (Background Noise Nahi Hai)
๐ค Spot ETF outflows November mein clearly nazar aaye
๐ง Order book depth kam ho gayi โ liquidity October se weak
โก 30-day volatility +40% sirf do hafton mein
Aur sab se importantโฆ
๐ง Old Holders Ka Behavior
October ke baad:
7+ saal purani addresses ne
๐ช 400,000+ BTC sirf November mein sell kiya
History batati hai: ๐ Jab old money sell karti hai,
๐ aksar cycle ka end ya late stage hota hai.
๐ง Final Thought
Main yeh nahi keh raha ke: โ โSab khatam ho gaya, ab sirf down hi down hai.โ
Lekin itni aligned coincidences ko ignore karna bhi mushkil hai.
Ho sakta hai: ๐ Hum already is cycle ka peak dekh chukay hain
๐ Aur market ab sirf digest kar rahi hai jo ho chuka hai.
Market hamesha seedha jawab nahi deti.
Kabhi kabhi woh bas signs chhor kar chup ho jaati hai.
#Bitcoin #MarketCycle #BTCAnalysis #Halving