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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Odds of Fed maintaining rate in January hits new all-time high of 88%, per traders on Kalshi. #USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #USJobsData #BTCVSGOLD #CPIWatch

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Structure Breakdown of Bitcoin: What's Next?

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ETF Flow Reversal $223.5M Inflow Hides Institutional Hesitation

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The most recent Fed rate decrease of 25 basis points signifies further division within the Federal Reserve. The rate has now reached the range of 3.5-3.75% and despite being seen as dovish on the surface; with 3 dissenters voting against the move and a split of voting members, this rate cut was viewed still as a hawkish decision from a market context. After this most recent Fed rate decrease, the Fed raised 2026 GDP expectations by 50 basis points to 2.3% and inflation continues to run at 2.8% which is above the Fed's goal of achieving price stability of 2%. These moves continue to indicate that the period of rapid easing has concluded. Thus, for crypto-asset (i.e. Bitcoin) traders, the idea of a liquidity pump has moved out of the realm of credibility. Currently, the market had priced in 6 or more expected rate cuts in 2025 when now 2 to 3 should be lucky enough to be realized. What many market participants and crypto-asset traders may not realize is that the Federal Reserve is initiating new Treasury purchases starting at $40 billion every Friday. This represents an attempt by the Federal Reserve to alleviate the impact of funding market disruptions through stealth QE while maintaining a hawkish view towards rate cuts. Keep an eye on the repo markets as they are exhibiting signs of collateral shortages.$BTC #BTCVSGOLD #USNonFarmPayrollReport #WriteToEarnUpgrade #FedRateCut25bps #USJobsData

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Why Cryptocurrencies Lost $200 Billion in Three Hours - The BOJ-Fed Squeeze

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