📊 Technical Analysis (4H – BNB/USDT)
1. Market Structure
Overall trend: Bearish (lower highs & lower lows)
Price dropped sharply from ~783 to 570, then formed a weak corrective bounce
Current price (~638) is consolidating below key moving averages
2. Moving Averages
MA(7): 644
MA(25): 652
MA(99): 793
📌 Price is below all major MAs, and MA(7) < MA(25) → bearish alignment 📌 MA(25) is acting as dynamic resistance
3. Support & Resistance
Key Supports
630–625 → intraday support
610
570 → major demand zone (recent swing low)
Key Resistances
645–650 → MA resistance zone
670
690
4. RSI (6): ~36
RSI is below 40, showing weak momentum
Not oversold yet → room for further downside
Indicates bearish continuation or range-bound weakness
5. Volume
High sell volume during the dump
Current volume is declining → consolidation, not accumulation
No bullish volume confirmation yet
🎯 Intraday Trading Signals
🔴 Primary Bias: Short (Sell the Rally)
✅ Short Entry Zone
Entry 1: 645–650 (preferred – MA resistance)
Entry 2: 638–640 (aggressive scalp entry if rejection candle appears)
📌 Look for:
Rejection wick
Bearish engulfing / strong red candle on lower TF (15m–30m)
🛑 Stop-Loss
Conservative SL: 662
Aggressive SL: 655
(Above MA25 + minor resistance)
🎯 Take-Profit Targets
TP1: 625 (quick scalp)
TP2: 610
TP3: 585–570 (only if strong bearish continuation)
📌 Trail stop after TP1 for risk-free trade
🟢 Alternative Scenario (Counter-Trend Long – High Risk)
⚠️ Only if price holds above 630 and breaks resistance with volume
Long Entry
Entry: 652 breakout & retest
Stop-Loss
SL: 630
Targets
TP1: 670
TP2: 690
📌 This is counter-trend — smaller position size recommended
📌 Trade Summary
Direction
Entry
Stop-Loss
TP1
TP2
SHORT (Preferred)
645–650
662
625
610
SHORT (Aggressive)
638–640
655
625
610
LONG (Risky)
652
630
670
690
🔑 Key Notes
Trend is still bearish
Best strategy = sell rallies, not chase longs
Avoid over-leverage due to consolidation volatility
If you want, I can also:
Refine this for 5m / 15m scalping
Provide risk–reward calculations
Adjust levels for futures vs spot
Just tell me 👍