🏦 $ADA 4H — Liquidity Map & Order Flow
Cardano remains in a HTF downtrend (LL / LH from ~0.36 → 0.25).
Current price is compressing at 0.2657 after a capitulation event (Feb 5–6 volume spike).
🔎 Narrative
• Breakdown from 0.30 created a supply shift
• Sell-side liquidity taken near 0.25
• Weak relief rally to ~0.28 (failed to reclaim structure)
• Now ranging: 0.255 – 0.275
Market is building energy. Expansion likely at range extremes.
📍 Liquidity Levels (From This Chart)
🟢 Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): 0.252 – 0.255
Resting stops below equal lows.
🟡 Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): 0.272 – 0.275
Multiple 4H rejections → clustered stops above.
🔴 Major Supply: 0.288 – 0.295
Origin of prior impulsive leg down.
📈 Playbook
Scenario A — BSL Sweep → Continuation
4H close above 0.275 + volume expansion.
Targets:
• 0.288 (first imbalance fill)
• 0.295 (supply test)
Invalidation:
4H close back inside range < 0.268
R:R ≈ 1:2 to 1:3 (depending on entry refinement)
This is a counter-trend liquidity run, not full reversal.
Scenario B — SSL Sweep → Trend Continuation
Clean break below 0.252.
Targets:
• 0.240
• 0.228 (next HTF demand probe)
Structure would confirm continuation of bearish order flow.
📊 Momentum Context
• MACD bearish bias but flattening
• Volatility contraction inside range
• No bullish structure shift yet (no HH on 4H)
Conclusion:
Range environment. Trade the edges.
Breakout + displacement = momentum trade.
No displacement = fade extremes.
⚠ Risk Notes
• Position size ≤ 2% risk
• Wait for 4H close confirmation
• Monitor Bitcoin stability before aggressive exposure
Are you fading liquidity or waiting for displacement?
Comment your bias 👇