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In the past week, significant developments have impacted the probabilities for this market regarding a certain media company's potential Bitcoin acquisitions in 2025. Recent reports indicate the company purchased 451 Bitcoin, valued at over $40 million, increasing its holdings to 11,542 BTC as part of a crypto treasury strategy. However, just a day later, it transferred 2,000 BTC worth $175 million, reducing its stash below 10,000 coins. These mixed signals—buying and then offloading—suggest active management of assets, likely contributing to the "No" outcome leading at 88.8% due to uncertainty over net accumulation.
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In the past week, significant developments have boosted the likelihood of the airdrop occurring on December 29, with current odds at 86.5%. Recent updates on the project's website, including a new airdrop tab for wallet linking with a deadline of December 26, have fueled speculation of an imminent event, as shared in posts on X. Additionally, a transfer of 250 million LIT tokens reported on December 20 has intensified anticipation. These factors have sharply increased the probability for December 29, overshadowing the chances of no airdrop in 2025 (6.7%) and December 30 (5.5%).$ETH #LighterDEX
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Top 5, 22. December 2025 #Polymarket
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Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? In the past week, significant developments have bolstered the likelihood of DraftKings launching a prediction market in 2025, aligning with the "Yes" outcome leading at 85.5%. Recent reports indicate that DraftKings has secured federal approvals from the NFA and CFTC for its anticipated Predictions platform, marking a crucial step toward offering regulated sports event contracts in the U.S. However, challenges remain, including intensifying competition from rivals like Robinhood and Fanatics, and industry concerns over sports betting regulations, as voiced by the NFL to Congress. These factors could impact the timeline or scope of the launch.$ETH
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In the past week, significant buzz has emerged around the potential launch of a prediction market platform by FanDuel in partnership with CME Group. Recent reports indicate that the FanDuel Predicts app is poised for an imminent launch, with some sources suggesting it could happen very soon, possibly within December 2025. This aligns with the deadline set for the market resolution. Posts on social media platforms and industry news highlight this momentum, reinforcing the high probability of 78% for a "Yes" outcome as the launch appears increasingly likely before the year-end cutoff.
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