dcastrategy

$SOL Особенно тяжело пострадавший от спада на крипторынке, SOL упал примерно на 60% 📉с середины сентября.Репутация Solana сформированная на основе мемкоинов, вскоре может уступить место более значимой роли в цифровых платежах, согласно новому отчету руководителя отдела криптоисследований Standard Chartered Кендрика Джеффри. Банк описывает Solana как проект, выходящий за рамки образа «одномерного игрока».📍В 2025 году почти половина комиссий протокола Solana приходилась на торговлю мемкойнами на децентрализованных биржах. Однако данные теперь показывают изменение потоков торговли — от мемтокенов к парам SOL-стейблкоинов 📍— что свидетельствует о появлении новых сценариев использования. Standard Chartered также указывает на растущий институциональный интерес. С октября 2025 года Bitwise BSOL ETF поглотил 78% 📍всех чистых притоков в ETF, связанные с SOL, доведя под управление ETF более 1% от общего объема предложения, согласно Джоффри. Между тем, казначейства цифровых активов теперь владеют почти 3% SOL. Пересмотренные прогнозы Кендрика теперь предполагают курс SOL на уровне $400 📍в 2027 году, $700 📍в 2028 году и $1,200 📍в 2029 году. А ЧТО ВЫ ДУМАЕТЕ ОБ ЭТОМ ? $SOL #HODLStrategy #DCAStrategy

Bitcoin's price began its bear market 126 days ago and last week it reached a 52% drawdown from its all-time high of $126,000. Is this enough to conclude that the cyclical bear market is over?

👉In a cyclical bear market for Bitcoin, there are two aspects to consider:

The price aspect, the drawdown, and the bear market structure;

⚠️The time aspect, meaning the total duration of the bear market before it resumes a cyclical bullish phase.

Naturally, the market doesn't go directly from a falling phase to a new bullish phase. Bitcoin's history consistently shows a long accumulation phase lasting several months, essentially building a technical foundation for a healthy upward move.

Have we already entered this sideways accumulation phase? It's possible from the perspective of the drawdown and the three-wave structure of the decline, but it's still unlikely in terms of time, as 126 days is still a relatively short period.

Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) involves gradually investing a fixed sum at regular intervals, regardless of the price. This approach smooths the initial investment, reduces the impact of volatility, and, most importantly, avoids emotional decisions, which are particularly common during bear markets.

Applied to Bitcoin, DCA is most effective during advanced drawdown phases, when pessimism prevails and long-term indicators have entered oversold territory. Historically, areas of 50% to 70% drawdown from the previous peak have often been very favorable accumulation zones for patient investors.

From a quantitative perspective, logarithmic regression and price quantile models currently place the $50,000/$60,000 zone within the lower bands of relative valuation, consistent with a cyclical undervaluation phase. These levels also correspond to major support levels formed during the previous expansion phase, reinforcing their technical credibility.

There is no evidence to suggest that last week's low of $60,000 is the final bottom of the bear market, and it is entirely possible that this level will be revisited in the coming months. However, most long-term BTC forecasting models, such as the power law-based quantile model, describe the $50,000/$60,000 zone as an area where a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy has a high probability of being successful in the long run.

Finally, the time frame remains key. Bitcoin bear markets have rarely been short-lived. They are most often characterized by alternating technical rebounds, frustrating sideways phases, and late capitulations, and on average, they have lasted 12 months, which brings us to September/October. It is precisely in this context of patience that Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) becomes so relevant, allowing investors to gain exposure without trying to anticipate the perfect low in terms of price and time.

In conclusion, the $50,000 to $60,000 range does not guarantee that the bear market is over, but it represents a coherent zone for gradual accumulation for medium- and long-term investors.

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#DCA #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #DCAStrategy #BTC走势分析
Il picco del Bitcoin del 2021 di circa 69.000 dollari rimane una cicatrice psicologica per molti investitori. Per coloro che sono andati "tutto dentro" in quel momento esatto, il portafoglio ha passato molto tempo in rosso—o "sott'acqua." Tuttavia, uno sguardo più attento ai dati rivela una storia molto più ottimista per l'investitore disciplinato.
Le insidie del "Tempismo Lump-Sum"
Il più grande rischio nelle criptovalute non è solo la volatilità; è la tentazione di catturare il fulmine in una bottiglia. Comprare una grande quantità durante una mania di mercato rialzista spesso porta a: